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ECONOMIST: DRAGON GAS HANGING BY THREAD
CCNTV6
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6 weeks ago
Economist and statistician -Dr. Vanus James says Trinidad and Tobago's OFAC licence does not mean the Dragon Gas is a done deal.
And, he warns that moving forward will require careful diplomacy.. and strategic patience to ensure the project succeeds.
More from Nicole M Romany.
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00:00
According to Dr. Varnus James, the Dragon gas deal is hanging by a thin thread.
00:07
The Economist warns that the level of contention between the U.S., Trinidad and Tobago, and Venezuela
00:14
could make the situation particularly delicate.
00:18
I mean, the U.S. government, in some collaboration with the government of Trinidad and Tobago,
00:26
is hostile to the government of Venezuela.
00:31
So how do you carry on with that deal unless you make peace with them as it will?
00:36
I guess Mr. Trump wants to win a Nobel Prize.
00:40
In the interest of Trinidad and Tobago, he should make peace with Venezuela.
00:44
Reports suggest the Venezuelan president has taken a wait-and-see approach,
00:48
citing what he views as disrespectful actions from both TNT and the United States.
00:56
Dr. James tells the Morning Edition that the U.S. cannot approach the situation solely as a superpower,
01:03
adding that a degree of calm is needed to move forward.
01:07
The U.S. lives in our backyard and it needs to behave itself properly as a leader,
01:13
not as a dominant, mighty power that can shoot up when it wants.
01:19
That will not work generally anywhere in the world and it won't work here either, I think.
01:24
So you won't get Venezuela to say, okay, plan to shoot me up but come over and mine my gas.
01:30
I don't think that's how it would work.
01:32
Even if the government thinks so, I doubt it's wise to think so.
01:36
As the population looks toward Monday's national budget,
01:40
Dr. James stresses the importance of strong policy implementation,
01:45
noting that true economic diversity depends on strategic policy frameworks.
01:51
While some worry that the government may need to borrow, he says,
01:55
this approach is far better than the alternative.
01:59
He says the government must deal with crime and education while ensuring their infrastructure is maintained.
02:06
So the recurrent obligations are there and in many ways you can't escape them immediately.
02:13
So you borrow, and I would say to borrow instead of leaning on an exchange rate depreciation
02:23
because that will drive up costs and destroy all our remaining possibilities.
02:29
So I would hold that in the normal managed float that is being run now,
02:34
and I would borrow and spend the money wisely.
02:38
Nicole M. Romany, TV6 News.
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