- 7 months ago
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program 2nd Session Closing, Jumat (07/03/2025) dengan tema Analisis Saham HRUM, HMSP, BMRI, UNVR".
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TVTranscript
00:00We are still in IDX Session Closing, and we are still using our interactive WhatsApp to participate, as you can see on the TV screen later.
00:13And let's just take a look at the four recommended options.
00:19In the middle, Indekargasam-Kabung is still able to survive at level 6,600 at the end of the second session held today.
00:26The first option comes from Energy, Batubara mining.
00:30There is Harum, recommended by the support at 750, resistance up to 1,000, quite wide range of movement.
00:38Then HMSP is also recommended by 530 to 650.
00:43From Big Cap Banking, BNMI seems to be still recommended, support at 4,700, resistance up to 5,000.
00:51Meanwhile, from consumer, there is Unilever, support at 1,010, resistance up to 1,550.
01:00Unilever is more likely to try to rise from the lowest level in the long run that has ever been touched before.
01:06Yes, the four options recommended, and again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the IDX Channel.
01:13Okay, Pak Kris, let's go back to the four options that you recommended, Pak Kris.
01:18It seems interesting for Harum, Pak.
01:21What are the good recommendations for Harum?
01:24Today, it is also more likely to experience strength for Harum.
01:28Yes, Harum has been corrected from 2,950, now it is at 770.
01:34In fact, there is actually no problem with Harum.
01:40So, Harum Energy is still one of the cheapest coal mines in Indonesia.
01:46So, the 770 area should be an interesting area.
01:52Moreover, today there is a strong volume in Harum.
01:56So, the expectation is that the support is strong enough to experience a rise again.
02:03How much support, Pak?
02:05It was 750 earlier.
02:08Okay, 750, today's closure is at 770.
02:11When the first session was held on Monday, there was no problem entering the level of today's closure, right?
02:17Yes, there is no problem with the current price. Harum is still a very cheap location.
02:21Okay, what is the closest resistance?
02:23The closest resistance, today there may be a resistance in the 800 area.
02:29Okay, today's closure is still at 770.
02:32Is it more towards short-term trading or more towards the middle, Pak Kris?
02:37In my opinion, it is quite interesting for the mid-range.
02:41The closest resistance was 800 when this resistance collapsed.
02:46What is the next resistance for Harum?
02:481,000, I think.
02:50Okay, for Harum, it is recommended by Mabirisa at today's closure level.
02:55The closest resistance is 800, the mid-range resistance is 1,000.
03:01Meanwhile, the support that can be observed is at 750.
03:04And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of Mabirisa IDA Channel.
03:09We move to HMSP, the second option.
03:14It is actually quite rare.
03:16HMSP is recommended considering the technical position that has experienced a downturn,
03:22even though it tried to rise again today at 540.
03:28Analysis and considerations for HMSP, Pak Kris?
03:31Actually, if we look at HMSP, in terms of performance, it has not experienced a downturn again.
03:37Even if you look at the past two years, the performance tends to be sideways.
03:42But the stock price tends to go down continuously.
03:45So, in my opinion, this is a mismatch between the stock price and performance.
03:50So, with the low area that was formed by HMSP at 530,
03:56I think the risk is quite attractive for us to buy HMSP with a target.
04:02Hopefully, with a good return on investment, the price will be able to rise.
04:06Okay, the intraday today was at 555, Pak Kris.
04:10Then, after the second session, it seems to be pulled down again.
04:15How do you see it? The correction that happened is still quite normal.
04:18And the support is still well maintained.
04:20And this momentum can be used to come back.
04:23Yes, in my opinion, it's still quite interesting.
04:26Because while the support area is limited, our risk is limited with a fairly good profit chance.
04:32Okay, the closing today at 540 is 1.82%.
04:37While the second from the producer of cigarettes is HMSP, Pak Mirsa.
04:41We move on to the third choice stock.
04:44From Big Cap Banking, there is BMRI.
