- 1 year ago
IHSG ditutup menguat 0,25% ke 6.897,06 sesi I Senin (24/6). sektor teknologi +1,20% dengan BUKA +4,65% dan GOTO +2,00%. Sektor infrastruktur +0,62% dengan BREN +3,02% dan kembali salip BBCA dengan menduduki peringkat pertama market cap terbesar di BEI. Sektor keuangan +0,61% dengan BBCA +1,04% dan BRIS +4,55%.
Dari global, Indeks S&P 500 dan Nasdaq merosost tipis di akhir pekan waktu setempat, terbebani pelemahan saham Nvidia dalam 2 hari beruntun yang menyeret sektor teknologi. Sektor teknologi merupakan yang mengalami penurunan terbesar di antara 11 sektor utama Indeks S&P 500.
Dari global, Indeks S&P 500 dan Nasdaq merosost tipis di akhir pekan waktu setempat, terbebani pelemahan saham Nvidia dalam 2 hari beruntun yang menyeret sektor teknologi. Sektor teknologi merupakan yang mengalami penurunan terbesar di antara 11 sektor utama Indeks S&P 500.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us.
00:03In this segment, we will review how trading is going on today.
00:07We remind you that you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive on 08.12.8788.723
00:15as shown on your TV screen later.
00:18We are now connected via Zoom with Mr. Hadrian Maynertaslim,
00:22associate director of capital security.
00:26We will talk to him now. Good evening, Mr. Hadrian.
00:29Good evening. How are you?
00:30Good evening. How are you?
00:32Thank you, Mr. Hadrian, for taking the time to be on IDA Channel.
00:36Mr. Hadrian, today is the beginning of the week of trading.
00:40The volatility still seems to be there,
00:43because previously, the domestic price was pushed to 68.70,
00:48then it returned to a significant increase.
00:51But from a technical point of view,
00:53the price of 6.9 hasn't been able to be consistently maintained by ISG so far
00:57throughout the trading, I mean,
01:00even though this position has returned to 6.907.
01:04Your analysis, especially from a technical point of view,
01:07how has the domestic price movement been throughout today's trading?
01:10Yes, ISG is actually the third highest in terms of technical candlestick.
01:15So actually, it's still going pretty well.
01:18You guys are still above the support of MA10.
01:21Indeed, the movement is limited today, but it's still okay.
01:25We can see that the support is at 68.42 at MA10,
01:31and the resistance is at 6.94 at MA20.
01:34So ISG today is still a limited movement,
01:37and generally still consolidating in this area.
01:40Okay, when the domestic price of the joint stock
01:43managed to be closed at 6.900,
01:46or vice versa, Mr. Hadrian,
01:48what can we conclude from the domestic price movement?
01:53Or maybe the support you mentioned earlier, 68.42,
01:56hasn't been touched so far,
02:00and the condition of the joint stock is still quite safe?
02:04Yes, that's right. So with the support that hasn't been met,
02:07actually the ISG rebound is quite okay.
02:09It's still okay compared to the increase in the last month.
02:13So for me, ISG is still stable.
02:16Yes, maybe what is important in ISG is liquidity.
02:19Because today's liquidity, until today,
02:22is only around 8 trillion.
02:24That is also helped by the Nego market,
02:27which is around 2.1 trillion.
02:29So actually the regulation is only 6 trillion.
02:31So the ISG market is currently
02:33the liquidity that is starting to decline.
02:37What caused this condition, Mr. Hadrian?
02:40The enthusiasm of the market players decreased, or what?
02:44Yes, this can be seen, actually,
02:47some of the polemics of the stock market policy
02:49over the last month from the FCA,
02:53even though the last two days, when it was revised,
02:55there was already a wave of new investors,
02:58with yesterday's transaction volume
03:00up to 12 trillion in the regular market.
03:02So I don't know,
03:04hopefully this is only temporary,
03:06because the polemics are also quickly revised and overcome.
03:11So I think this is enthusiasm.
03:13The enthusiasm of the investors is still WMC, actually.
03:16What is expected may be the closest FOMC.
03:20So maybe there will be a big sentiment from the investors.
03:23Okay, for the next quarter,
03:25where are you heading, Mr. Hadrian?
