• last month
Former President Donald Trump’s lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the election betting markets narrowed sharply over the weekend—with the Democrat even taking a small lead in one of the five big markets—as the betting market responded to some favorable recent polling for Harris, including a shock poll showing her ahead in the red state of Iowa.

Read the full story on Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/siladityaray/2024/11/04/trumps-betting-market-lead-narrowed-over-the-weekend-but-he-remains-bookmakers-favorite-to-win/

Subscribe to FORBES: https://www.youtube.com/user/Forbes?sub_confirmation=1

Fuel your success with Forbes. Gain unlimited access to premium journalism, including breaking news, groundbreaking in-depth reported stories, daily digests and more. Plus, members get a front-row seat at members-only events with leading thinkers and doers, access to premium video that can help you get ahead, an ad-light experience, early access to select products including NFT drops and more:

https://account.forbes.com/membership/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=display&utm_campaign=growth_non-sub_paid_subscribe_ytdescript

Stay Connected
Forbes newsletters: https://newsletters.editorial.forbes.com
Forbes on Facebook: http://fb.com/forbes
Forbes Video on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/forbes
Forbes Video on Instagram: http://instagram.com/forbes
More From Forbes: http://forbes.com

Forbes covers the intersection of entrepreneurship, wealth, technology, business and lifestyle with a focus on people and success.

Category

People
Transcript
00:00Former President Donald Trump's lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the election
00:04betting markets narrowed sharply over the weekend, with the Democrat even taking a small
00:09lead in one of the five big markets.
00:12According to the Election Betting Odds Tracker, which consolidates betting numbers from five
00:16major markets, bookmakers now give Trump a 54.6% chance of winning in November, compared
00:23to 45% for Harris.
00:25This is a major shift from last week's numbers, which had Trump solidly ahead at 63%, compared
00:32to his Democratic opponent's odds of around 36%.
00:36Bettors on the crypto-based betting platform PolyMarket, whose numbers have been touted
00:40by both Trump and Elon Musk, believe Trump is still the favorite, with a roughly 58%
00:45chance compared to Harris' 42.2%.
00:48On Calshi, which won a federal court ruling last month to continue accepting bets on the
00:53election, bookmakers predict Trump has an edge of 54% to 46%.
00:59While there had been some movement in Harris' favor since Friday, a big swing occurred late
01:03on Saturday night after well-respected pollster Ann Selzer released numbers from her team's
01:08final survey in Iowa.
01:10Selzer's poll, published by the Des Moines Register, showed Harris with a shock three-point
01:15lead over Trump, 47% to 44%, in a state the former president carried in 2016 and 2020.
01:23For more on this story, check out Syled de Dieray's article in the link in the description.

Recommended