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US President Donald Trump said he believes Russian President Vladimir Putin is heading into Friday’s Alaska summit wanting to make a deal to end the war in Ukraine.

The president kept expectations for the meeting high after White House officials earlier this week downplayed the face-to-face session as a “listening exercise.” #CNN #News

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00:00On the eve of his crucial summit with Vladimir Putin, President Trump is setting the bar low, and then high, and then low again.
00:08Here's what he said just this morning on the Brian Kilmeade Show.
00:12I believe now he's convinced that he's going to make a deal. He's going to make a deal. I think he's going to, and we're going to find out.
00:19I'm going to know very quickly, but there is a 25% chance that this meeting will not be a successful meeting,
00:24in which case I will run the country, and we have made America great again already in six months.
00:32And you'll hit them with consequences, right? You'll hit them with more sanctions.
00:35The Senate sanctions go front and center if he disrespe... Yeah?
00:40Oh, sure. If it's not solved, look, again, we didn't lose any soldiers. We didn't lose anybody.
00:49But this was a war. If I didn't get in here, this could have been World War III.
00:52That came just hours after these comments from President Putin in Moscow.
01:01To tell you about the stage we are at with the current American administration,
01:06which, as everyone knows, is making, in my opinion, quite energetic and sincere efforts to stop the hostilities,
01:12stop the crisis, and reach agreements that are of interest to all parties involved in this conflict,
01:17in order to create long-term conditions for peace between our countries and in Europe.
01:22And in the world as a whole, if by the next stages we reach agreements in the area of control over strategic offensive weapons.
01:31CNN's Elena Trin is at the White House.
01:34Elena, what are you learning about the preps in the building behind you for this really important meeting?
01:41Yeah, we're getting a lot more details, Dana, of what this is actually going to look like,
01:48and what the parameters that the president believes need to be set as he heads into it.
01:52One is, we know, of course, the location of it's going to be at Joint Base Elmendorf in Anchorage.
01:57But they both said, both the Kremlin, but also President Donald Trump and his White House Press Secretary Caroline Levitt,
02:04that they expect there to be a joint press conference between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin tomorrow after all of this ends,
02:11which in itself is incredibly notable that this is going to be, you know,
02:15we're going to see Putin standing potentially alongside Donald Trump here, speaking to reporters.
02:20That will come after, though, the one-on-one meeting between the two of them,
02:25and then also follows a bilateral lunch between both the leaders and their respective delegations.
02:31And just to get into, I think it's so important what you've touched on about the expectation setting as we head into this summit,
02:37because so far this week we've really seen the White House and even the president himself try to keep the expectations low.
02:44You've heard the White House Press Secretary argue that this is a listening exercise for President Donald Trump.
02:49Trump himself said that he doesn't believe it's up to him to make a deal.
02:53But now he's saying two important things from that interview.
02:56He said, one, he doesn't know if they're going to get an immediate ceasefire.
02:59And he also said he believes that the Russian president is convinced that he's going to get a deal.
03:05This comes, of course, as we know, European allies of the United States
03:08and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy made very clear on that call with President Donald Trump yesterday
03:14that they believe any decisions, any potential deal needs,
03:19they need to have a seat at the table before that can happen
03:21and also that an immediate ceasefire is necessary before they can move forward.
03:25Now, what we also heard President Donald Trump say to Brian Kilmeade in that radio interview
03:30is that he believes that this one, this first meeting is,
03:34the most important part is getting a second meeting.
03:36And he wants there to be a second meeting.
03:38He said even potentially having them stay in Alaska and having Zelenskyy join.
03:43But at the same time, we're also hearing that, you know,
03:45he believes in the first few minutes of that meeting,
03:47he'll know whether or not it's successful.
03:49He said that he believes there's a 25% chance that this could end in failure.
03:54So still trying, I guess, to keep the expectations somewhere in the middle
03:58despite kind of raising them with what he believes Putin is looking for here.
04:02Yeah, it's a lot of raising, lowering, raising, lowering.
04:05We'll obviously see what actually happens when they meet face-to-face.
04:10Thank you so much for that reporting, Elena.
04:11And I'm joined here by a terrific group of reporters, CNN's Phil Mattingly,
04:16Margaret Tala of Axios, and CNN's Kylie Atwood.
04:20Kylie, I want to read to our viewers some of your awesome reporting
04:23that's out on CNN.com this morning.
04:26Putin thinks he's winning, so he has no reason to bend,
04:29said one person familiar with recent U.S. intelligence assessments.
04:33His thinking is he might as well pocket the wins he has now,
04:37including the Ukrainian territory he has already taken by force,
04:41and then make another run to take more later.
04:45Yeah, U.S. intelligence officials don't believe that Putin's overall objectives
04:50when it comes to Ukraine have greatly changed over the last few months.
04:54There's some indications that there might be a short-term softening in his goals,
04:58an openness to getting some of those territorial wins
05:03and actually pocketing them, getting some economic deals with the United States.
05:08But overall, the perspective is much more pessimistic,
05:11that he's still focused on this maximalist perspective
05:14when it comes to gaining Ukrainian territory.
05:18And we have heard as such from Russian officials over the last few days.
