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AUS Latest Weather Forecast Video
FarmOnline Weather
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6 weeks ago
Stay informed with the latest weather forecast video, covering rain patterns, temperature outlooks, and severe weather warnings. Updated every few days with expert analysis, from meteorologist Jane Bunn.
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00:00
Hello and welcome to this national Janesweather update for Monday.
00:04
We have got a huge cloud band, a northwest cloud band, stretching across the country.
00:09
There's moisture pouring in from the Indian Ocean, from the northwest there,
00:13
coming right on down and across into the southeast.
00:16
There are two components to this.
00:18
You'll also see this other system that is off the Western Australian coast.
00:21
You can think of that as like the engine room.
00:24
It's the energy, it's the thing that is driving this big band of rain.
00:27
And all of this is going to take a couple of days to very slowly move across
00:31
and deliver some significant falls.
00:33
Otherwise, it is quite quiet in New South Wales and in Queensland,
00:37
but there's a lot of heat that is out ahead of this that we have got to deal with.
00:40
So having a look at our map, here we have Monday.
00:43
This is by the end of Monday, how much rain is likely.
00:46
The red and purple colours are that heat.
00:48
And you can see that it is taking this horseshoe shape.
00:51
So it is surging down.
00:52
The heat is surging down into the southeast of the country.
00:55
Quickly replaced by our band of rain that runs through there.
00:59
And then the engine room of this system,
01:01
which is more rain that is wrapping around and coming into that southwest corner.
01:05
In terms of the cold air, we still have some of that.
01:07
It's confined to Tasmania.
01:09
And you can see that.
01:10
So the speckled cloud that is running in through here,
01:12
you'll see it doesn't extend any further north,
01:14
so it's not coming into the mainland.
01:16
So this is where we are during the day on Monday.
01:18
Let's now have a look at Tuesday
01:20
and watch this become one big unit that is moving on through.
01:24
Now, a lot of it is offshore,
01:26
but we've got this that's coming down through South Australia.
01:28
The remains of that wrapping around into the southwest there
01:31
and starting to move right into the southeast.
01:33
All of that heat that is out ahead of it.
01:36
Having a look at Wednesday,
01:37
here it is moving right across the southeast now.
01:40
So the cutoff low that is driving this,
01:42
the energy that's in behind it,
01:44
that takes a path right across the southeast here,
01:46
between Victoria and Tasmania.
01:48
So that's the areas that are likely to see the significant rain from this one.
01:51
And it's wherever that low takes its path
01:54
that we get the actual rain from that.
01:56
There is a little bit that extends into New South Wales,
01:58
but not as much as you're going to see further south.
02:00
And this feed of moisture is still going in through here,
02:03
but fairly quiet in Queensland.
02:05
You'll notice there is a cool change that moves up through there,
02:07
so you've got the heat out ahead
02:09
and then the rain in behind it
02:10
and the cooler air that does come with it.
02:13
There's Wednesday.
02:13
As we go into Thursday, all of that has now cleared away.
02:16
The heat has retreated up to Queensland
02:18
and is now starting to build again over in the west instead.
02:22
We also have another build of moisture
02:24
that's coming in from the northwest.
02:26
And what do you know?
02:27
Another engine room, another cutoff low that is here.
02:30
So we're going to repeat.
02:31
So this here is Thursday.
02:33
Let's now have a look at Friday.
02:34
There's our moisture out ahead
02:35
wrapping around into that engine room low.
02:38
All of this is tracking eastwards.
02:39
There isn't as much heat to come right down
02:42
into the southeast out ahead of this one.
02:44
So it's not quite as intense
02:45
as what it was earlier on in the week.
02:47
Here we have Friday.
02:48
Now we have Saturday.
02:49
Moving across all through there
02:51
into Sunday as well.
02:52
Now this one may have more of an effect
02:54
further north.
02:56
So this one may actually make it into Queensland
02:57
delivering showers and thunderstorms
03:00
particularly in that southeast corner
03:01
and a little bit higher in New South Wales as well.
03:04
We're now very far away.
03:06
So we're Sunday with today
03:07
with all this mauling being on Monday.
03:09
Let's now have a look at next Monday.
03:11
We're starting to see some activity
03:12
up in the north there
03:14
which might be the flavour of week two
03:17
as we go through that one
03:18
and there are the remains of this
03:19
over the southeast
03:19
and then that clears out
03:21
and this one does kick off.
03:23
So what might all of that add up to?
03:24
Not including this.
03:25
This is through to the end of Monday.
03:27
So here we have 25 to 50 millimetres.
03:30
This is significant rain
03:31
that is coming through.
03:33
It's a one-two punch
03:34
earlier on in the week
03:35
early to midweek
03:36
and then again as we go into the weekend.
03:38
So nice falls in Victoria
03:39
and Tasmania out of this one.
03:41
It does creep into New South Wales.
03:43
It stops in the northern part
03:44
of New South Wales.
03:45
This is a southly system.
03:47
You've got all of that moisture feed coming in
03:49
and then a little bit over in the southwest
03:51
where the engine room kicks off
03:52
to spread all of this through.
03:54
As always, head to Farm Online Weather
03:56
for the left.
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