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EU holds cards when negotiating with Trump on tariffs, says ex-WTO chief Lamy
euronews (in English)
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8 months ago
There's a range of options for the EU to open trans-Atlantic negotiations to persuade US President Donald Trump not to slap harmful tariffs on EU goods, the former EU trade commissioner and WTO chief told Euronews.
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00:00
Europe is in an existential crisis, with war on the continent, an unpredictable US and
00:13
potential trade tariffs along the way. For the Europe Conversation, I catch up with former
00:17
head of the WTO Pascal Lamy. He says the EU should negotiate rather than retaliate, but
00:24
with a gun in its pocket. Pascal Lamy, thank you very much for joining us on the Europe
00:30
Conversation. I'm going to start with you to ask you about, you know, your impression
00:34
of the world we're in now. Now that Donald Trump is back in the White House, that there
00:39
seems to be a backlash against globalisation, against free trade, against basic policies,
00:46
you know, in relation to civil rights and so on. How do you feel the world is right
00:50
now? It's in bad shape, and in a much worse shape than the world I've been living with
01:02
and working with for many years of my life. So I'm getting old. And I'm worried that let's
01:13
say for the last five to 10 years, the system we had, which was far from perfect, but still
01:23
had a number of benefits in harnessing globalisation and regulating a number of possible problems.
01:37
A lot of that is disappearing, starting, of course, with the invasion of Ukraine, which
01:44
is just sitting on any principle of international law. And now the US want to overhaul the system.
01:54
To do what? Unclear. But they both say this system is not good for us. And we need to
02:05
use the power we have to change it. And this, of course, puts the EU, which is the epitome
02:13
of a regulated, disciplined, ordo liberale system in a bind. And I'm worried about the
02:24
world. I'm very much worried about whether the EU, as the future of my children and grandchildren
02:33
will be able to overcome this challenge, which, in my view, is existential.
02:41
And how would you think that the EU needs to respond now? Does it need to just wait
02:44
and see what Trump does? And if there are tafts, should the EU respond accordingly?
02:50
Now, first thing the EU should do, and has done, is get prepared. They've been thinking
02:59
about that for months. The notion that Trump would be president of the US appeared, unfortunately,
03:06
in my view, quite some time ago. So then the big question is, retaliate or negotiate? There
03:17
are things the US want from us. And there are things we want from the US, such as other
03:24
than being shot at. So there is a range of issues where we probably could open an interesting
03:36
transatlantic negotiation. So that's the case for wait and see. And say, which EU authorities
03:45
have been saying, we're ready to look at a deal.
03:49
So what kind of deals? What are you talking about, specifically, that we would negotiate
03:52
with, that we have, you know, in our armaments?
03:55
I mean, for instance, take the example of cars. He's got a crappy argument, and he's
04:04
got a reasonable argument. The crappy argument is, Angela, there are plenty of Mercedes in
04:12
New York, zero Chevron in Berlin. This is a problem. As long as there won't be an equal
04:19
number of Chevrons in Berlin, this is a problem. Stupid thing. Where he's right is that the
04:28
EU has an import tariff of 10%. And the EU and the US have an import tariff for cars
04:33
at 3%. Now, is it the reason why there is no Chevron in Berlin? No way. But it exists.
04:44
So maybe we could accept 5% or 6% or 7% or 8% tariff in the US, if they accept to lower
04:56
their tariff on things which we would like to export more in the US, and which are not
05:02
in his mind as a big problem. Or maybe we could negotiate that against something to
05:10
be done in NATO that the US don't want to do, but that we want to do. So there are plenty
05:15
of things. Now, of course, and that's my experience of negotiating with the US and China and other
05:24
big shots. When I was in this business, you should do that with a gun in your pocket.
05:33
If you negotiate with the mafia, you may have to, but you need a gun in your pocket.
05:41
You need to show your strength and say ready to deal. But if the deal does not work, if
05:49
you believe you will debalance a deal just because you're threatening us, we have the
05:54
means to retaliate, which is true, because we have a large market and US exporters of
06:01
a number of products will have problems if we retaliate.
