Alex Bregman’s Opt-Out Decision Will Have Major Consequences

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00:00Alex Bregman's opt-out decision will have major consequences.

00:04Alex Bregman is betting on himself again.

00:07According to reports, Bregman is opting out of his deal with the Red Sox,

00:11walking away from two years and $80 million.

00:13And yes, that's a lot of money.

00:16But as always, the devil is in the deferrals.

00:19This isn't an impulsive move.

00:20It's a calculated one from a player coming off a stellar year.

00:23At 31, Bregman hit 273, 360, 462 over 114 games with Boston,

00:30hosting a 125 WRC+, and 3.5 F-War, despite missing seven weeks with a quad injury,

00:37ranking among the top seven MLB third baseman.

00:40His advanced stats confirm the rebound, 90.1 mph exit velocity,

00:45and 44.4% hard hit rate, both career highs,

00:5010.3% walk rate, and 14.1% strikeout rate.

00:55Defensively, he remained strong.

00:57Not quite gold glove level, but still solid,

01:00with an 83rd percentile range per stat cast.

01:03The opt-out positions Bregman for a major payday.

01:06His current deal featured a high AAV,

01:09but heavily deferred payments into his mid-40s.

01:13Now healthy and productive on both sides of the ball,

01:15he's expected to pursue, and land, a true, long-term contract.

01:21Crucially, MLB rules prevent him from receiving another qualifying offer

01:25after already getting one from Houston last offseason,

01:28meaning no draft pick compensation for teams signing him,

01:32a key advantage that broadens his market.

01:34The Red Sox could re-sign Bregman after trading Rafael Devers to the Giants,

01:39leaving third base open.

01:40Though near the 2025 luxury tax line,

01:44Boston has flexibility with $12.5 million from Steven Matts expiring

01:49and potential option declines on Lucas Giolito and Liam Hendricks.

01:54Still, Bregman will have plenty of suitors.

01:57The Tigers and Cubs showed interest last winter.

02:00The Cubs may stick with Matt Shaw,

02:02but Detroit's third baseman ranked bottom five offensively,

02:05with a 76 WRC+.

02:07If Bregman's camp finds a long-term,

02:10fully guaranteed deal with no deferrals,

02:13he's likely gone.

02:14Boston could turn to Marcelo Mayer

02:16or veterans like Eugenio Suarez or Max Muncy,

02:19but none match Bregman's elite mix of offense,

02:22defense, and playoff pedigree.

02:24The real question now,

02:26which team will make Bregman their franchise third baseman

02:29for the next five to six years?

02:30The H-C-E-O-M-I-L-O-S-T-O-S-E-R-E-S-T-E-R-S-T-E-R-S-S-T-E-R-S-S-T-E-R-S-T-E-R-S.

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