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  • 9 months ago
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00:00So, have you already started working on prop betting for the Super Bowl?
00:06Oh, yeah.
00:07You know, I've been jumping in.
00:08I've been pounding the pavement, so to speak, on a daily basis, sort of looking at the card.
00:16It's tough.
00:17You know what I mean?
00:18It's tough.
00:19The Super Bowl, these are the sharpest numbers that you're going to get.
00:21And actually, it's almost like, you know what, if you like someone to like over earlier,
00:29you might end up liking them under after, because the numbers change so much.
00:32Like Dallas Goddard's a good example.
00:34We all know the Kansas City Chiefs struggle against tight ends, even though, for whatever
00:37reason, the Buffalo Bills didn't try to exploit it at all.
00:43But I think Philadelphia will.
00:44I thought Dallas Goddard was going to have a big game against Washington, and he did,
00:48Scott.
00:49But, you know, I've said this before, guys.
00:52This is sort of like, it's sort of like shopping for a Christmas present on New Year's Eve,
00:58if you wait to bet these props, like to next Saturday or next Sunday.
01:02Like the best numbers are already kind of gone already.
01:05Like I said, like there's been that much movement on these props when they come out, and what's
01:10Goddard up to?
01:11I want to see what Goddard's up to right now.
01:12He opened up at like 46 and a half, all right?
01:16And he's like, he's crossed the 50 barrier at most spots right now.
01:20I've heard of some like 52s and some 53s, and here we go.
01:24I'm seeing right now with Goddard, Goddard's all the way up to 51 and a half.
01:30So think about that, guys.
01:31This game is still like 10 days away or whatever, nine days away, and there's been a four-yard
01:37movement on one prop on one tight end, right?
01:41Like I don't like it as much at 51 and a half as I did at 46 and a half, 47 and a half.
01:45So as far as the props, though, the Jalen Hurts prop is the baffling one.
01:51This is the one that you know is going to, is going to get jacked up before game time.
01:56This guy's got touchdowns in like, what, 10 of his last 12 games?
02:01He's a touchdown machine when they, you know, yeah, Barkley gets touchdowns, guys, but when
02:06they get inside the one, the two, whatnot, Jalen Hurts pops it in.
02:10I mean, they do the brotherly shove, he scores.
02:13This number, guys, was like minus 105, minus 110.
02:16I would expect, Scott, right now, you can get it at minus 115, Jalen Hurts.
02:20I would expect by kickoff, bro, Jalen Hurts would be like minus 140 or 50 to score a touchdown.
02:26Like the casual fans haven't bet this stuff yet, Scott.
02:30It's pro bettors, right?
02:32Casual fans don't have enough money to put down like $1,000 on a prop two weeks before
02:38the game.
02:39They don't do it.
02:40I agree.
02:41Right?
02:42So by the time the casuals, you know, all get there, these numbers are all already beaten,
02:46right?
02:48Get in as early as you can on these Super Bowl props if you like them, unless you like
02:52the unders.
02:53If you like the unders of the prop, just kick back and wait.
02:56Just kick back and wait, because the numbers will only go up, not down.
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