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Guessing the Miami Dolphins 2025 season MVP - Tua Tagovailoa or Tyreek Hill?
WQAM-AM / AM 560 Sports WQAM
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2 days ago
If the Dolphins are going to have a ‘good’ season, who will end up being their MVP? A strong case is built for Tyreek Hill but Crowder is adamant that Tua Tagovailoa will have to produce.
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00:00
I was looking, Pro Football Network, they did every NFL team's 2025 MVP candidate.
00:12
Now, you would imagine, well, I'll ask you, who do you think would be the Miami Dolphins,
00:18
according to Pro Football Network, who do you think the Miami Dolphins MVP candidate
00:23
would be going into next season?
00:26
Tua, got to be Tua.
00:28
Solana?
00:30
Tua or Minka Fitzpatrick?
00:33
So it's...
00:34
Safety?
00:35
It's Tyreek Hill.
00:37
It's a ridiculous...
00:38
It was a ridiculous answer.
00:39
Solana.
00:41
Why?
00:41
The safety.
00:42
I will double your salary if Minka Fitzpatrick is the Dolphins MVP candidate going into next season.
00:52
Mark the tape, Jimmy.
00:54
Jimmy, lose that tape.
00:57
A safety?
00:58
Yeah, I mean, we don't have to get into it.
01:02
Like, obviously, I think it was Tua, but I do think if Minka Fitzpatrick is the best player
01:06
on the Dolphins' defense, it would be huge, because the Dolphins literally have nobody else
01:11
of note in the secondary.
01:14
Is he the best player already on the defense?
01:15
That's a good question.
01:16
Definitely on the defense, but in the secondary, I mean, you can't name me anybody else other
01:22
than Cater Kohu in the Dolphins' secondary right now.
01:25
So, like, Minka Fitzpatrick has to carry that entire secondary, all the DBs.
01:31
I truly believe it.
01:32
So, I think he needs to be the Dolphins' MVP this year if they're going to be good, or one
01:37
of their MVPs this year.
01:39
It would be if Chubb or Jalen come back from injury strong.
01:45
That's what it would be.
01:46
It would be one of those pass rushers.
01:47
I'm with you, Solana.
01:48
As we sit here today, they play a game tomorrow.
01:50
Minka Fitzpatrick is the best one touching the field.
01:52
But if one of them pass rushers come back, and for their defense to be good, we need to
01:59
get a couple of those pass rushers back.
02:02
Chop Robinson got to do his thing.
02:04
Found it interesting that Tyreek Hill is Pro Football Network's choice for the pot, because
02:08
most of them are quarterbacks, obviously.
02:10
I think Saquon is, you know, a non-quarterback who's up as a team MVP possibility.
02:18
I just found it interesting, because remember yesterday, we were looking at the Hard Rock props,
02:21
and they don't even have Tyreek Hill catching for 1,000 yards.
02:25
Like, they're expecting a down season.
02:28
I'll read you what it says on Pro Football Network.
02:30
Tua Tunga-Vailoa might be the more realistic MVP candidate for the Dolphins, simply because
02:35
he plays quarterback.
02:36
But Tyreek Hill is the one most likely to do something we've never seen, thanks to his speed
02:43
and explosiveness.
02:44
Hill is one of the most dangerous players in the league.
02:47
His 2024 season wasn't his best, mostly because of quarterback issues, but in 2023, he led
02:55
the NFL in receiving yards and touchdowns.
02:58
The Dolphins went 8-9 last season.
03:01
If they stay healthy, Mike McDaniel's offense could return to elite form.
03:06
In 2023, they led the NFL in yards and were second in scoring.
03:11
If that version of Miami returns, Hill will be a huge reason why.
03:17
And I thought it was interesting, because when I read it, you know, I have relied on ignoring
03:22
last season and counting the 2023 season in every argument I give you for Tua and Mike McDaniel.
03:31
But for whatever reason, I have not extended that same thing to Tyreek Hill.
