Georgia vs. Auburn Showdown: Analyzing the 3.5 Spread

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00:00And Georgia's in town today.

00:01How about that?

00:02Top 10 Georgia football team taking on Auburn.

00:04If we look at the side itself, Joe, minus 3.5 at a minus 120 price,

00:08minus fours in the sports betting landscape here,

00:10and a total of 46 to 47.5.

00:13You look at Georgia, sort of trying to make that comeback here in the 2025 season,

00:17but is this a spot where Auburn can actually tangle?

00:20Because, Joe, we're not talking about, hey, Georgia, can they win the game,

00:22but can they cover favored by 17.5?

00:24This is legitimately 3.5 at a lot of outlets right now.

00:27How are we feeling about those Tigers?

00:28Yeah, well, Georgia's dominated the series, Donnie.

00:31They won eight straight, the last four by an average margin of victory

00:35of 20.2 points per game.

00:36So when you see that, and they won last year 31 to 13.

00:40So when you see that spread 3.5, it makes you think,

00:43like, why is Georgia a 3.5-point favorite?

00:46But when you break it down and you just look at the football aspect,

00:49now it is a night game.

00:51It's the SEC's oldest rivalry.

00:53This is one of the most heated rivalries in the conference.

00:56And the fact that it's on the planes, under the lights, maybe Auburn.

01:00We've seen them step up in certain spots.

01:03But when you break down the football perspective in this matchup,

01:06this offense for Georgia is still hitting on all cylinders.

01:09They're running the football.

01:10They have the more experienced quarterback in Gunner Stockton.

01:13They have the better defense, I believe.

01:15They have the better head coach.

01:16And on the flip side for Auburn, you have a quarterback in Jackson Arnold

01:20that hasn't answered anything up until this point.

01:23Hugh Freeze is 0-2.

01:25He's on the hot seat.

01:26So, again, I think this line is more, hey, let's get people sucked in

01:30to believe in Auburn's legit.

01:32Defense is very good.

01:34But I just don't see any way that Jackson Arnold makes enough plays

01:37in the passing attack to get this victory

01:40and certainly cover the 3.5.

01:42Might be close for a half, but I think Georgia pulls away in the fourth quarter.

01:45The number one team, Joe, in the country, that would be the Ohio State,

01:49not home this weekend in the horseshoe, on the road in Champaign,

01:51taking on the fighting Illini.

01:53This line opened up around 13.5, Joe, but most outlets right now

01:55over two touchdowns at minus 14.5.

01:58You look at the total in this game, 51.5 to 52.5 here.

02:02Are we worried about Ohio State on the road?

02:04It's just going to be business as usual, one of the best defenses in the country.

02:07Well, again, I don't think they're threatened in any way.

02:10They've dominated from the series perspective.

02:12They have won six straight the last time these teams played.

02:15Back in 2017, so it's eight years.

02:18But, again, this could be a line, Donnie, where I think we're right on the number,

02:22where maybe Ohio State, again, has a 14-point lead.

02:25As long as you get those 14.5s, I believe Brett Bielma and Luke Outmire

02:30and that offense potentially could be within margin.

02:32We saw them step up against USC, win that victory as a six-and-a-half-point home dog.

02:37This is an opportunity to erase everything that happened against Indiana yet again.

02:42I think they can run the football, shorten the game.

02:45That's the biggest thing.

02:46They can't let this game get into a track meet.

02:49Julian Sayon playing very well.

02:51Jeremiah Smith could have a huge performance.

02:53But I like the under, and I like Illinois with the points.

02:55Let's go.

02:56Let's go.

02:57Let's go.

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