Predicting Super Bowl Spread Movement: Where Will the Line Close?

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00:00We are going to attack the game from every single angle,

00:03including what market movement we might see for the spread.

00:08The money line, the total from where we are right now

00:11at open to where we will be 12 days away

00:15on Sunday, February 9th in New Orleans, Louisiana.

00:19DRS, it's time to play Guess the Line.

00:22And of course, we start with the spread,

00:25where it opened and where it is right now.

00:28A point and a half in favor of Kansas City.

00:32Where will it be on February 9th?

00:35I'm sorry, who is, who's that?

00:37Is that like a generic Chiefs person?

00:40Just to understand what we have on the screen.

00:43It is a generic guy.

00:44The guy doesn't play or make money

00:45for anybody who bets on him.

00:46Yeah, it is a generic guy.

00:48Yep, that is him.

00:49Generic?

00:50Mm-hmm.

00:51I can't, I-

00:52Yeah.

00:53I also didn't hear anything because-

00:53It's generic because the guy-

00:54Our studio equipment is working well today.

00:57Yeah, the guy doesn't make anybody money who bets on him.

00:59So he is generic.

01:00Yeah, for sure.

01:01So it is generic.

01:02DeAndre Hopkins there on the right side of that screen.

01:04Anyway, Guess the Line, where it is right now.

01:07A point and a half in favor of Kansas City.

01:10We are not talking money line just yet.

01:12The spread, DRS.

01:13Where do you think the closing number will be

01:16as we get the kick on February 9th in the Big Easy?

01:20I'm gonna stay, I'm gonna say it stays in the one range,

01:24which means one and a half to one.

01:28I don't think it flips to a favor

01:29towards the Philadelphia Eagles at minus one either.

01:30I don't think it gets to two or two and a half

01:33because the information that's gonna come out

01:35from today until Super Bowl Sunday, right?

01:38Sometimes you have to analyze that.

01:39If you just look at the FanBlue Sportsbook,

01:4153% of the bets coming in on Kansas City,

01:4358% of the money.

01:44That's roughly even.

01:45That's not enough to push it around

01:46depending on where sharps and squares

01:47are coming in on just yet here.

01:49But that number will start to change.

01:51Why?

01:51Because I do think some information

01:53that Kansas City, completely healthy ball club.

01:57Outside of somebody got hurt on Kansas City in practice,

02:00you're not anticipating any changes here.

02:02The one thing I do think people will buy

02:03into the Philadelphia Eagles on a point is,

02:05okay, Cam Juergens, who didn't play in the last game,

02:08says he's gonna be fine.

02:09Just some back spasms built up during the week,

02:11couldn't shake him.

02:12I'll be fine Super Bowl Sunday.

02:14Then Landon Dickerson goes back to guard

02:15and he has a week and a half to two weeks

02:17to heal up on that knee.

02:19So they'll be full go.

02:20Saquon Barkley, who shot out of a cannon in the playoffs.

02:23Why, Ben?

02:24Because he didn't have to play week 18

02:27against the New York Giants.

02:28Now he gets two weeks off to be extra ready.

02:30And also, what were the question marks on Sunday afternoon

02:32with the Philadelphia Eagles?

02:34Yeah, we were focused on the offensive line,

02:35but the talk all week was,

02:37boy, can Jalen Hurts even stand in the pocket

02:39or be functional?

02:40He looks functional and has two extra weeks to prepare

02:43to get ready for this game and rest that knee.

02:45So the reason I'm getting down to is,

02:47the positives coming out aren't gonna come from Kansas City

02:50other than, yeah, we know Andy Rito

02:51for bi-week Patrick Mahomes is great and that's fine.

02:54But now you're saying, boy, the Eagles hung 55

02:57and looked really good on their playoff run.

02:59And they're gonna get even fresher and healthier

03:01before they take on the Kansas City Chiefs.

03:04That's why I don't think it's going to two.

03:06And if I had to say, just give me an answer point blank,

03:08I'll say minus one Chiefs on Super Bowl Sunday.

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