Trump Dominates Election Day Voters, as Harris Leads Among Voters Who Plan to Vote Early. What's Behind the Split?

A recent NBC News poll shows that over 50% of registered voters plan to vote early this fall. Trump leads by 20 points with voters who plan to cast their ballots on Election Day. This sharp divide between early and Election Day voters highlights the growing partisan gap in voting behavior. The trend began during the Trump years and surged during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic when many voters opted for early and mail-in voting. The Republican shift away from early voting is largely due to Trump's messaging, where he frequently undermines early voting.