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Former Azure Lead on Microsoft Earnings
Bloomberg
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2 days ago
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00:00
I want to draw on your current investments and your more importantly I guess your current outlook
00:04
for AI but I want you to draw a thread kind of back to kind of the evolution not just with Azure
00:09
but really just of cloud computing overall because it really has now basically become central to this
00:14
AI theme that's playing out. Well cloud computing enabled this new AI revolution and I'll tell you
00:22
for those out there there's obviously some overpricing in the market but I actually don't
00:27
think that we're in an AI bubble from the point of view of this is a vast societal change in the way
00:33
that the world will work in general and frankly we had the same concerns in the cloud computing era
00:39
right we thought we were maybe doing a race to zero margin business and when you're a company
00:44
like Microsoft you have the ability to have platform benefits both as a great business in its own right
00:51
Azure but then concurrent with that the upstack functionality that Office and Office 365
00:57
and all the co-pilot success that you're seeing with Microsoft is enjoying right now you have
01:03
benefits at multiple layers of the stack so that company will benefit tremendously. At Tola Capital
01:09
we invest in the really fast high product velocity AI startups that are delivering incredible value to
01:16
business end users. Give me a sense though of what they're delivering or I guess maybe what the
01:20
potential of what they will deliver because that's been as you know a big question mark right now
01:25
as to where the follow-through is in this AI trade beyond just buying chips and server space.
01:32
Well I think that people are confused about this market and so one of the things that a lot of people
01:37
will see you see very quickly the efficiency and the automation that comes from AI. What people don't
01:43
spend as much time on which is where I think the greater innovation will lie is this top line how are we
01:49
changing revenue. When we first launched the cloud you know people were concerned that there was not
01:55
going to be adoption of this new technology. Well it turned out companies loved to focus on what their
02:01
core competency was right they didn't have to buy their own servers and hire engineers to manage them
02:06
and it's even bigger in the new AI era. People don't completely understand the TAM in the sense that the TAM
02:13
is delivering full solutions and full new ways of doing things and that then encompasses both your
02:20
old kind of IT TAM which has been an amazing and growing TAM but also the labor market commensurate
02:27
with that and so when you think about a new way of doing things writ large a lot of people are not
02:32
understanding how large that addressable market potential is. And I'm curious to get your thoughts as an
02:38
investor on how you're viewing some of the capex going into AI infrastructure how that looks right
02:43
now because just to read through some of the numbers Meta now sees full year capital expenditure
02:48
expenditure between 70 billion dollars to 72 billion dollars. That's an increase from their previous
02:54
range. Then you take a look at Microsoft for example their fourth quarter rather capex also above
03:01
expectations coming in there. So I just wonder I mean how much weight do you put in some of the concerns
03:06
that okay yes maybe AI is going to change the world and how businesses function but maybe there's a risk
03:12
that we're over building here? Well this is being driven by end user and enterprise demand in the
03:18
case of Microsoft and by individual and advertising demand in the case of Meta. So both companies are
03:23
investing mightily in capex. Both companies are seeing incredible growth in the businesses that benefit from
03:30
that both directly in their own assets and then in the platform and ecosystem assets that they
03:35
work with. That sort of ecosystem of companies that builds on top of their platforms. One other thing
03:41
to note that both companies are being very very intelligent on is they're pulling AI and therefore
03:46
programmability and software down into their capex. So they're making their infrastructure AI intelligent
03:52
and aware. Meta is making huge investments in this and that is a way to further take your competitive
03:59
advantage which is software AI algorithmic understanding and pull it down closer and closer to the
04:05
physical data center assets that you're building. That's a genius strategy.
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