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Tesla's 'AI Transformation' Is in Focus for Analyst Dan Ives
Bloomberg
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3 months ago
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00:00
Dan, how relevant is the car-making business at Tesla to this stock?
00:04
And how relevant should it be?
00:07
Look, I mean, it's foundational relative to, you know,
00:10
obviously what they're doing in the quarter
00:12
and, of course, generating cash in the business.
00:15
But the reality is the future is around AI.
00:18
It's around autonomous.
00:20
It's around robotics.
00:22
I think it's the most important chapter in the history for Musk and Tesla.
00:26
So that's why Musk, now wartime CEO and obviously a new pay package.
00:30
And I think that's what investors are focused on.
00:32
Any sell-off here, look, we view autonomous alone
00:35
as worth a trillion dollars of the story.
00:38
This will, one with NVIDIA, be two of the best, you know,
00:41
what I view physical AI plays in the market.
00:44
Dan, I think a lot of people might agree with you
00:46
that autonomous could be worth a trillion to someone.
00:49
It's about whether it is for Tesla.
00:51
What can you point to that demonstrates success?
00:53
What are the metrics you're following that justify a valuation
00:56
that this company currently carries?
00:59
Yeah, first off, I mean, RoboTax, and we've seen it in Austin ourselves.
01:03
You know, I think that you'll have eight to ten cities by the end of the year,
01:06
and we ultimately believe 30 cities in the first half.
01:10
Then you ultimately look at what's happening there,
01:12
the geofence area, the safety driver getting removed.
01:15
It's my view that this is all heading toward level four, right,
01:18
in terms of when you think about autonomous.
01:20
And what that means is no company in the world, BYD, you know,
01:26
pick any name out there, will have the scale and scope to compete
01:30
with Musk and Tesla when it comes to autonomous and cyber cabs.
01:34
That's the future.
01:35
And then Optimus, you know, I believe is going to be, you know,
01:38
a key part of this story.
01:40
That's how you're going to get to $3 trillion market cap
01:42
in the next 12 to 18 months.
01:44
But scale and competition, isn't this space, Dan,
01:46
already looking very crowded?
01:47
Look, I'd say, I mean, crowded in terms of Waymo being first mover advantage,
01:54
but they're in, what, five cities, you know, relative to from a scale perspective.
01:58
I mean, I think Tesla's going to own 80% of the autonomous market.
02:01
And that's why, from an investor perspective, look, if you hate Tesla,
02:05
you continue to hate it today.
02:06
I get it.
02:07
But the reality is that this is a golden age for Tesla looking ahead,
02:12
from autonomous to robotics.
02:14
And that's why you talk about November 6th,
02:17
what's going to be the must-pay package,
02:18
and then they're going to own, obviously, a big piece of XAI.
02:22
This is now the AI transformation happening at Tesla.
02:26
Cars, obviously, aren't important,
02:28
but that just sets the stage for, I think, what's going to be a historical move.
02:32
Well, let's talk about the pay package.
02:33
Elon Musk had some very colorful language yesterday on the call
02:37
when it comes to the proxy advisors for some of these institutional investors.
02:41
What does he need to achieve in order to get that headline trillion-dollar pay package?
02:48
Yeah.
02:48
And look, and go back to, like, the first pay package,
02:51
the one that's right now caught up in Delaware, like, he did everything and more.
02:55
And it just comes down to, like, I agree in the fact that the biggest asset for Tesla is Musk.
03:00
Musk is Tesla.
03:01
Tesla is Musk.
03:02
Look, you look, obviously, some of those are very ambitious in terms of, you know,
03:06
where they're ultimately going to hit in terms of the targets.
03:09
But I think mid to high targets are hittable.
03:11
And that's why incentivize him, make him wartime CEO.
03:17
That's what he's doing.
03:18
That's where his laser focus, you know, versus maybe some of the, you know,
03:21
dark days when he was with Trump administration, obviously, some of the brand damage.
03:26
And I just think, like, betting against Musk has been the wrong move again and again.
03:31
And I think that's why shareholders, overwhelmingly, will approve this.
03:35
Dan, let's just stay on the pay package.
03:36
What's the opposition to the pay package?
03:39
What's your understanding of what it is?
03:40
Beside the fact that it's absurdly large, that kind of doesn't matter.
03:43
What's the opposition to it?
03:44
What don't people like about it?
03:47
Look, I mean, obviously, it's just, you know, the view from an excess perspective,
03:52
the actual numbers, you know, why do they actually have to do this?
03:55
But I think to some extent, it's investors that don't understand the Tesla story.
04:00
And I think any of the core believers, any of the core followers understand that the future
04:06
of Tesla lies in Musk being CEO.
04:09
And I think from a pay package perspective, given the targets, set high bars.
04:14
That's where you want Musk.
04:16
You don't want to set low bars.
04:17
And I think that's, I think the board stepped up.
04:20
Robin stepped up.
04:22
This is the right pay package at the right time for what's going to be what I view as
04:27
the golden chapter for Tesla.
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