Thunder Heavily Favored to Win NBA Championship: Odds & Analysis

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00:00Thunder now a minus 390 favorite to win that Larry O'Brien trophy.

00:05Donnie, there is no issue with Oklahoma City being booked as the frontrunner.

00:09Heck, with OKC being booked as even a strong minus money favorite.

00:13I think the question now becomes for the Thunder,

00:15what is that exact price going to be for the NBA championship series once it is set?

00:20It's not going to be minus 390 because you're looking at right now OKC

00:23is probably going to close out the Minnesota Timberwolves,

00:25but we just don't know who's going to close out.

00:26It's going to be the Pacers or the Knicks.

00:27The Knicks aren't as highly priced here as the Pacers, rightfully so.

00:31They're down 2-1 and being an underdog in game number four.

00:34That gives the advantage to the Pacers.

00:35Am I looking at that Oklahoma City line saying,

00:37oh man, do I think they win the championship?

00:39Yes, but is it price appropriate?

00:41Do you want to lay close to a $4 price on OKC?

00:44Or is there something that you'd rather take and say,

00:45I can see a comeback from the New York Knicks.

00:47Man, you know if the Knicks make the finals,

00:49they're not going to be 11-1 to win the NBA finals

00:51in a straight-up matchup with Oklahoma City.

00:53But the question is, do you think the Knicks are going to win that game tonight?

00:56If they do, it's probably a great price point.

00:58Because if the Knicks do win that game tonight, Ben,

01:00I think the Knicks will win this series because they have home court advantage back.

01:02They just have to win on their home court and take care of business.

01:05And even if they win game number five, they can still close out in game number six.

01:09But for me, I still look at that Pacers price.

01:11Because I do think the Pacers win the series.

01:12I've said that before the series started.

01:14And 6-1 is a nice price.

01:15But I do think Oklahoma City wins the championship.

01:18It's one of those, Ben, where if you say,

01:20OK, Pacers, Oklahoma City, NBA finals,

01:22can the Pacers steal game number one on the road against OKC?

01:26And that really puts you in a ticket position

01:27where you can cash out for a profit at that point.

01:30I think Oklahoma City wins.

01:31I don't want to take the minus 390 price.

01:33I do think that price will shorten up.

01:34But I do think the Pacers will be there in the finals

01:37because I think they win tonight and end up beating the Knicks in the series.