Mariners vs. Padres: An Intense Pitching Showdown on Wednesday

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Transcript

00:00Let's take it to a pitcher's paradise up there in Seattle.

00:06It's the Mariners at home, taking on the Padres.

00:09Last night was the Padres getting it done 7-3, and they'll get Michael King out there

00:13on the Hill this afternoon.

00:14Brian Wu gets the start for the Mariners.

00:16Brian Wu with a 7-2 win-loss, 2-3-6 ERA.

00:21Not expected to see a lot of offense in this one, but looks to be one of the closest games

00:25of the afternoon.

00:26The odds-makers have it set as a pick-em, with that total being just at 6.5 runs.

00:31Yeah, this is like a playoff atmosphere, right, Dubsy?

00:35You need San Diego to win if they want to stay in that wild-card race and certainly

00:37make the playoffs.

00:38But also, from a Seattle Mariners perspective, you're almost looking at that last Hail Mary

00:42to try to overtake the Houston Astros, but you're right about it.

00:45Look at that price point, 6.5 on this game, which means 7 runs win this.

00:49You're not even getting that buffer, at least 7 or 7.5, to push that closer to that 8-8.5

00:54number that you would need to get over.

00:56You take a look at Michael King, nothing short of sensational here, Dubsy.

00:59Last 60 days in Major League Baseball, 5-2 record, 45-2 innings pitch, but look at this,

01:04an ERA of 2.36 and the second-best pitcher on the card today with his XFIP at a 3.07.

01:10You flip it over to the other side and you say, well, what am I going to get out of Brian

01:12Wu for the Seattle Mariners?

01:14He's 4-1 over the past 60 days with 58-1 innings pitch.

01:18How about his ERA?

01:192.78 and a very manageable 3.67 XFIP number.

01:24So it is low.

01:25Both of the lineups are decent, but this is a pitching paradise.

01:28As we like to say, they got 10 runs combined last night.

01:31I don't think we get here, but here's the tough part about it.

01:34Donnie, if you had a free bet, which way would you go here on the total?

01:38I still probably would go under 6.5, but my goodness, man, you're sweating it out, Dubsy,

01:43a 3-2, 3-3, it's an automatic over going to extras.

01:46It's tough to do, but as we say, those numbers are there for a reason.

01:49I would be surprised if we go near 8-9 runs, which puts you in the ballpark for an under,

01:54but 6 or less, that's sometimes a tough draw, man.