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Deutsche Bank's Trading Unit Can Gain Market Share, CFO Says
Bloomberg
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2 days ago
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00:00
I've looked at the numbers and the numbers for the third quarter, all the ones I've seen seem
00:04
to be better than the estimates. What are you most pleased with about the way that the quarter has
00:09
performed? Well, look, Anna, thank you for the question. It's a record quarter for Deutsche
00:15
Bank. And really, the pleasing thing is really is two things. All businesses are showing momentum
00:20
and have been doing so for the nine months and the three months. And we're on track to achieve
00:25
our targets that we set out for 2025 all the way back in 2022, which is a return on tangible equity
00:31
above 10 percent and a cost income ratio below 65 percent. And as you say, all the numbers are
00:37
pointing in the right direction this quarter. And can I home in a little on how you're performing
00:42
in FIC? Because it does seem as if you've done better than some of the Wall Street averages,
00:45
in particular around rates trading. I wanted to ask you about where you've managed to get some
00:50
strength in that business. Yes. So macro has been strong all year, up all together in the FIC
00:58
complex this quarter, 19 percent. And on an FX adjusted basis, that's, I think, in line with
01:03
the best of our competitors. As I say, macro products have been strong all year. But in this
01:08
quarter, credit trading also came through with very strong results. And so we like what we're seeing
01:14
in terms of both sort of the market tone, but also our capabilities, our ability to gain market share
01:21
in this in this environment. And the September Fed rate cut, has that helped to drive volumes,
01:27
hedging, rethinking of strategies in that area? Well, certainly in investors and also, if you like,
01:34
real money. So duration managers are looking to position ahead of the Fed moves. We're expecting a
01:40
move today. And I think the market is pricing one in for later this year as well. There's also been
01:46
a fair amount of volatility. It hasn't been by any stretch of the imagination at record levels, but
01:52
there's been a fair amount of volatility all year. That's obviously be conducive to the businesses.
01:57
You've also seen some strong performance in your asset-backed finance business and then the
02:01
securitization of those assets as well, James. How sustainable is the growth in that area?
02:06
Well, let me start with, we've been in that business for a very long time, over 20 years in
02:13
what we call FIC financing. And it is essentially secured financing, as you say. The spreads have
02:20
no doubt been under pressure as more money comes into that market. But at Deutsche Bank, we've been
02:26
able to innovate and be in sort of new structures, new underlying asset classes. And that served us very
02:32
well in terms of the fund book pricing. So we're confident about that business going forward,
02:38
but obviously very aware that there's more competition, both from the other banks as well
02:42
as the private credit industry. And talking about private credit, we've seen a lot of focus on that
02:47
area, of course. I don't see any mention of any specific provisions for losses around some pretty
02:52
high profile collapses recently. I'm thinking of Tricolor and First Brands over in the United States.
02:57
Ambipar in Brazil got a lot of headlines as well. Have I just missed those? Or has your business
03:02
been successful in avoiding those pitfalls?
03:07
We have, Anna. So you haven't missed anything. We weren't directly or indirectly exposed to any of
03:12
the high profile cases recently. Without chest beating, we think it speaks to the underwriting
03:18
and monitoring of the portfolio. That portfolio is highly secured, low LTV. As I say, we've been in the
03:27
business for a long time. So we know our sponsors and have good capabilities to sort of monitor the
03:33
exposures and the underlying assets. So we're pleased to have been able to avoid in this instance,
03:38
those recent high profile cases you mentioned.
03:41
Yeah, even if there's been no direct or indirect exposure, as you say, it's caused a lot of people
03:46
to just check again at their exposures, in particular in the United States, perhaps,
03:51
and other areas. Have you been doing that? Have you been taking another look at some of the
03:55
exposures just to make sure that you're happy with everything?
03:59
We have. You know, in an environment like the one we've seen, where a lot of capital is coming
04:03
into the market, obviously you worry that that has resulted in, call it over-exuberance,
04:09
and lax underwriting standards. First of all, we are strict and disciplined about our risk appetite
04:15
and maintaining underwriting standards. But secondly, you get to learn from the experiences
04:21
and naturally conduct a read-across in your portfolio. We've done that exercise. We're
04:26
comfortable with the portfolio. But obviously, we're vigilant as well to make sure that there's
04:30
nothing that looks or smells like those recent events in our books.
04:35
So, let's just say...
04:36
So, let's just say...
04:39
Let's just be gentle.
04:44
Let's just do this.
04:49
Cheers.
04:50
Cheers.
04:55
Cheers.
04:55
Cheers.
04:56
...
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