00:00the dodgers on opening day plus 135 the dodgers at the all-star break plus 120 la despite dropping
00:07seven consecutive games their longest losing skid since september of 2017 before they won the final
00:13two games of their weekend set against the giants still have a five and a half game lead in their
00:18division and still have the best record in the national league by a half game in front of the
00:24cubbies so when you look at those prices around the nl is there a buy-in spot where you had missed
00:30a ton of value from where the season began and where it is right now i'm not so sure unless you
00:36really think the milwaukee brewers are that squad 25 the one before the year now 13 to 1 milwaukee is
00:431-7 straight hottest team in the national league at the all-star break and drs the top wildcard team
00:49only trailing the cubs by a full game in the national league central but when you look at
00:54these prices now of course you need to play be in that playoff position to win a pennant but it's
01:00a very different story come october than it is right now even midway through july yeah to win
01:05the national league pennant you take a look at the dodgers who we think are the most talented team but
01:08a plus 120 price that's madness at this point like you know if let's just say the dodgers don't even
01:13win the division end up in the wildcard that's the best of three then the nl ds is the best of five
01:17let's just say they don't end up in the wildcard and just in the nl ds because of the top seed it's
01:21still a best of five like you've seen red hot teams consistently knock out top level teams so
01:26just for that and the same thing with the philadelphia phillies at least they're plus 490
01:29if the phillies were let's just say the dodgers plus 120 the phillies are plus 200 it's like no i
01:34wouldn't be taking the phillies either so as much as i like to say the dodgers and they'll probably add
01:39on if we're just looking optimistically now i'm not doing that like i'm taking a better price it's the
01:43same way we'll approach like home run derby tonight hey there's eight guys in the lineup it looks
01:47like any one of them can win it well why would i take the favorite at this point why don't we just
01:50look down for a little bit more value which would the mets be valued six to one maybe the cubs i do
01:54like it six to one but the teams like the brewers i don't like like the padres are very intriguing at
01:5916 to one if they make a trade for another bat they have front end pitching they have a very good
02:03bullpen and again it's just about five games seven games it's not an entire season laid out you just
02:09get hot at the right moment it makes some sense so for me right now thinking about it i don't want
02:14the top shelf teams with the best odds here i'm trying to look a little bit further down that list
02:18because i know how tough it is to win in the playoffs and if you just have a bad one or two
02:23games that can knock you out and that's why you don't want to take a heavy favorite at that point so
02:27right now i love the dodgers but i don't love the price and there's no way i would take them now
02:32now if you ask me the same question ben in three weeks at the trade deadline and the dodgers
02:36really added on you could get them at a plus 100 price ago that probably makes a little bit
02:40more sense but there's other teams out there the phillies the mets the cubs the bruise and the
02:44padres along with the giants they're still going to be looking to add on and i'm looking at a team
02:49that's going to add on and still get a better price of five six or seven to one or better than
02:54maybe somebody less than five to one like the phillies or the dodgers
02:57you
Comments