03:36
But this one made me kind of sit up and go, you know what, maybe I should be extending
03:42
that kind of courtesy to Tyreek Hill as well, and just write off last season for all the
03:48
players involved.
03:49
And if you go back to 23, Tyreek Hill, I mean, last year we were talking about a 2,000 yard
03:55
season, and it was based on what he had done in 2023.
03:59
So, maybe they're not that far off on that.
04:03
Tyreek Hill didn't have a 100-yard game with Tua healthy, because Tua played in the Green
04:11
Bay game.
04:13
What's that?
04:14
1, 2, 3, 4, 5.
04:15
The last 11 games of the season, Tyreek didn't break 100 yards until the last game, Jacksonville,
04:23
which was worthless.
04:24
Tua can go for 300-hawk, and Tyreek can still have 4 for 16.
04:34
But all the, I mean, let's be honest, last year, all those catches were going to Odell
04:40
Beckham.
04:40
And now that he's not on the team anymore, that should free up some passes for Tyreek Hill.
04:46
Worst acquisition in the history of the franchise.
04:49
I don't know, I'm just saying, if I write off 24, and just say, don't count that against
04:57
Tua, don't count it against Mike McDaniel, I should probably do that for Tyreek Hill.
05:01
And that being said, just talking about what we were saying yesterday about the overs, the
05:05
player props, I mean, you should probably bet Tyreek over on receiving yards.
05:10
Again, if you follow my rationale that 2023 is the more representative version of the Dolphins
05:19
team than 2024, you should probably play the overs, because his overs are very depressed
05:25
right now because of last season.
05:27
And Tua can still ball.
05:29
Tua can go for 350, and Tyreek gets double-teamed every play, and he throws it to Jalen Waddle,
05:34
Darren Waller balls.
05:35
Like, you can isolate Tyreek Hill, but you can't stop the quarterback that's going to
05:42
throw a ball 30 times a game.
05:43
I gotcha.
05:44
But great receivers, we've talked about it, great receivers have a way of getting the
05:49
ball, and great coaches have a way of getting the ball in, and great quarterbacks too, have
05:56
a way of getting the ball in great receivers' hands, even when the defense is keying on that
06:01
player.
06:01
Are all three of our sectors of what you just said great?
06:06
Because I think Tyreek's great.
06:11
I know Tua's very good.
06:13
I don't know if McDaniel is great.
06:16
I don't know.
06:17
But that was the most frustrating part about last season, when Tua was healthy.
06:22
Oh, yeah, they're playing four high.
06:26
And it's like, who cares?
06:27
Like, what, teams haven't doubled Tyreek Hill in the past?
06:30
I get it.
06:31
He was a little banged up, and then the way he ended the season quitting, like, we're
06:35
all frustrated with Tyreek Hill.
06:36
But remember, and I hate to read this again, but I read the stat to you guys yesterday from
06:40
Chris Perkins.
06:41
I still have it written down.
06:42
Over the past two years, the Dolphins are 11-0 and average 35 points per game when Tyreek
06:47
Hill has 100 yards or more receiving.
06:50
When he has 99 yards of receiving or less, the Dolphins are 7-16 and average 18 points per
06:56
game.
06:56
And maybe we shouldn't be surprised with what Pro Football Talk is saying, Hawk.
07:00
Tyreek Hill is, without a doubt, the best player on the Miami Dolphins.
07:02
Like, without a doubt, if you just ranked players on the team.
07:06
And you need your best player to be your best player.
07:10
And he wasn't a season ago.
07:11
So they're probably right.
07:13
Tua's great, but Tyreek Hill makes him even better.
07:16
Tyreek Hill has been an elite NFL player before.
07:20
Tua hasn't been elite.
07:21
He's been very good.
07:22
I'm a big fan of his, but Tyreek Hill has been elite.
07:25
By the way, someone texted in.
07:26
They're 100% correct.
07:28
That song, Jimmy, is from My Cousin Vinny.
07:31
That's where I knew that song from.
