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On the year's anniversary of Keir Starmer becoming prime minister, and Nigel Farage's entry into parliament, we look back at a difficult year for Labour, which has ended with their Chancellor in tears.

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00:00July 2024. Keir Starmer sweeps to power with a crushing Labour majority.
00:08But now our country has voted decisively for change, for national renewal and a return
00:17of politics to public service. The Prime Minister had promised a return
00:22to grown-up politics after the chaos of the Brexit years and Covid.
00:27He promised to curb illegal immigration. The number of people crossing the channel now is shocking.
00:33It's record numbers as you rightly say and this was Rishi Sunak's pledge to the country 18 months
00:40ago to stop the boats and the numbers gone up. The way to bring this down, it has to be dealt with,
00:44this is a very serious issue, is what we would do which was to set up a border security command
00:50to smash the gangs that are running this vile trade. Fix the NHS.
00:55If I am elected in to serve as Prime Minister, my job is to bring those waiting lists down.
01:02The NHS may be in a critical condition but its vital signs are strong and we need to have the
01:09courage to deliver long-term reform. Major surgery, not sticking plasters.
01:15And grow the economy. Our focus is on growth. That's been the missing ingredient for the last 14 years.
01:22It's been slightly the missing ingredient in this campaign as well because we're not talking enough
01:28about how we grow the economy and create wealth. Making a pledge not to increase tax.
01:34We have been very clear that for working people we are not going to increase their taxes. So that
01:40means we are not increasing income tax, national insurance or VAT and that is because I think the
01:47burden on working people is too high. The tax burden under this government is at a 70-year high and that is
01:55why our plans are fully costed, fully funded. They do not involve tax rises over and above the ones that
02:02we've set out in relation to non-dom status, private equity, loopholes, VAT on private schools and of course
02:08a windfall tax on oil and gas companies. So they're the rises we will put in place but we have not
02:15announced today anything over and above what we've pre-announced. So none of the plans today in our
02:20manifested for growth for wealth creation require us to raise other taxes. The same day Nigel Farage
02:27on his eighth time of trying was finally elected to Westminster with his band of reform UK MPs
02:34vowing to be a thorn in the side of the new government. I therefore do hereby declare
02:39that Nigel Paul Farage is duly elected as the member of parliament for the Clacton constituency.
02:45What is interesting is there's no enthusiasm for Labour, there's no enthusiasm for Starmer
02:54whatsoever. In fact about half of the vote is simply an anti-conservative vote. This Labour government
03:01will be in trouble very, very quickly and we will now be targeting Labour votes. We're coming
03:09for Labour being no doubt about that. Where Labour was seen as weak on crime and on immigration
03:18reform was seen as strong. Starmer's honeymoon didn't last long and just weeks into his premiership
03:24he suspended seven MPs for rebelling against his decision to keep the two child benefit cap.
03:31The Prime Minister's first real test was when riots erupted after the killing of three little girls
03:37at a Southport dance party. A 17 year old male from Banks in Lancashire who is originally from
03:45Cardiff has been arrested on suspicion of murder and attempted murder and is being taken to a police
03:52station where he will be interviewed by detectives. We believe that the adults who were injured
03:58were bravely trying to protect the children who were being attacked. Starmer was seen as too slow to
04:05react to the rioters and at the same time as being overly harsh on those who were concerned about the
04:11impact of immigration. I won't shy away from calling it what it is. Far-right thuggery. I want you to know
04:19that this violent mob do not represent our country and we will bring them to justice.
04:28Nigel Farage questioned whether the state was being honest with the people and whether Starmer's approach
04:34to the attack had hastened the public's anger. I posted a video in which I asked the question
04:40was this man known to the authorities? Why are you not telling us the truth? And for that I was vilified
04:51from senior newspaper publications, broadcasters, politicians just for asking for the truth.
04:58I was apparently somebody who was encouraging rioting. The opposite was the case.
05:09Weeks later the PM was engulfed in a row over freebies he'd accepted totaling more than £100,000
05:16which included clothes from Labour peer Lord Ali and £4,000 Taylor Swift concert tickets.