05:22They've talked about the territories that they have made military gains in,
05:26wanting to have control of the entirety of those territories,
05:29which would mean Ukraine ceding territory
05:31that they haven't even lost to date during this war.
05:34So what we don't know is how much President Trump
05:37is actually taking these intelligence assessments into account
05:41when he heads into this meeting,
05:42because he personally has been very optimistic
05:46that he will be able to tell in the first two minutes, in his words,
05:50if President Putin is actually willing to make a deal or not.
05:56The way I'm looking at this is just that there is this underlying asymmetry
05:59to what is going to unfold tomorrow,
06:03which is that President Trump wants to make a deal.
06:06That's his incentive.
06:08Americans, many Americans who are swing voters who voted for him
06:11are saying, we thought prices were going to go down,
06:13we thought he was going to solve wars in one day,
06:15we're not seeing the things he promised.
06:17So that's the domestic political pressure he faces.
06:19Putin wants to lock in his gains.
06:22And the two entities that are impacted most by this,
06:25which is Vladimir Zelensky and Europe,
06:28are not actually at the table right now at this moment
06:31and are not actually in the room.
06:33So I think what, I don't want to prejudge anything.
06:36We won't know how President Trump wants to play this
06:38until it unfolds and what he would consider,
06:40you know, a win for himself.
06:42But what might be a domestic political win for Donald Trump
06:45may in no way align with what would be existentially like okay
06:50for the Ukrainian leader.
06:52And so I just, that is what surrounds the uncertainty
06:55heading into this summit.
06:57Yeah, and I think it gets to an important point
06:58that people need to keep in perspective
06:59as they try and frame what's about to happen.
07:02This is the first of, in a best case scenario,
07:05a very lengthy multi-step, multi-meeting,
07:08multi-lateral process that hasn't even started yet
07:11and has spent years unable to begin
07:13because of where President Putin has been up to this point.
07:17I think what's so striking, though,
07:18thinking about this moment is, you know,
07:20you show the clips from the July 2018
07:22joint press conference in Helsinki.
07:24Were you there?
07:24I was.
07:25Yeah, you were there.
07:25I was on Capitol Hill, and I'll never forget,
07:28as much as the first term blurs together
07:30into, like, just blurs days continuously,
07:34walking down from my office in the Capitol
07:37to talk to lawmakers at votes after that press conference
07:40and seeing their faces.
07:42Because the president said he trusted Russian intelligence.
07:45It was a moment that, like, you could see
07:48his closest allies in the Republican Party,
07:50of which there were much fewer back then
07:51than there are now, I'll grant that,
07:52were so stunned by the tone he took,
07:55the frame he took, the side he took,
07:57which was largely President Putin's.
07:58And I think it's important to remember
08:00that this is a president that is now in a second term,
08:02has experienced four years in office,
08:04is much more confident in how he operates,
08:06and I'll be fascinated to see
08:07how that dynamic plays out compared to 2018.
08:10Such a good point, and I'm so glad you brought that up
08:13because it was certainly a moment that's indelible.
08:18Even though he has clearly learned a lot,
08:21his approach to Vladimir Putin
08:24or his reaction to Putin just in the last six months
08:27has gone up and down.
08:30Let's just look at it a little bit.
08:31This is starting in February of this year,
08:34so just, I think it was just two or three weeks
08:37after he was inaugurated,
08:39what President Trump said about Vladimir Putin.
08:43He wants it to end.
08:45He doesn't want to end it
08:46and then go back to fighting six months later.
08:48I think I do know how to end the war.
08:51Despite the Russia, Russia, Russia hoax,
08:53I've always had a good relationship with Putin.
08:55I'm not happy with what Putin's doing.
08:58He's killing a lot of people,
08:59and I don't know what the hell happened to Putin.
09:01I've known him a long time.
09:02We get a lot of bullsh** thrown at us by Putin
09:05for you want to know the truth.
09:07He's very nice all the time,
09:08but it turns out to be meaningless.
09:11President Putin, I believe,
09:12wants to see peace,
09:14and Zelensky wants to see peace.
09:17Kylie.
09:18As that evolution happened,
09:21we have reported that Trump
09:22was actually asking people around him
09:24what changed in Putin,
09:26because he thinks that something
09:27has fundamentally changed
09:29about the Russian leader
09:30that he dealt with
09:30in the first Trump administration.
09:32He was asking Europeans about this.
09:34He was asking White House aides about this.
09:35One rationale he was given
09:37that's at least personally responsible,
09:39they said, was the COVID pandemic
09:41when President Putin was really isolated
09:44and became really paranoid.
09:46But it's clear that President Trump
09:48is publicly talking about
09:52how frustrated he has grown with Putin
09:54and privately trying to figure out
09:55what has happened here.
09:57I also think it's worth noting,
09:59just coming back to the point
10:00of what we're going to see come out of this,
10:01because we really don't know,
10:03neither President Trump or President Putin
10:05have laid out clear objectives for this meeting.
10:08The clearest person on that
10:09has been President Zelensky.
10:10And to Margaret's point,
10:12he's not going to be in the room tomorrow.
10:14So when President Trump says earlier today
10:16that a ceasefire immediately
10:18might not actually come,
10:19he wants a full peace deal.
10:21Well, what is the first step
10:22towards that peace deal in his mind?
10:24We genuinely don't know.
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