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  • 3 months ago
The Prime Minister admits he's "concerned" by suggestions China has paused iron ore shipments from mining giant, BHP. There are contradictory reports swirling about whether China has imposed a temporary ban. Anthony Albanese says he wants the issue resolved "quickly" while the premier of Western Australia says China is engaging in "gamesmanship"

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00:00This first kicked off last night when there was a report out from Bloomberg citing people
00:07familiar with discussions saying that there was a decision made by China's state-owned
00:12buyer for iron ore to basically no longer buy any iron ore shipments from BHP.
00:20That was followed a few hours later by a report basically stating the direct opposite from
00:25a Chinese commodities market analysis website basically saying they checked in with the
00:30relevant authorities and they said there was no such ban.
00:34We've tried to get clarity today both through the state-owned entity that's responsible
00:38for these decisions and China's foreign ministry as well as its Ministry of Commerce and we
00:43have not got any clarity and it seems at least to a degree like the Australian government
00:49is also struggling to get absolute clarity about exactly what's going on.
00:53For its part BHP has declined to comment saying it doesn't want to talk about commercial negotiations.
01:00So it's hard to be really definitive about much at the moment Joe.
01:03It does seem like there is some fire behind the smoke because an awful lot of people including
01:08in the government are worried that at the very least the prospect of a ban is being used
01:13by China to try and drive down the price.
01:16But as of this stage we have no formal confirmation or announcement that any such ban has been put
01:21in place. And talking of people in government what's the PM had to say about it?
01:25Yeah well the Prime Minister is obviously concerned and he made that clear this morning despite
01:30the lack of clarity around exactly what's going on.
01:33He said that he was aware of what was happening and he said it was a cause of concern and also
01:38disappointing. He suggested and he's not alone in this assessment that this might be a tactic
01:44that was being employed by China state-owned entities to try and put pressure on BHP to
01:50try to force them to drop the price. And the Prime Minister basically said that he didn't
01:56want to see commercial negotiations or discussions on a commercial basis in any way meddled with.
02:03Let's take a listen to what he had to say.
02:05I am concerned about that and what we want to make sure is that markets operate properly.
02:14And of course we have seen those issues in the past. I want to see Australian iron ore be
02:22able to be exported into China without hindrance. That is important. It makes a major contribution
02:30to China's economy but also to Australia's. These measures are always disappointing but
02:35let's hope certainly that they are very much short term. Sometimes when people are negotiating
02:42over price sometimes these things will occur. But I want to see this resolved quickly.
02:50Now WA's Premier Roger Cook unsurprisingly was also asked about this. This is of course a
02:56hugely consequential question for WA's economy which remains deeply reliant on exports of
03:02commodities including iron ore. The Premier when he was pressed about whether the ban did
03:07exist gave an interesting answer. He said no. He didn't think there was a ban. But then
03:12he also said that he believed the Chinese side was engaged in some sort of gamesmanship.
03:18In other words he was suggesting that perhaps China again was using the prospect or the threat
03:23of a ban to drive down the price. Let's take a listen to what Roger Cook had to say.
03:28Now look I had a briefing from Tim Day, the head of BHP, earlier in the week in Japan.
03:34He's saying the negotiations are tough. They are subject to a certain amount of strategic
03:41gamesmanship for want of a better description. But I'm confident they'll reach an agreement.
03:46And Stephen, how's BHP's share price gone today and what happens next?
03:51Look it wasn't cataclysmic today for BHP but it did take a hit down some 2% on the market.
03:58That's not a pleasant result, though not a disastrous one. I think what it speaks to is a level of concern
04:03and uncertainty. Interestingly it started off with a smaller fall before getting worse.
04:08Perhaps that just speaks to the fact that there was initially a sense of confidence and then
04:12perhaps over the day that deteriorated slightly. The long term position is probably a fairly
04:17confident one still because it's not easy for China to find a replacement for the quality
04:22and sheer scale of the iron ore that's provided by BHP. They could turn to other Australian suppliers
04:29or some offshore for a short time but finding a long term replacement at this point is probably
04:35impossible. So that might explain the underpinning confidence. Still it's a fluid situation and what
04:41it probably speaks to is an ongoing determination by China to use the new structure that it's
04:46had in place for centralised buying, it's had this for three or four years now, to try
04:51and give itself more leverage over the big miners, to try and stabilise or even force down
04:56the price. It wants to take iron ore from Australia but increasingly it wants to do it on its terms
05:02rather than on the terms of the big miners. And it looks increasingly like it's willing to resort
05:07to, at least in some instances, increasingly hardball tactics in order to get that.
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