00:00The world's biggest democratic exercise is finally underway, with India's general elections
00:09kicking off with round one of voting. It's a high-stakes battle for everyone involved,
00:13from Mr Modi, who's seeking a third straight term, to the opposition that's fighting to
00:17stay relevant. An interesting survey put out by the CSDS Lokmiti just days ago, ahead of
00:24these elections, tells us a more complex picture of what things are going to look like. Firstly,
00:30that target of 400-plus for the NDA that the Prime Minister keeps talking about may not
00:34be that easy for the BJP and its allies to achieve, simply because there are some economic
00:41headwinds that the party is encountering after 10 years in power. The respondents of this
00:46survey cited unemployment and inflation as amongst the top issues which concern them,
00:51and they're not happy about this. So that's clearly something that is telling on the ground.
00:56But at the same time, in what reflects the complexity and the contradiction of how the
01:01Indian electorate votes, the survey also shows that Mr Modi's popularity is still quite high,
01:06personally, way ahead of Rahul Gandhi's, and that the NDA therefore enjoys a comfortable
01:1212-point lead over the opposition India alliance. What it does reflect, though, is that economic
01:18issues and economic distress could surprise the BJP in certain pockets of the country.
01:23This may end up being a tougher fight than what was initially predicted. We'll have to
01:28see, though, how it ultimately plays out over the next few weeks. It's a long election.
01:34And this survey, in a sense, also gives you an idea of why the BJP's campaign is so Modi-centric.
01:41Because ultimately, they're making it about Narendra Modi, Modi's guarantee, and hoping
01:45that that's the trump card that wins them 2024.
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