04:47Where the position of BMRI is recommended by Pak Mirsa.
04:50The support is at 4,700, resistance up to 5,000.
04:54While in the closing of the second session today, BMRI was closed in the red zone at 4,840.
05:04Analysis for BMRI.
05:06Yes, BMRI, I am sure many people agree that it is currently in a fairly cheap area.
05:11We see there are quite large transactions in the area of 4,700 to 5,000.
05:17In my opinion, this is an area that is quite interesting for us to be able to accumulate independent funds
05:22with companies that have the largest assets in Indonesia.
05:26So, in my opinion, the current area is quite interesting for us to be able to buy.
05:31Okay, 4,840 closing today, Pak.
05:34The ideal entry for BMRI.
05:38Yes, the current price is okay.
05:40Next week, according to my prediction, there will be a slight weakness.
05:45It can wait in the area below 4,800 because the support is 4,700.
05:51Resistance earlier, Pak, up to 5,000, when will this target be reached, Pak Kris?
05:565,000 range? Short term, yes.
05:58Maybe the range in April-May can be 0.2.
06:03Okay, in the last few times, BMRI has tried to approach the level of 5,000.
06:11How many resistances have survived so far?
06:14So, BMRI has not been able to reach a higher level, either 4,900 or 5,000, Pak Kris.
06:23Actually, the 5,000 range is quite crucial.
06:26My target is actually in the 5,500 range for independent funds.
06:31Okay, according to the choice, when there is an independent fund,
06:34it can be recommended by support earlier at 4,700.
06:37The current price today is also not a problem to take a position, the target is up to 5,000.
06:42And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the IDA channel.
06:47We move on to the last choice, Pak Kris, from the consumer, there is Unilever.
06:52Is the consideration of Unilever's recommendation the same as Himes Pay, Pak?
06:56Has it reached the support level and tried to rise again for Unilever?
07:01Yes, that's right.
07:03If we look at Unilever, it has dropped by almost 90% from its highest point.
07:08With one of the largest consumer companies in Indonesia,
07:13now sold with a market cap of only around 45 trillion,
07:16I think this is a mismatch of the stock price.
07:21Indeed, Unilever's performance is not good,
07:25but I think with a consumer company that sells almost all products used every day,
07:32it should be easy to increase its performance in the future.
07:36So, I think the area of Rp 1,200 with support in Rp 1,010 is quite an interesting area to buy.
07:45Okay, with the target price earlier for Unilever's choice stock up to Rp 1,550,
07:52the range is still quite wide.
07:54Four recommended options are Harum, Himes Pay, BMRI, and Unilever.
07:58And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the IDA channel.
08:02We have reached the last segment,
08:04and thank you for joining us.
08:07Mr. Chris, let's continue.
08:08We will try to answer some questions on WhatsApp Interactive.
08:12The first question is from Cuan, a conglomerate shareholder.
08:15Mr. Chris, there are two questions.
08:17At the same time, they ask about this stock because the stock is strong at 14%,
08:20closed at Rp 8,325.
08:22But before we review from the technical side, Mr. Chris,
08:25how do you see the rotation pattern, the trading pattern,
08:29when the big cap banks are no longer the shareholders of the conglomerate shareholders,
08:35but they are experiencing significant strength.
08:37And this condition has happened in the last few days of trading.
08:42Yes, if you look at it, it's not the last few days,
08:47it's been going on since last year.
08:49The ISG shareholders are the conglomerate shareholders since last year.
08:53But because the correction was quite deep yesterday,
08:58and today the financial report is quite good,
09:02the increase is quite significant,
09:04so it has become one of the momentum for the share price to rebound.
09:12Is there a rotation, sir?
09:14When the Samsung Big Cap, like the banks,
09:17today experienced a correction,
09:19while they switched to Samsung Conglomerate first,
09:22by taking advantage of certain momentum,
09:24like today, there was a meeting of President Prabowo Subianto
09:28with several conglomerates in Indonesia.