03:27Well, because I think today's movement is quite quiet,
03:30I think the next quarter's movement tends to be sideways,
03:33with the previous trend, 6.842 to 6.964.
03:38Okay, Mr. Hadrian, today,
03:40the big cap stocks' volatility is also quite high, sir.
03:44I mean, in this case,
03:46the index of joint stocks was previously supported
03:49by the big cap stocks in the first session,
03:51but it entered the second session,
03:53especially from the banks,
03:54the strength is more towards the limit,
03:56some even returned to the red zone.
03:58How do you see this position?
04:01Do investors tend to trade only
04:05for these big cap banks?
04:07Yes, if I look at the big cap stocks,
04:10actually there is still pressure,
04:12especially from the level of the flow rate,
04:14even though the BI has set the flow rate at 6.25,
04:18but this is still a high flow rate era,
04:21so in terms of banking companies' energy,
04:24it will be pressured by the high flow rate.
04:26So I think, and this is from foreign inflows and outflows,
04:30the BBNI yesterday when it was green,
04:33on the day before yesterday,
04:34there were still foreign net sales,
04:35even a little, around 100 billion.
04:37So foreign investors are still under pressure to sell in the banks.
04:40So I think the high flow rate and net sales from foreign investors
04:44still put pressure on the banks.
04:47But I think the current support is quite strong,
04:51there is already a bottom,
04:52so I think we just have to wait for consolidation first.
04:55Okay, let's go to the BBRI, Mr. Hadrian,
04:58weakening at 0.23%, at 4.30%.
05:01Analysis and recommendations for the BBRI?
05:04Yes, BBRI for me is more of a buy on weakness recommendation,
05:07for friends in the area around 4,220 to 4,300.
05:12So this is still a downtrend,
05:15but we can take advantage of it to buy on weakness.
05:18The support is far away at the level of 4,000,
05:20which must be maintained at the BBRI.
05:22The long-term resistance can be seen at MA50,
05:25in the area of ​​4,850.
05:27That's for the BBRI.
05:28Okay, the range is still quite wide for the BBRI,
05:31from 4,430 to 0.23%.
05:34BBCA today is green,
05:37although its strength is also more limited,
05:39because previously,
05:40BBCA was able to support the Gassam-Kabunga index
05:43with a strength of over 1%, Mr. Hadrian.
05:45Yes, if BBCA is technically the opposite of BBRI,
05:50it is quite good,
05:51staying above MA50,
05:53we tend to recommend BRII,
05:55with a close target in the area of ​​10,000 to 10,050 for BBCA.
06:00So for me, BBCA is quite good,
06:02to be collected and maintained.
06:04Maybe the issue is the liquidity,
06:07which is also quite low today,
06:09around 590 billion.
06:11Although yesterday,
06:12the average was 1 trillion in BBCA transactions.
06:17What is the recommendation for BBCA?
06:20For BBCA, I recommend BRII,
06:22in the area of ​​9,700,
06:24now at 9,975,
06:26the range of 9,700 is still okay,
06:28the target is at 10,150,
06:30the stock price is at 9,350.
06:32Okay.
06:33Why must it be at 9,700, sir?
06:35Today's closing at 9,675,
06:38is it true that when it has reached 9,700,
06:40the space for continued strengthening
06:42is quite wide open for BBCA?
06:44Actually, not really.
06:45It's just the area.
06:46So actually, in the area of ​​9,550 to 9,850,
06:50it's still okay.
06:51So usually 1-2% of the BRII HIK
06:53is still included in the BRII area.
06:56Okay, at 9,675,
06:57today's closing is also not a problem,
06:59when the first session is opened for the next day.
07:02There is BBCA at 9,675,
07:07strengthening at 0.78%,
07:09today's intraday was up to 9,750.
07:13Does the condition also apply?
07:15No, Mr. Adrian.
07:16For other BICAP banks,
07:18there is BBNI, then also BMRI,
07:21today the correction is the deepest,
07:22compared to other BICAP banks, right?
07:26Yes, for me it still applies,
07:28especially for BBNI.
07:29BBNI is currently still green,
07:31BBNI is still green,
07:33the BRII area, we can see,
07:35we are at level 4560,
07:41so 4560,
07:42if it's 1-2% down, it's still okay,
07:44the rescission can be calculated at 4780,
07:47with the support at 4260,
07:49so BBNI is still okay.
