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EXPLAINER - What Trump’s Putin call means for Ukraine peace talks?
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hace 11 meses
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00:00
You don't have one of those in Russia.
00:19
We have.
00:20
You might have one.
00:21
Well, thank you very much.
00:33
It's an honor to have the president with us.
00:36
So the fact that Trump called Putin first and not Zelensky means that Zelensky won't
00:41
have had the opportunity to impress on Trump his key positions and views and perspectives
00:47
on how any potential discussions of a ceasefire might unfold or unroll.
00:54
And that's obviously significant, because essentially it means that Ukraine is being
00:58
cut out of the discussion and Putin and Trump are speaking directly to each other without
01:04
taking Ukraine's position into account.
01:06
No, we had a great call and it lasted for a long time, over an hour.
01:13
This morning, I also had with President Zelensky a very good call after that.
01:20
And I think we're on the way to getting peace.
01:22
I think President Putin wants peace and President Zelensky wants peace and I want peace.
01:29
I just want to see people stop getting killed.
01:31
I think we're on the way to getting peace and I think we're on the way to getting peace.
01:49
This
02:16
was only the first initial conversation.
02:21
The fact that Trump seemingly gave everything away and Putin got everything he wanted is
02:27
not a good sign for things to come.
02:30
The other question, of course, is what does this actually look like?
02:34
And that's where I think the distinction between a ceasefire and a peace deal is important,
02:40
because a ceasefire means that Ukraine could hold on to its territorial integrity, whereas
02:45
a peace deal along the current front lines would mean ceding significant amounts of territory
02:53
to Russia.
02:55
Trump did say that that's something that would have to be considered, except very much echoed
02:58
those comments at the defence ministerial meeting.
03:15
We're not seeing Europeans move quick enough in terms of coming up with ideas of how they
03:21
can actually help secure Ukraine's future and actually putting things on the table that
03:27
would appeal to Trump to, on the one hand, keep the US engaged in European security,
03:32
because of course, the added dimension to all of this is nuclear.
03:37
Russia is a nuclear armed state and Europe is dependent on the US for its nuclear security
03:42
umbrella.
03:43
So far, there hasn't been any talk of taking that off the table.
03:46
So that's positive.
03:49
But certainly quite a few European countries see continued US engagement in Europe as absolutely
03:54
essential, in part because of that.
04:21
But what we have seen develop over the past few months, and I think will only accelerate
04:25
because of this, is very much a coalition of the willing in Europe of countries who
04:28
are willing to take the lead on this and feel that their Europe's and their own national
04:35
interests and national security is directly threatened by current developments and will
04:40
therefore take a more active lead and role on this, the UK being one of them, but the
04:44
Baltic states and the Nordic states very much as well.
05:21
I mean, obviously, it makes the conversations that will take place at the Munich Security
05:40
Conference all the more pressing and important.
05:44
And I would see lots of those coalition of the willing negotiations and talks initiating
05:49
at MSC over the weekend, because everyone will be there, as well as really lots of Europeans
05:55
talking to their American counterparts who will still be there, trying to impress on
06:00
them the urgency and importance of bringing Ukraine and other Europeans into the conversation.
06:09
We want, like you, a sovereign and prosperous Ukraine.
06:15
But we must start by recognizing that returning to Ukraine's pre-2014 borders is an unrealistic
06:22
objective.
06:25
Chasing this illusionary goal will only prolong the war and cause more suffering.
06:31
A durable peace for Ukraine must include robust security guarantees to ensure that the war
06:36
will not begin again.
06:39
This must not be Minsk 3.0.
06:44
That said, the United States does not believe that NATO membership for Ukraine is a realistic
06:52
outcome of a negotiated settlement.
07:05
Our understanding is that Zelensky is potentially open to having initial negotiations.
07:12
Some of the lines are softening a little bit as well.
07:15
But for Putin, that hasn't softened.
07:18
And some of the things that he wants to get out of it, for example, removing troops or
07:22
U.S. troops out of Eastern Europe, would really be significant not just for Ukraine, but for
07:27
Europe as a whole.
07:42
Whether Putin gets a favorable ceasefire or peace deal on his terms, or whether he just
08:03
keeps grinding them down over time, I'm not sure he really minds that much.
08:09
Unless, of course, something significant changes in Russia itself.
08:14
But at the moment, there aren't really clear indications that that would happen over the
08:16
short term, at least.
08:39
I couldn't imagine that they might feel sold out by the U.S., and that's why the past 24
09:02
hours have really been quite depressing for Ukrainian partners.
09:08
But that's why, again, the European role and what really thinking through what else
09:13
the European allies can do to support that is so, so important.
09:38
FOREIGN MINISTER LAVROVSKY
09:52
FOREIGN MINISTER LAVROVSKY
10:22
FOREIGN MINISTER LAVROVSKY
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