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00:00So let's go way back on this Monday morning ahead of game number five tonight in the 2024 NBA Finals
00:07It's a weird thing when you have a daily show each and every day of the week, but nothing over the weekend
00:15So Donnie and I look back all the way on Friday evening in game number four of the NBA Finals in
00:22Dallas it was not a game. We necessarily
00:25Expected or the outcome we believed would play out
00:29But the Celtics always lay at least one dud and there it was in game number four the Mavericks
00:36victorious in that fourth game against Boston
00:40122 84
00:41Nearly 840 point home
00:44Margin in favor of the Mavs who closed as an ever so slight home underdog
00:50Minus 112 money line for the Celtics minus 104 on the other side for the Mavericks
00:56Even if we believe Donnie that Dallas would give Boston a good test
01:01finally in this NBA Finals
01:03Set even if we believe the Mavericks could edge out the Celtics to win their first game of this championship series
01:10I don't think we expected it to be by 38 points. I
01:14Know I didn't expect that and I also thought the
01:17Spalton Celtics were going to win that game and close out the NBA Finals just based on what I've seen for the previous three games
01:22And that wasn't the case right off the bat because you did get that good scenario once again
01:26Hey, look at that
01:26Dallas with a double-digit lead in the first quarter this time they were able to make it stick instead of just having a
01:31Meandering end of the first quarter and an even second quarter
01:34They won that first quarter 34 to 21 second quarter 27 to 24 and it was a wrap from there on out
01:40Basically just a party in Dallas saying hmm
01:42Could we actually now go to Boston and possibly force a game number six?
01:46And what did you like out of the Boston Celtics this game?
01:49Absolutely, nothing Jason Tatum was in Lions great big game 27 minutes 15 points Jalen Brown
01:5527 minutes 10 total points
01:57They're the guys that you're supposed to lean on in these big moments to close out a game and win an NBA
02:02Championship and they weren't ready at that point now granted three to one series lead
02:06Do we still think the Boston Celtics spend are going to lose that?
02:09Absolutely not, but I was just disappointed because sometimes you lose in a hard-fought effort right Mavericks 105 Celtics 104
02:16Oh, no, we were so close to it. They didn't even compete in this as almost like they're like, you know what?
02:20It'd be so cool to Austin
02:23Let's just see what happens in the first half and we saw quickly what happened in the first half
02:26It was Kyrie. It was Luca dominating and the Celtics were know where to be found
02:31Drs. We often say things here on this show for the sake of content to maybe build narratives that we don't believe
02:39The actual athletes the organization's the coaching staff's really take into mind like hey
02:45Wouldn't it be cool to win it in front of the crowd inside TD Garden to hoist?
02:50Championship banner number 18 the most ever in the history of the Association at home
02:55But then you expect the actual players to be like nah, we're gonna try to win a basketball game to win a championship
03:02We're not gonna fall into the pedigree of getting the duck boats fired up already as soon as we win
03:08but then we look at the game and we say well if the Celtics are trailing by double digits early in the opening half might
03:14Joe, Missoula, just pack it up
03:16And again, we don't really think that's going to be the reality and then it happens because that's exactly what happened
03:23The Celtics down by 13 at the end of the first quarter lost the second quarter by 13 as well
03:29that Boston dud was there in the effort and
03:33Anything that we anticipated in game number four the first time in this series a team scores more than a hundred and ten points
03:41It's the Dallas Mavericks and in only 64 total minutes 31 for Kyrie
03:4733 for Luka Doncic those two guys combined to score 50
03:51Nobody else because of the blowout manner of game number four
03:55Really did much but Kyrie Irving scoring 21 and Luka Doncic adding in 29
04:00Still neither guy because of blowout theory went over a points prop in game number four and
04:06Still stayed under the total here, which is impressive with the Dallas Mavericks scoring 122 points
04:11But just didn't like it like you're supposed to have that and I understand this by saying the preface is always
04:16The Celtics are going to win this year as I get it
04:18But you just wanted to see that like, you know
04:20I'm gonna step on your neck right here in this game right off the bat to not even give you any light because if that
04:25First quarter was 34 to 21 Boston. I'm not so sure we got that much fight out of Dallas
04:30Like why we've been trying at this point
04:31They obviously have our number but that wasn't the case and if you just leave that door open and you say to yourself
04:37Yeah, a team that's down. Oh three. Let's just get one and see where it goes. Now you go to Boston
04:42There is absolutely no pressure on the Dallas Mavericks all the pressure
04:45We want to get on the Boston Celtics to close them out because if you do allow the Dallas Mavericks to win in
04:51Boston that means you are setting yourself up no doubt about a pen for a game number seven in the game seven
04:57Anything can happen at this point now
04:59We're getting way ahead of ourselves because I do think right Boston Celtics will win the game because quite frankly
05:03They're what a favorite six and a half seven points right now on the fans of sports, right?