07:51BMRI, with the pressure today?
07:54BBNI, if BBNI,
07:56BMRI, independent bank?
07:58Sorry, independent bank.
08:00Independent bank,
08:02but the selling pressure is still,
08:04even though 2%,
08:06but still above the support,
08:07the support is at 6,000,
08:08plus at 6,000,
08:10but maybe more WNC,
08:12compared to other banks,
08:13because the support tends to be at 5650,
08:16with the rescission at 6350,
08:18so BMRI maybe WNC first,
08:20because BMRI is still waiting,
08:22waiting for the support at 6,000.
08:24Okay, the closure today at 6,000,
08:26down by 2.04%,
08:28and again, the investment decision
08:30is still in the hands of the IDEC channel.
08:33When Samsung B-CAP became a burden,
08:36even though the BBCA tried to be a supporter,
08:39but at the end of the second session,
08:41the BBCA actually moved flat at 9,600,
08:45so that the position of the Samgabungan index,
08:47its strength is more limited
08:49at the end of the second session.
08:51For infrastructure, there is BREN, sir.
08:53Today, it seems to be a burden,
08:56the only one for the Samgabungan index.
08:59At the end of the second session today,
09:01BREN is still closed,
09:04stronger than 3%.
09:06Then, PASCA,
09:08out of the Special Economic Zone,
09:10experienced an increase,
09:11and the capitalization again sits
09:13at the highest level
09:15in the Indonesian stock market,
09:16or the largest.
09:17Your analysis for BREN,
09:18with today's strength?
09:20Yes, today's strength,
09:22BREN is quite good,
09:23because it is followed by a fairly large forum.
09:25The liquidity is up to 197 million today.
09:28For me, BREN has a fairly large resistance.
09:31The closest resistance is at 10,200,
09:34with support at 8,500.
09:36The capital is quite volatile,
09:39but BREN is currently the number one market cap,
09:41and quite active,
09:44so it is validated by investors.
09:47What is the recommendation for BREN, sir?
09:49BREN tends to be more hold,
09:51hold up to 10,200,
09:54with support at 8,500.
09:56But for those who don't have it,
09:57they tend to day trade,
09:58see the day in the morning,
10:00if it's active, then follow the day trade.
10:02For me, it's more short-term.
10:04What is the reason, Mr. Hadrian?
10:06Is it true that the movement,
10:08the risk is quite wide for BREN to increase significantly,
10:10and then also experience a fairly deep correction?
10:13Yes, because the technical part is quite messy.
10:16So technically,
10:18the volatility is quite wide.
10:21So we tend to day trade in the short term.
10:24Because it's already the third green high,
10:26and quite far from MA20,
10:28around 10%.
10:30So for me, this is not the best moment for swing trading.
10:33But for day traders,
10:35maybe it can take advantage of the active frequency in the market
10:37for daily trading.
10:39Okay, from the resistance side to 10,200,
10:42is there a chance for BREN to bounce back to 11,000?
10:46It's very likely.
10:48Because this is a fairly volatile stock.
10:50The volatility is above 7%.
10:52So 7.7%.
10:53So 10,200, if it breaks through,
10:55the next is in the area of 12,000.
10:57Resistance.
10:59It's quite far.
11:01But when the movement reaches that level?
11:06Yes, if I feel it,
11:08it's very unlikely that it will break through.
11:10Because the resistance from the FCA publication
11:12which was at 5,500,
11:14the increase is quite fair.
11:16But unfortunately, at 10,200,
11:18there is usually a slight selling pressure.
11:20Because the resistance was quite strong
11:22in the May area at that time.
11:24Okay, analysis for BREN,
11:26which today again became a supporter of the family stock.
11:29The capitalization again slipped from the BBCA,
11:32when from the Big Cap bank,
11:34the plane today is not compact in supporting
11:36the strengthening of the family stock.
11:38So the position of BREN today
11:40is stronger than 3%,
11:42becoming a supporter,
11:44so that the family stock
11:46does not experience enough pressure
11:48throughout the recent days.
Recommended
11:28
2:59
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44:27
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4:37
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