Will severe weather outbreak spread all the way into Minnesota on Friday?

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00:00Well record high temperatures were set for many places yesterday. Today will be

00:03briefly cooler but closer to normal before we skyrocket towards more record

00:07potential temperatures Friday and rain, thunder and snow possible.

00:21So pretty incredible temperatures yesterday. Mid 60s all across the metro.

00:26Blaine even hit 70 yesterday afternoon. Just one degree shy from the record in

00:31the Twin Cities but certainly well above normal by about 25 degrees and temperatures

00:36were even warmer to the west. We had a pocket of 70s across western Minnesota.

00:4076 in Granite Falls. Awfully close to 80. 75 in Redwood Falls too. And those temperatures

00:47yesterday, these record-breaking temperatures, St. Cloud, Brainerd, Fargo all hit records made

00:52more likely by climate change by three to four times more likely by warming average March

00:58temperatures here over the recent decades. And big difference this morning. Zero in War Road,

01:04Roseau. So definitely much colder. Sub-freezing even in southern Minnesota as that cold front

01:09swiped through the area. But low to mid 40s still across southern Minnesota today. That's still a

01:13few degrees actually above normal. Colder to the north. Teens and 20s for highs in northern

01:18Minnesota and that is where we will see actually slightly below normal temperatures but most of

01:21central and southern Minnesota still at least a few degrees above the average today. And then

01:26we're back into warmer air already tomorrow. 50s for the Twin Cities. We'll see some low 60s

01:31popping up in southwestern Minnesota. 40s to the north. Thursday even warmer still. Should be into

01:36the 60s. Maybe near 70 again in western Minnesota. And Friday is going to be the peak of the warmth

01:41this whole week for most of us it looks like. Even in the Twin Cities low 70s. Our first 70

01:46this season. This comes about three to four weeks earlier than average and could be close to the

01:51record. 73 is the record high back in 2012 which is a very warm our warmest March on record. So

01:57we'll see how close we get to that. But all of that warmth will be fueling the next storm system.

02:02A big spring storm coming out of the Rockies here Friday. It's going to develop showers and

02:06thunderstorms late Friday evening into the overnight and then that will turn to snow

02:11gradually from west to east as colder air wraps into the system during the day Saturday. Now the

02:16question for the Twin Cities is will the cold air get here in time before the moisture source

02:21is gone? But we are looking very likely for some thunderstorms at least late Friday and even the

02:26risk of some potential severe weather. Storm Prediction Center monitoring Iowa, Missouri,

02:31into Arkansas but has the slight risk even into southeastern Minnesota now for late Friday. So

02:37not out of the question that we could see the first severe thunderstorm warning of the season

02:41maybe in southern Minnesota. There will be plenty of energy. The way we measure that is convective

02:46available potential energy over a thousand kilojoules is definitely enough for thunderstorms

02:52and even enough for the isolated severe thunderstorm or two. We're going to see

02:56triple the normal value for this time of year of moisture content. So dew points will be in the low

03:0050s and that water content will definitely be enough for thunderstorms and a very low pressure

03:06at 976 millibar low pressure is a pretty intense low that's going to pass right over southern

03:11Minnesota. So a powerful storm it'll tap into plenty of moisture right now and still not much

03:17of a change from yesterday. The model is still favoring mostly northern and western Minnesota

03:22for snowfall but you can kind of see in some of the models this hint at cold air wrapping in around

03:26the low so we might actually get snow kind of all around us. Still several days away though so a lot

03:32can happen yet but count on all four seasons Friday into Saturday across the state and then

03:36it's going to be colder Sunday. Highs will be back in the 30s and temperatures next week will be

03:41closer to normal though it does look as though we pop back in the 50s by Monday. 43 today that's a

03:46couple degrees above normal still back near freezing tonight. Tomorrow night sunshine 56 degrees

03:5264 Thursday, 72 Friday. Again dry during most of the day but as we head into the evening hours

03:59that's when we'll start to see some thunderstorms pop up to the southwest and those will sweep

04:03through. That rain will turn to snow Saturday. Again a question as to how much moisture is left

04:09in the afternoon and evening Saturday by the time the cold air gets here but somewhere in the state

04:14we'll get a decent snowfall and it will be cooler and windy too Saturday into Sunday.

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