BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Aaron Judge & Juan Soto

BetMGM Network

BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games

Transcript

00:00Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost.

00:06I'm Lucy Virge of BetQL and I am joined by Matt Horner and we have a Home Run Parlay

00:13Odds Boost on two guys you may have heard of and you may have heard of them because

00:17they hit home runs.

00:18It is Aaron Judge and Juan Soto.

00:20To each hit a home run boosted to plus 1000 at Caesars, Mr. 50 and 51 and Juan Soto.

00:29To each hit a home run.

00:30Matt, what do you think of this odds boost?

00:31Yeah, I don't mind this at all.

00:33They're going up against Mitchell Parker today, the left hander for the Washington Nationals.

00:37He's pretty much pitching to expectation, but the problem with him is he allows a lot

00:41of home runs and a lot of fly balls.

00:43And when you're going against a team like the Yankees and these guys in particular,

00:47that is probably not a good idea.

00:48He has only a 36.6% ground ball rate.

00:51So a lot of fly balls going for Mr. Parker, 1.17 home runs through nine as well, which

00:57is a bit high.

00:58It's not super high, but it's a bit high there.

01:00And overall, if he's not going to keep the ball on the ground against these guys, well,

01:04they can certainly hit a home run.

01:05We know the type of power they have.

01:06So yeah, don't mind this boost at all.

01:09Yes, love this.

01:10Get in on this boost plus 1000 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.

01:16Bet $10, get up to $1500 back in bonus bets.

01:19If your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy when you sign up for a new BetMGM

01:25account now and head to betql.com and check out our exclusive sports book offers there

01:31as well.

01:32And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at the field

01:37verge favorite bets today, I'm going to the Red Sox game when it comes to betting the

01:43second game today, because they do have a game that they are continuing from June where

01:47Danny Jansen will make history because he is playing in the same, same game for two

01:52different teams, Matt.

01:54It is really cool.

01:56It is Danny Jansen day, but I am going to just be a spectator of that game because that

02:02game is not even four games.

02:03So I'm going to the second game tonight.

02:05Raphael Devers to hit a home run against the Blue Jays in game two of today's doubleheader

02:11plus 525 is where you can get this at BetMGM is where you can get this.

02:16He just hit a home run yesterday for his 200th career home run.

02:19I think he can hit 201 today or tonight.

02:22He has three home runs in his last nine games, he got 28 this season against Jose Barrios.

02:28He also has two home runs along with three doubles and two singles.

02:31So he can hit Jose Barrios and I think he can do it again tonight and hit a home run.

02:36Yes.

02:37Well, good luck to your Red Sox because my White Sox are going to be losing 101 games.

02:43I'm sure after tonight against the Detroit Tigers.

02:46I'm wearing this hat, by the way, everybody, because the White Sox lost 100 games.

02:51It's not even September.

02:53Absolutely amazing.

02:54It's just incredible.

02:55Really, it's awfulness of the Chicago White Sox.

02:58So I had to celebrate, you know, as one usually does.

03:01I'm going to go with the Braves at Twins game tonight.

03:04I'm going to take the over seven and a half in this game.

03:08It's only at Bet Rivers right now at seven and a half everywhere else in the market generally

03:12is at eight.

03:13I still like it at eight.

03:14But if you can get the seven and a half, obviously, if you have Bet Rivers, I would take that.

03:17And ESPN has this at eight and a half.

03:19So it's kind of all over the place.

03:20Either way.

03:21I like the over at seven and a half here.

03:23Max Freed is on the mound.

03:24He's really struggled lately.

03:26He's mostly pitching to expectation, though, if you look at some of his advanced numbers,

03:29three fifty seven era, three seventy three expected era, three forty eight expected.

03:34The problem with him, though, is that his walk rate has skyrocketed.

03:38He's been walking a lot of guys recently.

03:39Three point twenty two walks through nine.

03:42That is up from two point oh nine last year and one point fifty five the year before.

03:45So you're seeing some demand issues there for sure.

03:48The amount of injuries this guy has had is strikeout.

03:50The Woffe ratio also down almost a third year over year.

03:54The twins, they've been crushing lefties one thirteen WRC plus this year.

03:58That's sixth in baseball against left handed pitching.

04:01So, you know, Mr. Freed, I think he can get smacked around a little bit there on the other

04:05side.

04:06Bailey over I've talked about him for.

04:07I actually like Bailey over.

04:08I don't think he's a bad pitcher at all.

04:10He's pretty much pitching expectations as well.

04:12If you look at his advance numbers problem with over, though, he does allow a lot of

04:15home runs.

04:16We've talked about with Parker before.

04:18He has a one point two two home runs to nine overdoes this year.

04:21He allows a ton of fly balls, his career forty nine percent fly ball rate going up against

04:27the Braves tonight.

04:28The Braves are actually eleventh in fly ball rate as an offense.

04:31They get a lot of balls in the air and tonight think that could be a problem for Mr. over

04:36because temperatures today in Minnesota expected to reach in the low 90s.

04:41It's going to be a scorching day at Target Field, already a park that is usually about

04:45a league average in terms of park factor and one hundred.

04:48So with those temperatures today, I just think more offense is going to be shown here between

04:52these two teams.

04:53Both pitchers, you know, no real regression they're going, but just playing into the factor

04:57of the high temperatures and some of the matchups.

05:00So, yeah, give me the over seven and a half here at that rivers if you can get it or the

05:04over eight generally everywhere else.

05:07Love that.

05:08Get in on our bets and the odds boost plus one hundred at Caesars and subscribe to the

05:12BQL Daily Boost wherever you get your podcast.

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