07:33
That 100% is in My Cousin Vinny and much more recognizable from that.
07:38
It was in Big 2.
07:40
I'm not disputing that.
07:41
I'm just saying, I knew it from another movie.
07:44
It was My Cousin Vinny.
07:46
This is the tough thing about, and this is right back on Mike McDaniel, who is the, what'd you say, Hawk?
07:53
The second leading coach to lose his job, you know, betting wise.
07:58
Yeah, right behind Brian Dable.
08:00
I'm just going off targets.
08:02
I'm not talking about yards or receptions, just targets.
08:05
Jamar Chase, one.
08:06
Neighbors, two.
08:07
Drake London, Atlanta, three.
08:08
Justin Jefferson, four.
08:10
Garrett Wilson, tied with 154 at five.
08:16
CeeDee Lamb, Jerry, Judy, and Cleveland.
08:19
Just targets.
08:19
Just getting them an opportunity to make a play.
08:22
Tyreek Hill's 19.
08:24
But it was, again, a down season for everyone involved.
08:30
Give me that same stat.
08:32
Give me the target stat for 2023.
08:34
You know, all I'm saying is this, and I understand this is convenient on my part.
08:39
I am saying, forget the most recent season.
08:43
Look at the stats from 2023 and use those as your expectations for the coming season.
08:50
And it, it, and you're, I'll prove your point right now.
08:54
Steedy Lamb, one.
08:55
Devon Adams, two.
08:57
Tyreek Hill, three with 171.
08:59
Garrett Wilson, Ahmad St.
09:01
A.J. Brown, Stephon Diggs, Fuka Nakua, A.J. Brown, all those top receivers.
09:06
That's what it should be.
09:08
And Tyreek was three.
09:09
And Tyreek was three, two years ago.
09:11
That's all I'm saying.
09:12
Again, very convenient for my argument.
09:14
I get it.
09:15
But I, I have not extended that same kind of sensibility to Tyreek for the upcoming season
09:23
that I have for Tua and that I have for Mike McDaniel.
09:26
And reading what Pro Football Network had written there about MVP candidates got me thinking like,
09:33
huh, if I am going to say, hey, go back to 2023, well then Tyreek Hill probably is your
09:39
MVP candidate and you probably should expect a damn great season from Tyreek Hill.
09:46
But if Tyreek goes for 1,700 and Tua throws for 4,500, Tua is still going to be the MVP.
09:54
Probably.
09:57
Probably.
09:58
I don't know.
09:58
I don't, I don't know.
09:59
He wasn't, he wasn't two years ago.
10:03
I think, though, I think just based on the conversation we're having and the, and the stats you read from 23 versus 24,
10:09
I want to bet Tua overs and Tyreek Hill overs.
10:14
There was like, is Liam Eikenberg still playing?
10:18
I'm going to bet his overs as well.
10:21
Bet his, bet his, bet over sacks.
10:24
Sacks giving up.
10:26
There was like a three week stretch in 23 early in the season after the 70 point game.
10:31
Tua was in the MVP conversation.
10:33
But then by the, by the end of that season, even before the Tennessee loss,
10:37
Tyreek chasing 2,000 yards was like the headline.
10:42
And Tua fell out of the MVP race.
10:44
Tyreek didn't.
10:44
I remember some of us taking flyers on Tyreek Hill to win MVP because we thought, hey, he's going to get to 2,000.
10:51
And if he does, no matter where the Dolphins are in the playoff race, he's going to win MVP.
10:55
It's never been done before by somebody of his stature.
10:58
He's the MVP, bro.
11:02
Hmm.
11:05
As a betting man, I bet Tua.
11:07
But I, I can see the other side if everything gets back on track from 24 months ago.
11:14
That's all I'm saying is I've been saying everything's going to get back on track from 2023,
11:18
but I've been discounting Tyreek Hill as part of that for some reason.
11:23
And I probably shouldn't be doing that because he was the key cog in the 2023 stats.
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