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  • 7 weeks ago
Transcript
00:00A 12-45 start is going to take place during the big game at the Shoe.
00:03A 10-point favorite for the Kentucky Wildcats going up against Toledo of the MAAC.
00:09Yeah, disappointing season for Kentucky and Mark Stoops.
00:12They got abused by South Carolina earlier in the year and didn't recover.
00:16Toledo, one of the best teams in the MAAC.
00:18And we saw the MAAC step up, right, Thursday night, cover those games.
00:22We saw Western Michigan cover last night against Michigan State.
00:25So now I think this is a hot play by a lot of cappers here.
00:30It is.
00:30Everybody loves the Toledo Rockets.
00:32I will say Texas A&M former quarterback Zach Calzada will get the start for Kentucky.
00:40This is a bounce-back spot to make a statement.
00:42They still bring back three starters on the offensive line.
00:45We know Kentucky's very physical in the interior.
00:48It's a bounce-back spot for me, for Mark Stoops.
00:51Lined to open up basically 7.5s in the offseason.
00:54It's now up to 9.5s, 10s.
00:57I'm going to roll with Kentucky.
00:58I think they pound them in Lexington.
01:00How about the Chanticleers going on the road to take on the Virginia Cavaliers?
01:04I believe it's Matt Shaw, Wally Lundy in the backfield for Virginia.
01:07What do we got today?
01:07Virginia Coastal.
01:08Come on.
01:09Yeah, so Virginia lost their quarterback, Calandria.
01:12He transferred out.
01:14But they get in Chandler Morris, the former North Texas and TCU quarterback.
01:18He can chuck it.
01:19You know, this line opened up at 11.5.
01:22We're seeing, I believe, 13.5s in the market right now.
01:25So, I would take the points down.
01:28Now that we've had adjustment from 11.5 to 13.5, I would take the points with Coastal.
01:33What I do find intriguing, 60.5s for a Virginia game typically, to me, is high.
01:39I think we blow through the total.
01:41I actually like points of plenty here.
01:43How about that?
01:43I want to talk about points of plenty here.
01:45And this deals with Penn State.
01:46I'm telling you right now, there's no better coach in the country that can go to his alumni
01:50and say, I got you on this big spread today.
01:52We're going to run it up under the guise of, well, these guys deserve to play as well.
01:56So, why am I going to stop the game plan for them?
01:58The reason I'm talking about this, Nevada comes to town to take on Penn State in State College.
02:0359.5 was the total of the opening number, Joe.
02:05It's down to 53.5 at a lot of outlets.
02:07But look at this price point.
02:09Minus 42.5 is a favorite with a 53.5 total.
02:13Penn State here, do they get the total and the cover by themselves, Joe?
02:18I think they get the cover, meaning laying the 42.5.
02:22Here's the thing.
02:23I think they get the total, and here's why.
02:25Do they get the cover and the game doesn't go over?
02:28That would be a shot.
02:29No, I'll tell you why.
02:30I think Nevada can potentially at least put up points to get them through the total.
02:36I like the total more than I like Penn State.
02:38Penn State out of conference, Donnie.
02:40Again, straight up opponents, right?
02:42At a conference, dating back for the last eight or nine seasons, 44-7, straight up against
02:47non-conference Big Ten opponents, right?
02:50They won their games last year by an average margin of victory of 26 points per game.
02:54We saw them struggle in critical spots.
02:56We saw them struggle against Bowling Green.
02:59They were laying 34.5, and they were trailing at half.
03:02Jim Knowles comes over from Ohio State, but again, it's a new scheme.
03:05You know, we always talk about coordinators.
03:07Even though the talent's there, what if there's a broken coverage?
03:10I'm worried about the total in that aspect, saying, oh, they're going to shut them down,
03:15laying 42.5.
03:16I'd much rather take the total.
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