06:04
Where did it all go wrong? I mean, do you understand the backlash against globalisation?
06:11
I've always said, and you and others always heard me saying, that a globalisation is here
06:19
to stay. Not least because three quarters, at least, of the people of this planet like
06:28
globalisation, because they see it as a better future for them, because they are poor. And
06:37
second, it's here to stay, but in a different shape. But the world will not de-globalise.
06:47
Now, what I've always said is, globalisation is efficient and painful. And it is efficient
06:56
because it is painful, and it is painful because it is efficient. If I do something
07:00
better than you do, and you do something better than I do, it's a win-win.
07:06
And speaking of shocks from outside, you have Elon Musk, who's basically in the White House
07:12
now, saying that he's interfering in UK politics, but also German politics. Do you think European
07:19
politics can stay the course to protect itself?
07:22
I mean, we have to. At the end of the day, we've mentioned the environment, we've mentioned
07:29
trade, we've mentioned... At the end of the day, what matters is values.
07:35
And are those values being diminished?
07:37
They are European values.
07:39
But are they being diminished by the rise to the rise?
07:42
Of course they have been diminished. I mean, democracy has receded by, let's say, 15 or
07:48
20% for the last 20 years.
07:52
The biggest danger, when I discuss with my American friends, who don't like Trump, and
07:59
I have more of that in my sample, understandably, European Social Democrats are flabbergasted
08:07
at Trump, although we try to understand.
08:11
What they tell me is that the real danger is if the roots of American democracy are
08:19
rotten. Corruption, I've been working with Transparency International, who's the main
08:26
international organization fighting corruption for 35 years now. Corruption is a terrible
08:38
destruction of democracy.
08:41
Just before I let you go, the Mercosur trade deal, which has been sort of on the table
08:45
for decades, pretty much. Your own country, France, is really dead against it. So are
08:50
other countries, but France is really leading the charge. What do you think France should
08:54
do in relation to Mercosur? Can you understand the French farmers and agricultural industry?
09:01
I can understand part of why French farmers are unhappy. And I do understand why they
09:10
are unhappy. What I know is that the reasons they have to be unhappy has nothing to do
09:17
with Europe or Mercosur. They have to do with the way the French have handled the common
09:22
agricultural policy within France. So for the French farmers who are angry, and I can
09:29
understand why some of them are angry, not all. Some of them are doing pretty well,
09:34
but the smaller farmers are angry. Smaller farmers have good reason to be angry. But
09:38
it's not because of Europe. Europe has always had them. It's not because of Mercosur. It's
09:45
because of the way the French have interpreted, translated, implemented a number of, for instance,
09:54
precautionary regulation coming from Brussels. So Mercosur plays the role of a scapegoat.
10:03
But I mean, it's not just the French farmers. Farmers across Europe would say that they
10:07
are producing to a particularly high standard, but then what they'll have to endure is beef
10:15
and agricultural products coming into their market that is produced at a much lower standard.
10:20
This is wrong. There is no chicken that enters the EU market if this chicken does not follow
10:33
the same regulatory phytosanitary standards as the one which are implemented in Europe.
10:39
So this notion that importing food is displacing nationally produced food because it's lower
10:48
quality, sanitary and phytosanitary. I'm not talking about the quality of the food
10:54
itself. Yeah, of course, you're talking about the production standards. This argument that
10:58
we are the victims of low standard imports is wrong. Simply wrong. It just doesn't, it's
11:07
not the fact. That's the way they paint it. That's the way some of them feel it. They
11:13
also feel that the checks aren't there. So even if they have to apply the standards in
11:19
Mercosur countries, they won't be applied properly and therefore there will be a loophole.
11:24
That's another story. The checks are for everybody and we do import quite a lot from Mercosur
11:30
today. So if we have a check problem, let's solve the check problem. But it's not in importing
11:37
a bit more from Mercosur in order to export quite more to Mercosur that the check problem
11:43
will be changed. I do agree that we may have a check problem. But if we have it, let's
11:48
solve it. Nothing to do with Mercosur.
11:50
OK, Pascal Lamy, thank you very much for joining us on the European conversation.
11:53
My pleasure.
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