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  • 2 days ago
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00:00As you may or may not know, 18% of GDP goes to health care.
00:03You've got 11,000 Americans every day turning 65, 5,000 Americans a day turning 80.
00:09Also, importantly, that's the baby boom generation, which is the wealthiest portion of the U.S. population.
00:14So just massive demand trends, really, for as far as the eye can see,
00:19which is what initially attracted us to the sector almost 20 years ago.
00:23And we've got decades of demand in front of us,
00:27this demographically driven demand that is not going to stop anytime soon.
00:32Yeah, I think Ed Yardeni estimated that the baby boomers have about $75 trillion in assets.
00:39And I've heard higher estimates than that as well.
00:41But the interesting thing to me is that this medical outpatient,
00:47these offices have become more and more prevalent.
00:50And doctors will steer you or hospitals will steer you away to these centers now increasingly.
00:56How big of a trend is that?
00:59It's a massive trend.
01:00In 2010, that's really when insurance companies changed reimbursement dynamics.
01:04So we had a hospital-centric system, which was massively expensive.
01:08And so insurance companies changed reimbursement rates to incentivize everybody within the healthcare ecosystem,
01:15doctors, patients, hospital systems, to use outpatient care.
01:18It's far more affordable.
01:19It is a better outcome for everybody involved.
01:24So in 2010, 90% of healthcare was delivered in or around a hospital.
01:29Today, it's 90% is delivered outside of a hospital.
01:32So you have a massive trend.
01:35In 2010, 7% of total practitioners were employees of a hospital healthcare system.
01:42Today, that's about 75%.
01:43Five years from now, it'll be 95%.
01:46So this train is going down the tracks.
01:48And really, what we've done is position ourselves in the middle of this massive shift in the healthcare ecosystem.
01:55So yes, we own real estate and we own and manage and have huge strategic advantages with the real estate itself.
02:00But what we've really done is position ourselves as a true partner to these hospital and healthcare systems,
02:08aiding, assisting, and abetting them in better healthcare delivery.
02:11And with this, JV, as I mentioned, you've become the largest owner of outpatient medical buildings.
02:17Maybe in the past, that would have perked up ears of regulators.
02:21How much of this deal being possible to do is because of the regulatory regime that we're in right now?
02:26I don't...
02:27This really doesn't fall under any regulatory dynamic because it's 44 states.
02:33We now control 53 million square feet.
02:35But there's nothing from a monopoly or oligopoly perspective that would impact this deal.
02:43I think it's important to note, you mentioned the 75 trillion.
02:47Matt, I've actually heard higher estimates.
02:49But it's a big number.
02:51And part of the dynamic is that we focus on the higher end portion of healthcare delivery.
02:56So our top five tendencies by specialty are orthopedics, oncology, neurology, cardiology, and diagnostics.
03:02So we are specifically tailoring our business to the highest margin businesses within healthcare
03:09and specifically to the higher net worth portion of the U.S. population,
03:14which we deem to be the most recession-resistant, least volatile portion of an already low volatility asset class.
03:21I think it's worth noting that medical office over the past 20 years nationally has never been below 90.9% occupied.
03:30So I would say it's arguably, if not definitively, the lowest volatility asset class that exists in real estate.
03:37And obviously, going back 20 years, encompasses the GFC, the downturn in 2015, and the global pandemic.
03:43How are prices right now?
03:45Because on the one hand, you have office and mall that are experiencing problems.
03:52We were talking today about the mall in Nyack.
03:55On the other hand, you have so many dollars out there chasing the same assets.
04:00And obviously, the real estate assets you buy are much more valuable because you're after the students, the seniors, and healthcare, right?
04:07Which is pretty recession-proof.
04:09But what are prices like?
04:11That is the right question, Matt, because you can have constricting supply and massive demand,
04:17but the number one determinant of your return is your cost basis.
04:20What we've done is differentiate ourselves in this asset class by really positioning ourselves as a true partner to hospital systems.
04:29So we are talking to them about healthcare delivery all day, every day.
04:33We have a wholly owned subsidiary called Percival Health Advisors.
04:35So we are a strategic partner to hospital systems, helping them define their marketplace, gaps in their healthcare coverage,
04:44what private practices should they buy to fill those gaps, how should they fund that,
04:48what are the implications for their balance sheet, their income statement, their public credit rating.
04:52So what we do is very differentiated, which leads to a far better pricing dynamic for us
05:00because the reality is that these hospital and healthcare systems want us to own their real estate
05:05because we help them in terms of their healthcare delivery, both in reducing cost, operating expenses,
05:12as well as expanding their successful practices and practitioners within their system.
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