05:07They're supposed to do that. But the way they got beat down here
05:10Maybe it sends some ramifications or as I like to say you take a look at Joe Mazzullo
05:14He goes, you know what guys we had fun first three games
05:16We won lost that game number four got a little Cavalier out there in the court. Let's reign this back in
05:21Let's hit the film room. Let's get after it. Let's clinch this bad boy in Boston on Monday
05:25We'll see if that happens, but you can't take anything away from the Mavericks. You love the fight of a champion here
05:29You could have very easily said we're not going back to Boston. Why even waste our time? It's over at this point
05:33They fought hard and got a big victory. Let's see if they can make it two in a row now
05:38so I think it's very natural look at the outcome of game number four in a
05:4338-point difference in say to ourselves. Is there any carryover?
05:48Is there any hangover because of how bad the blowout was in favor of the Mavericks if Dallas eked out there for?
05:55Victory 104 101 and they tightly contested game. We'd say okay the Mavericks were an NBA championship-caliber team
06:02But Boston is going to win this easily in game five. Is that the natural assumption for tonight?
06:08We will preview tonight's fifth game inside TD Gordon in just a moment because now we look at the series
06:15outright minus
06:173,500 still the number in favor of the C's but they were minus 8,000 entering game 4
06:22We said it repeatedly on Friday. Here we go again on Monday. This is the
06:28157th all-time NBA postseason series in a best-of-seven where a team has held a 3-0 series lead in the previous
06:37156 including both of the conference finals that we saw in that round the team that was up 3-0 has won all
06:45156 series only 12 times an NBA playoff history in this scenario has a team even won
06:52Two straight games to force a game six. That is what the Mavericks are trying to accomplish tonight
06:59Yeah, and it's gonna be hard to do because again
07:01We don't even have a premise of saying like oh look at this three out of last four years
07:05We had a team come back from Oh three
07:07It's never happened in the NBA and also the reason that you get down
07:09Oh three is probably because you're not as good as basketball team as the other team and also when you go back to
07:14Your childhood days anybody play baseball, you know grade school second third grade. You're down eight runs by the third inning
07:20What did your coach used to tell you? Hey guys, they got eight we can get eight just as easily
07:24No, you know
07:24That's not really the case because the reason they got eight is because you're a bad baseball team at this point here
07:29So some of that foundation has to be on the Mavericks where it's like let's go out tonight
07:32But also let's put this key ingredient
07:34We're gonna talk about player props a little bit later in the show the nice nice Kyrie Irving that showed up in games one in
07:40Then didn't work out in his favor now, you sort of got that fire lit under my games three and four was being assertive
07:46Let's see if nice Kyrie turns in the mean Kyrie in Boston tonight. That's something I want to watch here
07:51But certainly buying it on Dallas 14 to 1 don't love that obviously minus
07:553,500 of Boston don't necessarily love that and even if you're saying let's just get it to six games, you know go back in Dallas
08:01It's still a minus 270 hurdle. You got to get through in game number five just to get to game number six
08:06So it's tough betting in that respect
08:09Donnie I think you made this point last week and I think it was incredibly sound if there was any hope for Dallas to win
08:15A game in game number four the number to bet was a plus 180 price on the Celtics in five
08:21Because the Celtics were going to be at least a six six and a half point favorite for game number five
08:27And that's where the odds are right now Boston to win this series in five games
08:32Minus 270 a little bit of change in the money line
08:35So it's minus 260 for the specific game five odds for tonight, but that's where it is again
08:42I think our most interesting conversation is NBA Finals MVP
08:47Tatum scored 15 on Friday Brown only 10 and yet Jalen Brown still greater than a $2 favorite to win Finals MVP
