Analyzing NFL Game Props & Predictions for Chiefs-Bills

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00:00Passing props, receiving props, rushing props. Let's go through it again. 48 and a half over

00:04under. It is a one and a half point spread. Again, I saw 49 and a half out there. It was

00:09minus one in favor of Chiefs. It's back to one and a half. This is my first look at these props.

00:15Full gut reaction or knee-jerk reaction right from the top. Josh Allen, plus 105 for TD. Kelsey,

00:23plus 130. Cook, plus 140. Pacheco, plus 145. Kareem Hunt, plus 165. Worthy, plus 195. Khalil

00:30Shakir, plus 220. Drops down after that. Hopkins, I continue to have interest in.

00:39Maybe it's my own fault that I just believe they brought in this veteran receiver for a reason.

00:43He's plus 360. Move back and talk myself into that again. Obviously, with a 48 and a half over

00:50under, we've got to judge how many touchdowns we're going to be getting, etc., etc. All right,

00:56passing props. First time I've looked at them. Mahomes, 249 and a half. Allen, 231 and a half.

01:03Obviously, one and a half each for the TDs. It's juiced heavily for Mahomes. Minus 160 to the over.

01:09Allen is plus 118 for over one and a half touchdowns.

01:13Josh Allen, 231 and a half. I mean, what would cause him to not get to 231 and a half passing,

01:20or 232, if he were to hit the over? The question is, what would cause him to not hit this? Either,

01:30I mean, it would have to be like an immense ground game from the Bills. Not just from Allen, but

01:37Cook, Ray Davis, Ty Johnson. They would all have to go for 50 yards on the ground,

01:4360 yards on the ground, plus Allen. They're rushing for 150 or 200 yards on the ground,

01:48where Josh Allen throws the ball for 200 yards, and they have 400 yards of offense. That is what

01:55would need to be required for Josh Allen to not hit over 231. Looking back,

02:04hit over 231. Looking back at yesterday's game, CJ Stroud played a pretty good game.

02:11Pretty good game overall. They were able to move the ball effectively downfield. Now,

02:15they weren't able to convert on things, and that's a completely different story. We're

02:18not talking about the Texans' offense compared to the Bills' offense, but CJ Stroud was solid

02:24yesterday. 245, no interceptions, got the ball to his main receivers, got the ball to his tight end.

02:32Josh Allen needs to hit 231 yards, at least in my mind, if the Bills are going to have a chance

02:40at beating the Chiefs, which I do think they have a very solid chance of doing it.

02:44So I'm inclined to lean to over 231.5 for Josh Allen. 249.5 for Mahomes seems a little bit high.

02:54I just don't know if he's going to be getting there, and this is not saying that he can't get

02:57there. It's just I don't know if he will need to, and or will there be enough plays that will

03:05enable him to do so.