Pelemahan Berlanjut, IHSG Makin Turun ke 7.100-an

IDXchannel

IHSG -0,20% ke 7.146,79 di sesi I Senin (18/11). Sektor barang baku +0,97% BRMS +11,50%, sektor barang konsumen non primer +0,93% MAPI +3,99%. Sementara sektor infrastruktur -0,81% BREN -1,09%, sektor teknologi - 0,74% MLPT -14,4%. Dari energi saham ADRO anjlok 4% pasca tetapkan spesial dividen dan ubah nama. Sementara saham perbankan Big Caps melemah ke harga terendah 3 bulan.  Dari global, Wall Street ditutup melemah Jumat (15/11) dengan S&P 500 dan Nasdaq catatkan penurunan harian terbesar dua minggu. Kekhawatiran melambatnya pemangkasan suku bunga picu aksi jual.

Transcript

00:00Thank you for joining us in this segment, we will review Pemirsa, how is the trade going on today.

00:12And we remind you that you can still participate in the interactive WhatsApp in 08.12.8788.723, as shown on the screen.

00:22And right now we are connected via Zoom with Mrs. Liza Kamilia Suryanata, who is the Head of Research at NHKorindo Sekuritas.

00:31We will go straight to Mrs. Liza, good afternoon, how are you?

00:36Hello, good afternoon, Mr. David. Thank you.

00:39Thank you too, Mrs. Liza, for taking the time on IDX Channel.

00:42At the beginning of the week, the Indika Rega Samkabungan continued the weakening.

00:47If we combine it with the previous week, the weakening has occurred in four consecutive days.

00:54It is getting more and more intense, to 7,100.

00:58Your analysis, has the Indika Rega Samkabungan entered the FISA list?

01:02Mrs. Liza.

01:04I still hope there is a level 7,000, a psychological level, which may be able to withstand the decline of the IHSK further.

01:15So now it's tough.

01:18I think at 71.40, the current position, we wait until the number 7,000 or at least 69.50.

01:30Before the IHSK changed the trend.

01:37Before it changed the trend to be more bearish, towards around 6,700.

01:44But indeed, if we look at the trend in the long run, it is still relatively sideways.

01:53So, it can be said that our movement range is quite narrow.

01:59So for bearish, I think we are still there.

02:04Unless maybe even lower than 6,900.

02:08Okay. The direction of the Indika Rega Samkabungan in the short and medium term?

02:16Okay, for the short term.

02:18As I said earlier, we may have to test the level 7,000.

02:26The round number there is hopefully able to withstand the decline.

02:31In terms of RSI or Relative Strength Index, it has also entered the oversold area.

02:36So it's quite true for us to hope that there will be a decrease or a limited downside potential.

02:46Meanwhile, for the medium term, for the end of the year target, we are still quite conservative.

02:57We were able to reach 7,900 temporarily in September.

03:04But for the end of this year, we still stay at 7,800.

03:09But looking at the capital outflow that happened this month, which has reached 15 trillion,

03:17I'm afraid we have to have a strong trigger for the rest of the trading time until the end of the year to get there.

03:27So maybe with a more conservative target, I put it at around 4,500-7,500.

03:36Is there a revision of the previous target, Mrs. Liza?

03:40Yes, I think so.

03:43Okay, how much was the previous target, Mrs. Liza?

03:467,800.

03:47Okay, 7,800.

03:50The potential of the SAMKABUNGAN index seems to be only at 7,400 until the end of the year,

03:55considering some developments and technical movement patterns of the SAMKABUNGAN index in recent times.

04:02Mrs. Liza, overall, the contribution from several sectors to the SAMKABUNGAN index

04:07is dominated by banks and also commodities.

04:11The mix between these two sectors contributes 60%.

04:16The current position is that this sector is the burden and target of foreign trade.

04:23I want to go to Big Cap Bank first, Mrs. Liza.

04:26Your analysis shows that some stocks today have reached their lowest level in the last three months.

04:34Yes.

04:35So despite our expectations, Mr. David, if there is already a limited downside potential here,

04:41we have to see first what the determining sector is, the finance.