08:55There's your number once more on Jason Tatum ahead of tonight
08:59Yeah, I'm telling you you got to take you out to one of the Jason and when the MVP on Friday got a hammer
09:03But if they win, I expect a big performance out of Jason Tatum. I like the plus one. I just do
09:09And now it's a crowning achievement inside TD Garden in Boston
09:14We'll look at game number five tonight of the 2024 NBA Finals up next
09:29You
09:42Panthers minus two and a half games plus 330
09:48Panthers two plus goals in every game plus 225
09:53It's gonna take a monumental effort for them not to get two goals in the game
09:57It's gonna take what Bob Ross. He did last night. It's gonna take Skinner to do in Edmonton
10:03They're not gonna do it in Florida
10:05game-time decisions
10:07only on sports grid
10:12Eight playoff games at home for Boston eight being down
10:16They are six and two straight up the wild card. I would say in this game. It's not necessarily
10:21Well, what are we gonna get in a look at Dutch? It's Kyrie Irving, you know Brown and certainly Tatum
10:25It is Christophe Sporzingis to me because we're not getting back the player. That's like a rotational guy
10:31I want Derrick live. He went down with the injury. He was playing well, but a young player like a piece the early line
10:37only on sports grid
10:43The gut says Miami is going to win and you should take the over
10:47You're gonna also said the NFC selfies would only go up in value
10:52They didn't
10:53But your head is on sports grid and knows the QB is in concussion protocol the backup has a 45 QB
11:00I just assume coverage and you know T has the most sacks in the league
11:05So yeah, trust your head. It's smarter to be on sports
11:12Derek Cole is getting ready to come back to I guess this
11:16Look, they've played great without him, but you're not gonna say to Garrett Cole. Look don't come back
11:21Ridiculous conversation to have they're not gonna take any unnecessary chances and look they're at the point where
11:27They have a lead. They certainly are gonna make the playoffs. I would say barring some sort of complete collapse and that's all it takes
11:35newswire
11:37only on sports grid
11:51You
11:59Game number five tonight inside TD Garden between the Boston Celtics and the Dallas Mavericks the C's
12:06back home in Beantown
12:08Just needing one more win for championship number 18 the most ever in the history of the National Basketball
12:15Association and they can do it in front of the home crowd tonight in
12:20Boston the Mavericks trying to accomplish something. We've only ever seen 12 times out of
12:27156 that's
12:28156 times a team has been up 3-0 in a best-of-seven series and a team like Dallas is trying to do
12:35Has won two straight games the force a game six is the NBA season over tonight
12:41Will an NBA champion be crowned in Boston the home team the Celtics or will Dallas?
12:47Send us back to the Lone Star State later this week
12:51It's a six and a half point spread the updated numbers on the fan duel sports book and for the first time DRS in this
12:58series a total that is sub
13:01210 209 in a hook because all four of the games so far have stayed under
13:07Yeah, and I'm looking at that under 209 and a half price once again how I liked it on Friday
13:11But again, if you would have told me 122 points by the Dallas Mavericks
13:14That man next thing went way over and it didn't because of the blowout nature of that atmosphere and blowouts usually kill everything
13:20Props point structures all that stuff. But if we are taking a look at the game in the garden tonight
13:24Yes
13:25We probably aren't going back to Dallas why the odds makers are telling us that minus six and a half for the money line here
13:30For Boston at a minus 260 price
13:32But if we get inside the numbers at the fan those sports book man, take a look at this spread percentage here
13:3851% on Boston we basically got 50 50 betting action this with slightly more money coming in on Boston at
13:4563% that's very interesting because the one thing we do know is the Dallas Mavericks should be able to hang around
13:50But the question is going to be how much of what we saw in game number four is going to translate here into game number
13:56Five which means that the Boston Celtics didn't play. Well was their head actually in it?
