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Super Bowl Prop Betting Insights: Trends & Tips for SB LIX
SportsGrid
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9 months ago
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00:00
So, have you already started working on prop betting for the Super Bowl?
00:06
Oh, yeah.
00:07
You know, I've been jumping in.
00:08
I've been pounding the pavement, so to speak, on a daily basis, sort of looking at the card.
00:16
It's tough.
00:17
You know what I mean?
00:18
It's tough.
00:19
The Super Bowl, these are the sharpest numbers that you're going to get.
00:21
And actually, it's almost like, you know what, if you like someone to like over earlier,
00:29
you might end up liking them under after, because the numbers change so much.
00:32
Like Dallas Goddard's a good example.
00:34
We all know the Kansas City Chiefs struggle against tight ends, even though, for whatever
00:37
reason, the Buffalo Bills didn't try to exploit it at all.
00:43
But I think Philadelphia will.
00:44
I thought Dallas Goddard was going to have a big game against Washington, and he did,
00:48
Scott.
00:49
But, you know, I've said this before, guys.
00:52
This is sort of like, it's sort of like shopping for a Christmas present on New Year's Eve,
00:58
if you wait to bet these props, like to next Saturday or next Sunday.
01:02
Like the best numbers are already kind of gone already.
01:05
Like I said, like there's been that much movement on these props when they come out, and what's
01:10
Goddard up to?
01:11
I want to see what Goddard's up to right now.
01:12
He opened up at like 46 and a half, all right?
01:16
And he's like, he's crossed the 50 barrier at most spots right now.
01:20
I've heard of some like 52s and some 53s, and here we go.
01:24
I'm seeing right now with Goddard, Goddard's all the way up to 51 and a half.
01:30
So think about that, guys.
01:31
This game is still like 10 days away or whatever, nine days away, and there's been a four-yard
01:37
movement on one prop on one tight end, right?
01:41
Like I don't like it as much at 51 and a half as I did at 46 and a half, 47 and a half.
01:45
So as far as the props, though, the Jalen Hurts prop is the baffling one.
01:51
This is the one that you know is going to, is going to get jacked up before game time.
01:56
This guy's got touchdowns in like, what, 10 of his last 12 games?
02:01
He's a touchdown machine when they, you know, yeah, Barkley gets touchdowns, guys, but when
02:06
they get inside the one, the two, whatnot, Jalen Hurts pops it in.
02:10
I mean, they do the brotherly shove, he scores.
02:13
This number, guys, was like minus 105, minus 110.
02:16
I would expect, Scott, right now, you can get it at minus 115, Jalen Hurts.
02:20
I would expect by kickoff, bro, Jalen Hurts would be like minus 140 or 50 to score a touchdown.
02:26
Like the casual fans haven't bet this stuff yet, Scott.
02:30
It's pro bettors, right?
02:32
Casual fans don't have enough money to put down like $1,000 on a prop two weeks before
02:38
the game.
02:39
They don't do it.
02:40
I agree.
02:41
Right?
02:42
So by the time the casuals, you know, all get there, these numbers are all already beaten,
02:46
right?
02:48
Get in as early as you can on these Super Bowl props if you like them, unless you like
02:52
the unders.
02:53
If you like the unders of the prop, just kick back and wait.
02:56
Just kick back and wait, because the numbers will only go up, not down.
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