Elon Musk is dialing down his DOGE role that triggered protests and vandalism at Tesla stores. But its EV business needs a hit product and none is on the horizon. And the company’s booming battery business, a Q1 bright spot, will suffer from Trump’s tariffs.
Read the full story on Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2025/04/25/elon-musk-is-running-out-of-ideas-to-save-tesla/
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NewsTranscript
00:00Today on Forbes, Elon Musk is running out of ideas to save Tesla.
00:07This past week, Tesla posted its worst quarterly results in four years.
00:12Sales were down 9%, income plummeted 71%, hurt by a 20% drop in automotive revenues.
00:20And given tariffs and rocky market headaches, the company didn't bother giving sales targets
00:25for the rest of the year.
00:27But the stock rallied as investors cheered one thing.
00:31Elon Musk says he'll soon step back from his duties gutting the federal government through
00:35Doge and return to running the show at Tesla in a more full-time capacity, accepting his
00:41other responsibilities at SpaceX, XAI, and Neuralink.
00:46However, that's not the cure-all investors seem to think it is.
00:51The problems Tesla now faces have been exacerbated by Musk joining the Trump administration as
00:56a special government employee.
00:59Those problems include declining profit margins, intensifying competition, and a tarnished
01:04brand image.
01:06And they show no signs of disappearing anytime soon, even if Musk becomes a more active CEO
01:12again.
01:13Worse, it's becoming clear Musk has run out of ideas for how to fix them, instead fixating
01:19on an uncertain future focused on robo-taxis and humanoid robots.
01:25For now, Tesla profits from selling cars and battery storage systems, and both businesses
01:30are in trouble.
01:32It has no successor to monster sellers like the Model Y and Model 3.
01:37At the same time, it's about to get hit by President Trump's tariffs, which are expected
01:41to chill auto sales across the industry.
01:44Worse for Tesla, though, a coming 145% tariff on imported Chinese battery sales is set to
01:51hammer the company's battery pack business, one of the only bright spots last quarter.
01:57Musk downplayed these problems on the April 22 results call.
02:00He said, quote,
02:01Some of those bumps, though, are entirely expected.
02:14Though Musk's political activities have been more time-consuming since Trump returned to
02:18office on January 20, aided by $250 million from the world's richest person, his embrace
02:24of right-wing politics and inflammatory social media comments have tarnished Tesla's brand
02:30image for well over a year, particularly in important markets like California and Europe.
02:37Multiple polls, including one by Marquette University Law School this month, found that
02:4260% of people surveyed had an unfavorable view of Musk and 58% disapproved of his dogework.
02:48A YouGov Yahoo News survey last month found that 67% of Americans would not consider buying
02:55or leasing a Tesla, with most saying Musk was the reason.
03:00The most pressing challenge for Tesla is reversing the decline in its EV sales, down 13% in the
03:06first quarter.
03:08More alarming is that automotive revenue dropped 20%, meaning it sold fewer vehicles and charged
03:13less for them.
03:15The entirety of its $409 million profit came from regulatory credits, free money it gets
03:21from other automakers to comply with pollution rules in the US, California and the EU.
03:27Without the $595 million in credits Tesla sold in the quarter, it would have posted a net loss.
03:35The simplest, most obvious fix for ailing sales is a new model.
03:39Rather than doing that, however, Musk and his engineers are readying refreshed and cheaper
03:45versions of the Y and 3, which went on sale in 2020 and 2017 respectively.
03:51Rather than doing what traditional automakers call a so-called full model change, where the
03:56body shape and interior are dramatically altered, the 2025 Model Y is more of a refresh of the
04:022024 version, with a new light bar running across the front hood and rear sections, sleeker headlights
04:09and more aerodynamic wheels.
04:12That could provide a jolt to sales, but it's not a winning long-term strategy.
04:16There's a reason why car companies regularly release new models.
04:21Dramatic styling changes typically produce better results, according to industry researcher Glenn
04:26Mercer, who leads Cleveland-based advisory firm GM Automotive.
04:32Neither Musk nor Lars Moravi, Tesla's head of vehicle engineering, shared details of how
04:37the company planned to offer the cheaper variants on the earnings call.
04:42Industry analysts expect Tesla to do this by using a smaller, cheaper battery pack with
04:47less driving range and eliminating tech features.
04:51For full coverage, check out Alan Owensman's piece on Forbes.com.
04:57This is Kieran Meadows from Forbes.
04:59Thanks for tuning in.