14:00it's tough to question that because
14:02Anytime the championship trophies in the building for you to win and you come up lame like 40 points lame
14:07That's kind of rough here. It's almost as if was like hey, you know be really cool
14:11Once again, if we won this at home
14:12So I'm trying to take a look at that six and a half and say to myself
14:15Is there a legitimate chance that you think the Dallas Mavericks can win this basketball game? Because what's the anticipation?
14:21Yes, Kyrie's gonna have to go nuts. Yes
14:23Luca Donch is gonna have to go nuts
14:24But at the same time Boston can they have a meltdown on their home court with all the pressure on them?
14:29Once again, I don't think that's going to happen
14:31But I gotta tell you right now if you say Donnie, which would you like to bet more the side or the total in this game?
14:37it's probably the total for me and
14:39Which way would you go under because it is yet another series clincher and elimination game?
14:45Because I would agree with you Donnie the conversation for the Mavs
14:49Entering game four could they get to a hundred they had not reached the century mark so far in the first three games of this
14:56NBA championship series
14:58They scored the most points a team has scored in any of the four games of the 2024 NBA Finals
15:04The first time anybody has gotten to a hundred and ten or over
15:08122 is what Dallas scored on Friday now
15:12It is interesting from the handicapping perspective when you reach a 38 point blowout in blowout theory
15:19How does it go for the spread?
15:21Well, it was just a one-point spread in favor of Boston very close on the money line
15:25The Mavs went outright as an underdog or that total that was 210 and a hook
15:29It does stay under all four games have stayed under all four previous totals north of 210
15:36I've said this a few times that was game number 13
15:40Throughout this postseason run for the Mavericks that has seen a total at higher than 210
15:4511 of 13 under listen, it's only by the hook, but it is 209 and a half tonight now
15:52Let's talk about the individuals. We showed you the odds
15:55Jalen Brown still a hefty favorite to win NBA Finals MVP at minus
16:00230 despite Tatum outscoring Brown in each of the two games that we saw in Dallas does game for really mean anything
16:07No, not so much. But Jason Tatum still three points higher in his points prop tonight
16:1327 and a hook 24 and a half for Jalen Brown Brown minus 230 to win NBA Finals MVP
16:20Jason Tatum plus 200 to an NBA Finals MVP. I still think that's your best bet for Boston tonight. I
16:27Don't know. I still can't wrap my head around what's actually taking place in the awards market
16:32Like why is it that far off? Like why isn't it close 100 a piece at this point because they're both not playing
16:39Exceptionally great basketball
16:40but they're both in the same realm points rebounds and assists with each other to have somebody at a minus 230 price when you know and
16:46Also, it probably should be Tatum at that minus 230 price because when you look towards the Celtics and forget about just the series itself
16:53The length of how long Tatum and Brown have been in that lineup together
16:57Usually the alpha dog is Jason Tatum and then you see Jalen Brown pick up the scraps
17:01So when I'm disparaging him by any means pick up the scraps mean like yeah, I can go for 27 tonight at any given point
17:07But we do know this team starts and ends typically with Jason Tatum not Jalen Brown
17:12So also if you had the first four games, like well, what do you want? Like Brown's averaging?
17:1737 and 7 every single game. Yes. He should be a minus 230 favorite, but he's not doing that
17:22So I still can't wrap my head around this structure and also what changed from game four to game number five
17:28Which lessen those odds between the two because they were both bad in there
17:31You just say oh, I'm just gonna bring him down a little bit lower
17:33Shouldn't the odds are going even higher up for Jalen Brown at that point. I don't get it
17:37I just don't 15 points for Jason Tatum only 10 for Jalen Brown
17:41Yeah, I mean game 4 has no semblance on this series
17:45We have said this before game 1 MVP Kristaps Porzingis
17:50I understand Jalen Brown was Boston's leading scorer by a bucket, but it was still game KP game 2
17:57It was true holiday game 3 Tatum scored 31 Jalen Brown had a better plus minus 38 and 8
18:05Maybe you give him the edge
18:06But it's a toss-up game for the Celtics MVP was the guy driving the plane back to Boston
18:13I mean, it just makes no sense what the odds are right now on the other side
18:19We know the story for Dallas
18:21Their duo has to be supremely better if they are going to force a game six in stave off elimination
18:28again
18:2932 and a half the number for Luka Donchik and nice guy Kyrie Irving
18:34Needs to tear off the mask and put on the old one bring the sage back
18:3923 and a half his points prop for game 5 tonight in Boston. Hmm. Yeah, you know what?