09:33Yes, that's right.
09:34By weakening the balance,
09:36of course people will look for where it is interesting enough to be traded today.
09:41And indeed, this morning we have read the news
09:44that Mr. Prabowo gathered 8 conglomerates to discuss the ISG,
09:51and this has become one of the momentum
09:53for the share price of these conglomerates to rebound today.
09:58Okay, from Rayogopangestu Group,
10:00Cuan, today Cuan is quite a lot, sir,
10:02rebounding above 14%.
10:04Coincidentally, there are two questions that came in.
10:06I will try to read them.
10:08The first one asks, Cuan,
10:11does not mention the name of the location.
10:13Has the uptrend started?
10:15Then, Cuan is also asked,
10:18I will try to check Ibu Lestari from Jakarta.
10:20Cuan, if you want to enter, what is the price?
10:22Then the support and resistance.
10:24Please, Mr. Chris.
10:27Cuan, today it has rebounded 14%.
10:29And if you say this is an uptrend,
10:32this is not yet an uptrend,
10:33this is still in the sideways range
10:36with the closest resistance at 8,600.
10:40As long as Cuan does not close above 8,600,
10:43then Cuan should still be able to return to the 6,000 area.
10:48So, the plan is,
10:51in my opinion,
10:52with the resistance that is quite close at the moment,
10:55it is better to widen the entry first,
10:58between closing above 8,600 and then entering,
11:01or waiting for correction near the support area at 8,000.
11:05Okay, but for the current position,
11:07where is it more affected, sir?
11:08Will it be an opportunity to 86,000,
11:10so buy and breakout there,
11:12or below 8,000?
11:17Okay, if we look at today's closing,
11:20the momentum is still strong.
11:22So, tomorrow morning,
11:23it is possible to go up first.
11:26But look, pay attention to the 8,600 area.
11:29Will it last at 8,600?
11:32If it goes down again at 8,600,
11:35it's better to take profit first,
11:37wait for correction at the bottom area.
11:39Okay, for Cuan 8325,
11:41there are two questions,
11:42and again,
11:43the investment decision is still in the hands of the ADX Channel.
11:46Next, there is Mr. Jason from Jakarta,
11:48asking for SMGR, sir,
11:50support and resistance.
11:51Today's closing is at 2,360.
11:54Yes, SMGR, we see there is a strengthening,
11:57with strong support from SMGR,
11:59currently 2,250.
12:02We also see the price of coal also going down again,
12:06and this is also a positive impact for cement.
12:09So,
12:10so,
12:11maintain area 2,250,
12:13as long as it is above 2,250,
12:15it may be able to reattach the resistance area
12:17in the area of ​​2,800.
12:19Okay, today's closing at 2,360
12:22has exceeded the recommended support,
12:26and maybe it can be observed at 2,250
12:29to maintain SMGR,
12:30it doesn't go down any deeper.
12:32Next, Mr. Anggiak from Bekasi,
12:34Mr. Chris is asking for Medco stock, sir.
12:37Already bought at 1,200.
12:39Analysis and recommendations.
12:41Okay, Medco,
12:42this is close to the support area,
12:45maintain the support area at 2,990.
12:48Indeed, in terms of performance,
12:49there are still no signs of improvement,
12:52in terms of issues,
12:53there are still no interesting things,
12:56but with the strengthening of ISK,
12:59it can also have a positive impact on Medco.
13:01But it can't be too significant,
13:04a lot of things may go up.
13:06The potential may reach 10-70
13:09for the Medco resistance area.
13:11Okay, we go to Riau, there is Mr. Uijang
13:13asking for NINE stock, sir.
13:15N-I-N-E,
13:17TECNO Indonesia Tbk.
13:19Today, it strengthens at 9.18%.
13:23Is it quite stagnant at the level of strengthening 214
13:27or what is it like, sir?
13:29Yes, this is the direction because it is SCA.
13:31Okay, good.
