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  • 8 months ago
Jake Claver breaks down the potential price surge for XRP following recent ETF applications by Bitwise and Canary Capital. With institutional players entering the space, we could be on the verge of a massive price move for XRP.

Jake explores the significance of these ETFs, the influx of institutional capital, and how this could drive XRP prices higher. Drawing comparisons to Bitcoin's price movements following ETF approval, Jake explains why XRP could experience an even faster and larger spike.

He also discusses Project Ion and how XRP could become a critical settlement asset for stock transactions, potentially leading to four-figure XRP valuations. With ETFs making it easier for big money to flow into XRP, the timing and market conditions are creating a perfect storm for a major price jump.
Transcript
00:00Jake Klaver here and in today's video we're diving into the imminent potential price increase for XRP
00:05based on the recent ETFs applications by Bitwise and Canary Capital.
00:12With these heavy hitters entering the game we could be on the brink of a huge price move for XRP
00:18so let's break it down in this video. If you haven't yet please like subscribe and we'll get into the
00:24action. First off let's talk about why these ETFs are such a big deal. Bitwise and Canary Capital
00:29have both filed for spot XRP ETFs. So what's the significance? Institutional capital period.
00:38ETFs make it easier for big money flows to move into assets like XRP. We've already seen this with
00:44Bitcoin. So once they get approved we could see billions enter the market very quickly. Now let's
00:50think about it. When institutional investors buy they do it at scale. They aren't just buying a
00:55couple thousand dollars here and a thousand dollars there. They're going to be buying in the billions.
00:59At least that's what we've seen with Bitcoin. So that kind of volume can really drive some
01:04significant price pressure. It took nearly a decade of regulatory battles to get the first Bitcoin ETF
01:09but once it was finally approved in January of this year Bitcoin's price went up to all-time high
01:14even before the halving. So BlackRock is a big mover in that space and I think maybe there's a potential
01:22that we could see BlackRock use the trust that was filed last year in Delaware in November and stand up
01:30their own XRP ETF very quickly if we did see the S1s approved by the SEC. So what can we learn from
01:38Bitcoin? Well the timeline for approval is uncertain but once XRP ETFs get the green light from the SEC
01:43we could see a very similar surge to price just like they did for Bitcoin. I think it could happen
01:49even faster for XRP. The SEC has been more open to digital assets even though they have been issuing
01:56Wells notices and are in constant litigation with exchanges and other platforms saying that
02:02you know the assets they are selling are securities or potentially securities and not really giving clear
02:07guidance on that. But we know for a fact because of the case between the SEC and Ripple that XRP
02:13is not a security in and of itself. So because of that I think that we could see approval of the S1s
02:21by the SEC faster. Now we did get an appeal from them in the Ripple case here recently and then the
02:28cross appeal from Ripple so that still doesn't allow them to come after the ruling for XRP though and so
02:35because of that I think that they would still be obligated to approve that S1 even if that lawsuit
02:40drags out. So with XRP already being positioned as a settlement currency for financial institutions
02:48combined with the fact that ETFs would have huge inflows we're looking at a perfect storm for
02:55price appreciation. Now let's talk about the timing. While ETFs take time for approval institutional
03:00investors are known to front run the market right so when we saw that that trust had been set up by
03:08BlackRock the iShares trust we saw a spike in XRP the same day it was like 10 percent very quickly
03:13before Bloomberg came out and said that you know no that wasn't real. I think we could see that again
03:18if we saw momentum or something followed from BlackRock I think you would see a huge move of liquidity
03:24and people trying to front run the approval of the S1s. So that means they can start buying XRP before the
03:31ETFs are even approved and the institutions would want to do that because it's a spot ETF they would
03:35want to accumulate the asset before the significant price move happened right. So not to say they don't
03:43already hold some XRP but I think they would have to buy what was left on the market in order to support
03:49these products. So it's not just about waiting for the ETF approval the window for price increase
03:56could start sooner as institutions position themselves for what's coming. We've already seen
04:01Grayscale also launch their XRP trust so it's not out of the realm of possibilities that we could see
04:07price appreciation from these institutions even before these products are launched. Now another
04:13consideration that could continue to drive price appreciation even on the other side of these
04:18institutions stepping behind it would be Project ION. This isn't something that's really been
04:24discussed at scale by a lot of people since 2022 and it was a major initiative by the Depository
04:31Trusted Clearinghouse or Corporation the DTCC and it aimed to transform the U.S. stock market
04:38and the settlement system behind it. So most people don't know that there's clearinghouses and brokers
04:43and settling stocks between the two right now takes up to one day. It's T plus one. May
04:4828th this year I believe they moved over to T plus one and that allowed for the potential to use
04:57a digital asset for instant settlement of those stocks. So but what does that have to do with XRP
05:04right and what would cause a need for instant settlement on the back end of the stock market?
