Exploring Josh Allen's Key Prop Bets vs. Miami on Thursday Night

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00:00All right, Brad, so let's dive in here.

00:02Let's start taking a look here at the board.

00:05Josh Allen's props are all being bet over.

00:08This is such a dangerous game for the books, by the way.

00:10If Buffalo wins big and Allen goes over all his props,

00:14they'll still build another hotel on something else.

00:16But this is not what the books want, right?

00:18Like, they want Miami to be in the game.

00:20They want Josh Allen to throw for, like, 160.

00:23And then you see we got two as props there, too.

00:25So, Brad, welcome back.

00:26Let's dive right in.

00:28Yeah, you talk about Josh Allen being bet.

00:30One line that I thought was really interesting that's being bet up

00:34is Josh Allen rushing yards, right?

00:38It started out at 31.5 and went all the way up.

00:42Now it looks like there's some buyback down to 27.5.

00:46It was really weird to watch the bettors flock to Josh Allen rushing yards.

00:51I know he ran the ball successfully in back-to-back games,

00:55but I consider this a lower-leverage game.

00:57And what I mean by that is Josh Allen doesn't need to run the ball against Miami.

01:01The outlet's going to be there to James Cook.

01:03He's also going to be able to have success through the air if he wants to.

01:07And Miami's run defense has been pretty poor.

01:09If you look at the last two times, two times these teams played as well,

01:12he didn't run the ball.

01:13He didn't have the need.

01:14But kind of like circling or the wagon, I guess you'd say,

01:17is with the outlet of James Cook,

01:19a prop that I think is kind of profitable or should be profitable in this game

01:23is James Cook over 12.5 receiving yards.

01:27It opened at 11.5, so he did miss the one yard.

01:30But James Cook is being involved, included in this offense a lot more

01:35than he has years past.

01:37They just want to get the ball in his hands.

01:38Over 20 carries last time.

01:40Yes, he only had one target against the Jets, but it was the Jets.

01:45Jets do a pretty good job of running backs out of the backfield.

01:48I think the Miami Dolphins, who historically allow a lot of receiving yards

01:52to running backs, will struggle with this.