18:44It's always the question
18:46I like to ask and we'll get coach on a little bit later like which guy would you rather trust the Kyrie Irving?
18:5023 and a half for the Luka Donchik 32 and a half and I always look at the true
18:54Superstars saying you know what if we're going to lose it's cuz I stunk 10 of 30 from the floor
18:59I just couldn't get my 32 and a half points for Luka Donchik
19:01I would be interested to see how would you what's his usage rate actually looks tonight?
19:05But for me, give me Luka, you know, he needs 33 on the road. I'll probably still go that route
19:10Or D all of the above both guys need to be over if Boston is not going to win an NBA championship
19:18Tonight we weren't sure we were going to have this final half hour of our number two on this Monday
19:24Will we have the coach James Young JY on to look back on an NBA season and crown an NBA champ?
19:31We certainly were not sure we'd be able to preview another game in the 2024 NBA Finals
19:38But after Dallas wins by 38 in game 4 on Friday, we're not done yet
19:44JY thank you for being here on this Monday morning on the early line on sports grid
19:50Listen, just like Ben Taylor and Scott Foster
19:54Jy the extenders said we'll be back on Monday and we're here today. Good morning guys
20:01Good morning to you. J. Why I hope the Father's Day was fantastic and we are glad to have you here on this Monday
20:08So before we preview game number five, let's look back on game number 4
20:13122 84 the Mavericks win their first game of the 2024 NBA Finals
20:18Becoming the first team in this series to score more than 110. They scored
20:24122 j-y maybe Dallas was going to win game 4 and stave off elimination and keep this series alive
20:30It was just a one-point spread in favor of the Celtics eight cents of difference only in the money line minus 112 for Boston
20:38Minus 104 for Dallas and what we expected to be a competitive game. We did not expect nearly a 40 point margin
20:46What was the reason for such a blowout in game number four?
20:51Let's be honest a couple of things number one for Zingas not being there
20:55I just think it's just I don't think people understand the impact that he has
20:59Offensively and defensively we talked about it on Friday with the fact of no KP
21:04You have driving lanes and now you have your are
21:07Boston you have to pick how you guard a guy like look at Dodgers and Kyrie Irving the crazy thing about the 40-point win is
21:14Those two combined as you want a 14 from the floor
21:16So they still haven't really like gone off gone off yet in this series
21:22But I think the other thing is this man, we talked about it plus 20 some odd points every game
21:29Boston was winning at the three-point line the ultimate equalizer in the NBA
21:34We finally got Dallas to be even if not a plus three at the three-point line and they with a lot of the also when
21:40They dominate inside the three-point shot can't be offset by it
21:45So I thought the three-point line three-point line shooting was huge also getting Luke and Kyrie
21:51We always talk about this always say this this first side second side of the floor action where you can't load up
21:58I know you shoot the ball well from three
22:00But those two given you 22 points in the first quarter Ben
22:04They jumped on their backs early and let's be honest about midway through the third quarter
22:08Joe Mazula just punted and said I'll see you Monday night
22:13It was almost like his starting lineup punted that game before it even began because I was a runaway effort right away from the Mavericks here
22:19Which would be interesting to see that tone set in quarter number one tonight that we check out
22:24But let's take a look here overall in the series betting prices here because Boston still a heavy favorite for his coach minus
22:303,500 if you're looking to take Dallas, that's a 14 to 1 price as an underdog just looking to extend that series
22:36Are there any now granted it's easy to say well, yeah
22:38Let's just take Dallas at minus
22:393,500 the question more likely is going to be are you digging into that price of 14 to 1 with Dallas or is that just
22:46fool's gold right now
22:48That's fool's gold. I mean the best way to do it done
22:51If you want to play a game by game just take Dallas on the money line tonight
22:55Rolling into game six and they're rolling the game seven. I wouldn't be touching
22:59I think it's a sucker's bet. You know, if you want to go out and take Boston minus the 3,500 sure
23:04I mean, they're gonna win the series
