00:00I mean, how vulnerable would you say the leadership in Iran is looking right now?
00:03And how would you, how likely do you think it is that there will be a change of leadership?
00:09Well, I don't think it's going to be very likely in the short term.
00:11I don't.
00:12I don't know the degree to which opposition in Iran, and there is opposition in Iran,
00:16whether it's organized, whether in the current situation where many hundreds of thousands of people have fled from cities,
00:21certainly from Tehran, where there's no internet, whether such organization is possible.
00:25It is possible that a serious opposition can be mounted within the leadership as well by elements within the IRGC, within the army.
00:33Certainly the army doesn't like the IRGC.
00:35It's a very weak army.
00:37However, we don't know what is true.
00:40And I think that this would be hard to to gain, say this is that the the weakness of the regime has been fully exposed.
00:46It has lost its proxies in Hamas and Hezbollah.
00:49It doesn't have the ring of fire anymore.
00:51It has been proven to be not just a paper tiger, but kind of a tissue tiger.
00:58And and Israel has also struck down some of the tools of oppression in Iran.
01:02It is it has bombed the entrance to the Evin prison where political prisoners have been held and tortured.
01:08I know some of them personally.
01:10And and it has bombed the headquarters of the besiege, which is the paramilitary group that is used to suppress opposition very, very brutally.
01:17So I think that maybe people in the street, I don't know if they love the state of Israel and love what America and Israel have done in terms of bombing Iran.
01:26But it doesn't mean that they love the regime either.
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