04:45For example, we look at the BBRI.

04:48The current BBRI is around 4,370-4,300.

04:52Hopefully, there is already a potential for a limited downside there.

05:01Also related to IHS, it is also a little more up to around 7,100-7,000.

05:07Hopefully, the reverse direction is also supported by the rebound of the BBRI at around 4,300.

05:14Then we move to the independent banks.

05:18I'm sorry, Mrs. Liza. What is the recommendation of the BBRI, Mrs?

05:26The BBRI, maybe my own weakness, is around 4,370-4,300.

05:33But the buying is gradual.

05:35Then the target is around 4,500-4,600 first.

05:43Okay.

05:44Coincidentally, there is a question that has entered our interactive WhatsApp.

05:48There is Mr. Andrew from Tanggrang Selatan.

05:50The BBRI price is quite high, Mrs, at 5,155.

05:55Your analysis, at least to minimize the loss that occurs.

06:01Okay, for the catalyst now, I think it's too late, Mr. Andrew.

06:04So hopefully the BRI will stop falling at 4,300.

06:10But stopping falling is one thing.

06:14The potential below is another thing.

06:16So because the trend is still in the downward channel,

06:20so for the short-term target, the BRI may move first to 4,500-4,600.

06:28Okay. From the BBRI, we immediately move to the BMRI, Mrs.

06:32Today at 6,300.

06:34Weakening at 0.79%.

06:36Earlier it was 6,225.

06:38Mr. Andrew also has a price that is quite far above 7,200.

06:43Mrs. Liza.

06:47It's the same, at the same price as the BBRI, around 6,300-6,200.

06:53There is support where the RSI is also a little positive divergence.

07:00Yes, there is hope.

07:01This is the same in the finance sector.

07:05The crucial resistance must be overcome,

07:07certainly around 4,500-6,500.

07:15Well, the near target should be around 6,600 or 7,000.

07:23Well, the independent bank is still downtrend,

07:25so maybe we haven't reached 7,200 yet for the near term.

07:29Okay.

07:30BBCA, Mrs.

07:31Jelang, this dividend divider.

07:37For BCA, yes.

07:40The first step that must be taken by BCA is to rise above M10 at 10,200.

07:51Then it goes to 10,500.

07:55Well, this 10,000 is a determinant.

07:59Whether it can survive at the psychological level or not.

08:02Yes, because if the closing is below 10,000,

08:06I think this will go to around 9,800 again or 9,600.

08:13Okay.

08:14What is the bionicness level, Mrs.?

08:19If it goes down again, maybe around 9,800 or 9,600.

08:25But if the first step is to rise above the independent bank,

08:31hopefully BCA will reach above 10,200.

08:35Okay. Analysis from several pick-up banks,

08:38and again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the ITX channel.

08:42Let's move on to the energy sector, Mrs. Adaro.

08:45This is also enough to draw the attention of investors throughout the business today.

08:49The good news that was conveyed, but today, technically,

08:53Adaro has undergone quite a deep correction.

08:55Actually, has it been priced in?

08:57Or what is the condition for Adaro?

09:00Adaro, in the mid-term,

09:03this is still quite safe in the uptrend.

09:07So, today, there is TRUVS,

09:11and a number of corporate actions,

09:13and there is also good news about the dividend,

09:17which is quite interesting.

09:20So, the level of Rp 3,720,

09:24in my opinion, can be categorized as a speculative buy.

09:27But it is a gradual buy,

09:30with an average up if Adaro can go up to Rp 3,700-Rp 3,800.

09:38For the immediate target,

09:40probably around Rp 4,100-Rp 4,300.

09:45Okay, the closing today, Rp 3,720,

09:48decreased by 5.10% in the good news

09:52that was conveyed by Adaro.

09:55And again, the decision to invest

09:57is still in the hands of the viewers of AITX Channel.

09:59Okay, Mrs. Liza, let's pause for a while.

10:02Later, we will try to see what Samsung Flynn you recommend.

10:06And later, we will also convey

10:08the position of the closing of trading

10:10in the second session today.

10:12We will be back shortly.

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