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NSW SES & BoM update as heavy rain and winds batter NSW
Australian Community Media
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7 months ago
A powerful low-pressure system off the NSW coast is whipping up dangerous surf, strong winds and heavy rainfall, with the potential to trigger flash flooding.
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00:00
What we've seen overnight obviously many communities had a very sunny fine day
00:05
yesterday. Went to bed but overnight and waking up this morning they're finding
00:10
that there are some strong winds and some significant rainfalls that are
00:14
happening right across the east coast from up in the north at Coffs Harbour
00:18
right through down to even the New South Wales Victorian border. So it's a very
00:24
significant widespread dynamic and complex system. We do expect that we will
00:30
see wind gusts in pockets of up to 125 kilometres per hour. We do expect that we
00:37
will see rainfall from moderate to heavy in many areas from 50 millimetres right
00:45
through to 150 millimetres and in some pockets isolated rainfalls of in excess
00:50
of 200 millimetres. Whilst the impacts at the moment are more in the mid north
00:56
coast area we are seeing impacts already in Sydney and Illawarra and down the
01:02
coast. These as this system tracks southwards we will expect to see greater
01:08
impacts from mid afternoon today into tonight and tomorrow for the Sydney
01:13
Illawarra and south coast areas. This system will continue to move southward and
01:20
likely remain active until at least Thursday. So for communities in New South
01:26
Wales along the coast you can expect the most impacts from midday today right
01:33
through tomorrow. Now in terms of those winds it's likely that we'll see some
01:39
damaging winds of around you know 60 to 70 kilometres an hour and gusts of about 90
01:44
to 110 kilometres an hour. That includes across parts of the ranges but also nearer
01:48
the coast. This includes southern parts of the mid north coast, the Hunter, Sydney and
01:53
down through the Illawarra and parts of the south coast. Now as we start to see
01:57
that low pressure system deepen further today and move a little bit further south
02:00
the threat of destructive wind gusts is going to increase. So what we're talking
02:04
about here is destructive wind gusts of around 125 kilometres an hour being
02:08
possible right along the coastal fringe and we're expecting that that risk is
02:12
going to shift southwards towards parts of Sydney and potentially parts of the
02:15
Illawarra even as far south as Jarvis Bay or Ulladulla. Now this system is quite
02:20
dynamic and quite vigorous and we're expecting conditions to escalate through
02:24
the afternoon. What this means is that's why we're looking at that wind potential
02:28
increasing but also that threat of heavy rainfall increasing. This is most likely
02:33
for areas across the Illawarra as well as parts of Sydney. This means that we have a
02:37
greater flash flood risk and with potential for some fairly heavy falls to
02:41
develop over a short period of time and we could see some of those falls in
02:44
excess of 100 or 120 millimetres over the course of three to six hours. So that
02:49
is one thing to be prepared for but what we will see in terms of some of these
02:53
conditions easing is once we start to see that low weaken and shift further
02:57
offshore. So in terms of the timing of that we are still expecting the low to move
03:01
further south through tonight and that rainfall threat will shift down towards the
03:06
southern parts of the New South Wales coast but then we start to see numerous low
03:10
pressure centres within a broader area of low pressure across the Tasman Sea and
03:14
that's when we'll start to see conditions ease in New South Wales. So at this stage
03:18
the earliest that we'll see some of those warnings being cancelled from the
03:21
weather side of things is going to be potentially later Wednesday or more likely
03:26
on Thursday with that wind threat persisting into Thursday.
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