Predicting Tonight’s Longest Home Run and Key Factors

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00:00A player to hit the longest home run is one.

00:04O'Neal Cruz, of course, is the favorite there.

00:06He's hit some real moonshots this year.

00:09But, look, there's probably some value down at the bottom

00:12with some of those guys with bigger numbers.

00:14You never know.

00:15All these guys can crank it, as you were saying before the break.

00:19So I know that Cruz and Wood got the, you know, they're the exit velo guys.

00:23But anybody can hit a deep shot at any time.

00:27Over under the amount of home runs in the night is 240 and a half.

00:32I mean, honestly, you know, you're kind of, you're throwing a dart with that one,

00:38to be quite honest with you.

00:39Well, look, I think your guy Wood can hit a bomb.

00:43And I think those two guys are the choice.

00:45I think that we've seen them both hit these enormous shots

00:49and with the exit velocity.

00:51So I'd be willing to bet on either one of them, Cruz or Wood.

00:55And I brought this up, too, while you were away before.

00:59And let me get your thoughts on this quickly.

01:01I was saying that it's very important also to kind of see who's pitching to these guys.

01:07Because sometimes that makes a very big difference.

01:10There's been a lot of information that's been put out there about this today.

01:14You know, you got like Cal Raleigh.

01:15You know, he's got his dad coming in to pitch.

01:17I don't know how often his dad throws to him.

01:19Jazz has his stepdad coming in to pitch for him.

01:22Whereas guys like Buxton and Wood have, like, coaches on the team

01:26who pitch to them all the time in batting practice, doing it with them.

01:30You know, it sounds like it's not that big a deal.

01:34I agree.

01:35I think that that, you know, I'm sure.

01:37Listen, Cal Raleigh's dad, I'm sure, has been throwing to him all his life.

01:40But not in batting practice every day before the game when he's cranking over.

01:46Or in a stressful environment like this.

01:50This is pressure, stress, big time, television, millions of people watching.

01:57I'm sure, like, look, I've thrown out two first pitches, right?

02:02I did it in the Homer Dome, and I did it at Hard Rock.

02:05And both times I did it, I have to tell you, unequivocally, I was nervous,

02:12and I was very slick, sweaty hands when I got the ball.

02:17I was basically shaking in my boots.

02:20I don't know how some father can show up on national television

02:25in front of millions of people and just throw strikes to this kid.

02:30Now, I guess the proof's in the pudding.

02:32We'll see tonight.

02:32But I trust guys that do it every day at BP over some dad coming in to do it.

02:40I got to tell you, to be honest with you.

02:43Yeah, and his brother's catching him.

02:46His 15-year-old brother's going to be behind the plate.

02:48His mom's in the outfield.

02:50I'm just saying, there's some guys that are there for the moment

02:56and spending it with their family.

02:57And Cal Raleigh's been an absolute monster this year.

03:00He might go out and hit 70 home runs tonight.

03:02I'm not telling you he's not.

03:04But then I think there's other guys who are there for the money,

03:08and they want to win.

03:09Like, you know, I feel like, you know,

03:12telling you that Caminero's going to make more tonight

03:14than he would in his entire contract this year if he wins,

03:18you know, I think that's going to take it a little more seriously.

03:21Just one guy.

03:23I think it's first and second.

03:25So it's a million, I think, for first.

03:27And the runner-up, I think, gets, you know, $500,000.

03:31Making the finals is worth money to a lot.

03:33Now, Matt Olsen makes $22 million this year.

03:36Does he care?

03:37You know, listen, a million's a million.

03:39You could put a little extension on the house with a million,

03:41no matter how much money you make.

03:42You know, that's one thing, bud.

03:45With a million dollars.

03:46You could do a little more than that.

03:48You can get another house for a million.

03:50You can go buy yourself a little vacation house somewhere.

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