13:32NINE has risen from the price of 7-8
13:34to now in the 200s.
13:36The effect of acquisition
13:38and entering into mining companies.
13:41So, we see a lot of METNs like this,
13:45for example, PET, there is KARW,
13:49which is similar to the movement like this.
13:52And if you have goods,
13:54the top ten may still be quite interesting.
13:57Today, the closing is also in the ARRA area.
14:01Yes, PET on the price increase like PET.
14:08So, as long as it hasn't broken the trend,
14:10maybe it can still be held.
14:11Okay, let's just go straight to the resistance supporter,
14:14Mr. Emtel, how much can you pay him?
14:17Emtel?
14:18Emtel, I think it's less interesting,
14:20because the effect of telecommunication
14:23may still be heavy
14:24because there are quite significant competition,
14:26a lot of them.
14:27Yes.
14:28Actually, the chance to go down is still big.
14:30So, I'm better than before.
14:33Okay, let's switch to Mr. Andrew from Tanggrang Sulatan,
14:36asking about BBRI, sir.
14:39If you sell BBRI now because it keeps going down,
14:41then I buy it to BBNI or to a self-funded bank,
14:44what is it like?
14:45Do you already have BBRI at 5,150?
14:48It's quite far, sir.
14:49Mr. Andrew from Tanggrang Sulatan, Mr. Chris.
14:52In my opinion, maybe now all banks
14:56will move more or less similarly.
14:58Yes.
14:59If you have BRI, it's better to wait until more than 10,000.
15:03If you want to switch to a self-funded bank or BNI,
15:07maybe slowly, 20% first, then move.
15:11Let's see what the situation is like.
15:13Don't immediately move everything.
15:14Because no matter what, for example, BBNI,
15:17the rebound is already quite high
15:20from the low yesterday.
15:22So, it's better to wait first.
15:25Okay, just hold it like that, sir.
15:27But how do you see it?
15:29For the medium term,
15:31is there any potential in terms of price?
15:34Or maybe there is a certain level that is recommended
15:36for averaging down, sir?
15:39For averaging down, yes.
15:41Actually, it will be more or less similar.
15:42Because BNI itself, from the top price
15:47until now, this correction is only 27%.
15:49Yes.
15:50While BRI from the top price
15:53until now, this has dropped 40%.
15:56So, if the correction is already quite deep,
15:59switching to the not-so-deep one,
16:01later, maybe the BNI will not go up too much.
16:05And the BRI can also go up quite a lot.
16:09Because usually, according to a fairly deep drop,
16:14when the energy price pulls,
16:17the price can also increase significantly
16:20like the drop.
16:22Okay.
16:23Mr. Chris, lastly for Telkom,
16:24you didn't mention the name and location.
16:26The direction, short and medium term.
16:28Just briefly.
16:29Telkom, I think it will still go down quite a bit.
16:31So, avoid it first.
16:33Because the telecommunication competition is getting heavier.
16:36Many are merging.
16:37The competition is increasing.
16:39Okay.
16:40YNC first for Telkom.
16:41Today's closing at 2.410,
16:43strong at 0.42%.
16:45And Telkom seems to be weak again
16:48after trying to approach the 2,500 level.
16:51And again, the investment decision
16:53is still in the hands of IDX Channel.
16:55Thank you for those who have participated
16:57in our interactive WhatsApp.
16:58And please join us again
17:00in time and in the same program
17:02in trading next week.
17:04Thank you, Mr. Chris, for participating.
17:06Take care, sir.
17:07Okay, thank you.
17:09Okay, thank you, Mr. Chris Aprilioni,
17:11Branch Manager of Capital Security.
17:13And, investors, don't forget to watch
17:15the Prime Market Highlight program
17:16which will air at 8.20 p.m.
17:18WEST INDONESIA.
17:19Because future business must move forward.
17:21I am Investor Saham.
17:22I am Davidson Oval.
17:23Goodbye.
17:24See you next time.
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