05:22Some in the media donned the PM Free Gear Keir, a play on the nickname Two-Tier Keir he had been given
05:29by some who felt the law was being applied differently to select groups in society on his watch.
05:36But the real trouble came when Labour announced they'd scrapped the winter fuel allowance for most
05:40pensioners. Those not in receipt of pension credit or certain other means-tested benefits will no longer
05:46receive the winter fuel payment from this year onwards. Let me be clear, this is not a decision.
05:54This caused outrage. The decisions I made on winter fuel payment yesterday are not decisions I wanted
06:00to make. They were not decisions that I expected to make. But when confronted with a £22 billion black
06:05hole I had to act. But the budget increased borrowing as well as £40 billion in taxes.
06:12Hiking national insurance which some thought broke their promise not to tax working people
06:17in order for a spending splurge. I can announce that I am providing
06:23a £22.6 billion increase in the day-to-day health budget
06:31and a £3.1 billion increase in the capital budget over this year and next.
06:37This is the largest real-term growth in day-to-day NHS spending outside of Covid since 2010.
06:49The public was split on whether or not they supported it.
06:53Given Labour's promises during the election, the media pushed Keir Starmer on whether he'd raise taxes
06:59again. Let me give this reassurance because we had to stabilise the economy and deal with
07:06a £22 billion black hole this time around. And that required us to make tough and difficult decisions
07:14in relation to both tax and spend. But when the Chancellor says we are not going to go through
07:21that sort of budget again, she's right about that. And that's why I can say and give reassurance
07:27in relation to tax that I know that individuals, families and businesses want the certainty of
07:32knowing that the tax regime is not going to change very much. But by January he was ducking the same
07:38question. Will he now rule out any new tax rises this year?
07:44Prime Minister! Mr Speaker, we took the right and difficult decisions of the budget.
07:50And by then reform had overtaken Labour in the polls as discontent with the government took hold.
07:56But Nigel Farage remained hot on his tail over his failure to smash the gangs and stop the boats
08:02of illegal migrants arriving in Britain. We've just gone through 10,000 people, nearly all young
08:07men that have crossed the English Channel. Smash the gangs is not working. Stop the boats before
08:12that didn't work either. And I think just at the weekend, Serco publishing all those towns where they
08:18want to take out five year leases on private rental property. And you begin to realise the scale of this.
08:23I mean, if this carries on at this rate, by the end, by the end of this Labour government,
08:29another quarter of a million people will have come into this country. Many of whom, frankly,
08:34don't fit our culture and will cost us a fortune. We are the only party. And by the way, I've been
08:39warning about this for five years. I was talking about this before anybody else. We're the only party
08:44that says unless you deport those that come illegally, they will continue to come. And we don't believe
08:49you can do that if you stay part of the ECHR. The next couple of months saw Keir Starmer draw
08:56Britain closer to the EU, sign a deal to hand over the Chagos Islands to Mauritius
09:01and sign trade deals with the US and India. While contentious, the Prime Minister seemed to be
09:06growing into the job until events meant the nation's finances were brought back into focus.
09:12This is a letter from His Majesty the King. It's an invitation for a second state visit.
09:20Escalating global tensions and Donald Trump's return to the White House meant Britain had to
09:25increase its spending on defence. And Rachel Reeve's fiscal rules meant market changes could
09:30quickly evaporate her headroom. The DWP was ordered to fine £5 billion of savings from welfare.
09:38The sharp rise in disability benefit claims since Covid meant personal independent payment was to be
09:44curtailed. But a rebellion forced the Prime Minister's hand, who eventually gutted his bill under pressure
09:50from backbench MPs. Scenes from Parliament rattled the markets. The Chancellor was seen in the Commons in tears.
09:59Keir Starmer then refused to back his Chancellor as she cried behind him. With rivals circling and the
10:06widespread perception the Prime Minister had lost control of his party, on the eve of his first
10:11year in office, the most popular political bet in Britain is now that the PM will not see out 2025.
10:20As reform rides high in the polls, Nigel Farage could be set to capitalise on such an outcome.
10:26Nicholas Dunning, GB News

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