Trump’s Betting Market Lead Narrowed Over The Weekend-Remains Favorite To Win | Forbes Topline - video Dailymotion

Forbes

Former President Donald Trump’s lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the election betting markets narrowed sharply over the weekend—with the Democrat even taking a small lead in one of the five big markets—as the betting market responded to some favorable recent polling for Harris, including a shock poll showing her ahead in the red state of Iowa.  Read the full story on Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2024/11/04/trumps-betting-market-lead-narrowed-over-the-weekend-but-he-remains-bookmakers-favorite-to-win/  Subscribe to FORBES: https://www.youtube.com/user/Forbes?sub_confirmation=1  Fuel your success with Forbes. Gain unlimited access to premium journalism, including breaking news, groundbreaking in-depth reported stories, daily digests and more. Plus, members get a front-row seat at members-only events with leading thinkers and doers, access to premium video that can help you get ahead, an ad-light experience, early access to select products including NFT drops and more:  https://account.forbes.com/membership/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=display&utm_campaign=growth_non-sub_paid_subscribe_ytdescript  Stay Connected Forbes newsletters: https://newsletters.editorial.forbes.com Forbes on Facebook: http://fb.com/forbes Forbes Video on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/forbes Forbes Video on Instagram: http://instagram.com/forbes More From Forbes:  http://forbes.com  Forbes covers the intersection of entrepreneurship, wealth, technology, business and lifestyle with a focus on people and success.

Transcript

00:00Former President Donald Trump's lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the election

00:04betting markets narrowed sharply over the weekend, with the Democrat even taking a small

00:09lead in one of the five big markets.

00:12According to the Election Betting Odds Tracker, which consolidates betting numbers from five

00:16major markets, bookmakers now give Trump a 54.6% chance of winning in November, compared

00:23to 45% for Harris.

00:25This is a major shift from last week's numbers, which had Trump solidly ahead at 63%, compared

00:32to his Democratic opponent's odds of around 36%.

00:36Bettors on the crypto-based betting platform PolyMarket, whose numbers have been touted

00:40by both Trump and Elon Musk, believe Trump is still the favorite, with a roughly 58%

00:45chance compared to Harris' 42.2%.

00:48On Calshi, which won a federal court ruling last month to continue accepting bets on the

00:53election, bookmakers predict Trump has an edge of 54% to 46%.

00:59While there had been some movement in Harris' favor since Friday, a big swing occurred late

01:03on Saturday night after well-respected pollster Ann Selzer released numbers from her team's

01:08final survey in Iowa.

01:10Selzer's poll, published by the Des Moines Register, showed Harris with a shock three-point

01:15lead over Trump, 47% to 44%, in a state the former president carried in 2016 and 2020.

01:23For more on this story, check out Syled de Dieray's article in the link in the description.

Trump’s Betting Market Lead Narrowed Over The Weekend-Remains Favorite To Win | Forbes Topline

Category

Transcript

Comments

Recommended