05:10Seems to be working fine now. Why would they go ahead and move that in? Well
05:13many experts like Jim Rickards have pointed out that we are very close to a credit crisis. If there
05:21were a credit crisis to take place you would need instant settlement on the back end of the stock
05:27market basically to save the day in that situation. So for Project ION to achieve instant settlement scale
05:33it would require massive amounts of liquidity to move that value efficiently and that value you guess
05:41would have to be in XRP. By moving institutional capital into XRP using ETFs firms like BlackRock if
05:49they file one and Bitwise enough liquidity could be generated in XRP to support the back end settlement
05:56system and be the settlement layer for Project ION. So with XRP already positioned as a leading solution
06:03for international remittance and cross-border transactions it has the infrastructure needed
06:08for real-time settlement. The inflows of the institutional capital would further strengthen
06:13XRP's liquidity making it the go-to prime candidate for Project ION to settle the stock market real-time.
06:23Now what type of price? Because I know that's going to be the question that everybody asks on this. So
06:30first you need the institutional inflows right? Second XRP would have to get integrated by Project ION
06:37which that would cause the price to soar. So
06:41because of the way it's positioned, let's look at the math.
06:45The U.S. stock market alone handles trillions
06:49in daily transaction volumes. To put it in perspective
06:52it's estimated that the DTCC settles
06:551.7 quadrillion dollars
06:59annually. Which that breaks down to about
07:026.6 trillion dollars in daily settlement volume.
07:06So if XRP was used as the primary settlement layer between brokers and clearinghouses like we talked about
07:12the liquidity required to move that much value would be huge.
07:17There's currently about 50 billion XRP on the open market
07:21and if all of that XRP was used
07:24which it won't be
07:25to settle that 6.6 trillion in daily volumes
07:28the math becomes very simple. You would look at it
07:31work it out, divide it
07:32you have $132 XRP
07:34okay? That's
07:36that's just the math there. So that's a 200% increase
07:40from today's, well more than a 200% increase
07:42from today's price levels
07:44but it gives us an idea of the asset's potential
07:47as more capital flows into
07:49the system and moves on to the network.
07:51So realistically
07:52I think that maybe only a tenth
07:55of what
07:57XRP exists in the open market
07:59could be used to facilitate those payment flows
08:01as you do the math there
08:04and maybe you do have some XRP
08:06used multiple times a day
08:08to be able to settle those transactions
08:10right?
08:12You're still looking at
08:13like a four figure
08:14XRP
08:15like
08:16a thousand plus dollars
08:17to be able to facilitate
08:19that much liquidity
08:20and the settlement between
08:22the brokers and clearing houses
08:23and then you've also got
08:24SWIFT and a lot of the other applications
08:27that Ripple and some other companies
08:29are going after utilizing the asset
08:30so once enough liquidity is in there
08:32I think you're going to see
08:33a lot of these other
08:35potential use cases come online
08:37with institutional capital
08:38from the ETFs coupled
08:40with XRP's potential use
08:42of settling
08:42Project Ion in the back end
08:44of the stock market
08:45the demand for XRP
08:46would increase exponentially
08:48it would hockey stick
08:49it would go vertical
08:50right?
08:51So if XRP becomes
08:52the preferred settlement asset
08:54for both international remittance
08:55and SOC transactions
08:56people would lose their minds
08:58if this were to roll out
09:00so
09:01tell me in the comments below
09:02what do you think?
09:04Is this a possibility?
09:05Am I crazy?
09:07Am I pie in the sky
09:08dreaming?
09:09You know
09:10let me know what you think
09:11and I appreciate you watching
09:12and we'll see you
09:13on the next one
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