23:05But why locking your money with all that you might as well play some props or play things a different way
23:10Maybe take Boston minus the points tonight or just on a money line tonight or overall
23:15So I don't like the whole thing of trying to just try and hit the home run a little baseball reference
23:21What
23:22Trying to hit the home run with the 14 to 1 just hit a couple of singles and make your money that way
23:28Pretty common expression to hit a home run but still applaud you for doing so here Boston in
23:33Five games in terms of the series odds is minus 270. It will be updated minus 260
23:40That's the current money line
23:41Entering game number five between the Celtics and the Mavericks tonight and we'll dive deeper inside
23:47TD Garden tonight for this fifth game of the 2024 NBA Finals
23:51But my question Jay why more about the series outlook over all again game for Dallas a slight
23:58Very slight home underdog the Mavericks had a chance to win a game and they did
24:04I don't think anybody expected it be by nearly 40 points that 38 point margin in
24:10The way the game for ended with the outcome being decided by 38 points
24:15Is there any carryover from that entering game five tonight?
24:21For Dallas just confidence that you played well, I don't want even look at the fact that we're up by 38
24:28I would just look at the fact one more three. I would just say we won wire to wire, right?
24:31We were the better team for the entirety of the game even in the first half when Joe Mosula didn't put to me
24:37That's where you look at if you're Boston, it's it's the flushing game
24:42They came out they played. Well, we didn't really adjust
24:45We didn't really throw our cards out there and we were rolling back home
24:49So to me, there's more for Dallas to take out of it, but they can't think of it as oh, we want my 38
24:55We're gonna roll in the Boston and we're big. It's more like what we finally, you know defended better
25:01Regarded the three-point line better
25:02We continue to get Derek lively involved and active and there is a pathway to win game five if we rinse and repeat
25:10Now there's no way in hell if Dallas wins. It's gonna be a 38-point game
25:16I would be I would be floored if Dallas won by more than 10 points if they won tonight
25:22I think it's gonna be a close game
25:23So to me you could flush it if you're Joe Mosula
25:26But you take the positives bed of what happened if you're in Dallas and Jason kid and try and say hey
25:31There's a carryover effect for that into game number five tonight
25:36Let me ask you this question coach as we take a look at game number five
25:39And this is this the final game of the NBA Finals
25:42Usually when your best player gets to the free throw line in your home arena, what do they chant MVP?
25:48MVP now the question is going to be which chant and which actual cash structure is that gonna float on Jalen Browns a modest
25:55$230 Tatum's plus 220 coach. I don't understand where these numbers are coming from by a long shot right now
26:02Why is Jalen Browns to a heavy favorite over Jason Tatum to win this award?
26:08And it's amazing. But if you look at it Donnie, it's been going down. I think it was minus 270 earlier in the weekend
26:13Yeah, so it is coming back just people realize we jump going to simply put the only reason why is because
26:19Jalen Brown is shooting the ball better from the floor than Jason Tatum assist
26:24Tatum rebounds Tatum, right? It's awesome. Jalen Brown is shooting the ball better. I think
26:31Don't think if they wouldn't I think Jason Tatum's gonna have a big night whether they win or lose tonight
26:35I expect him to be really great. He was tough the first two games of series. He's been much better
26:40I know he didn't play the minutes of game four. I expect a big game out of Jason Tatum
26:44I like him to be MVP of plus 220 because the figure this he's gonna probably get a double-double like let's call what it is
26:52It's can he get seven eight assists tonight as well if they win and he's gonna score the points
26:58I can see a little bit of regression in Jalen Brown
27:00Hey at the end of the day, this is the chosen one Jason Tatum for so many years so many times
27:06He's come up small in these moments
27:07This could be the night that he stamped himself if they win with a huge game number five
27:13And it is the narrative and storyline component of it all because Boston was blown out in game number four
27:20The silver lining the redeeming quality was going back to TD Gordon trying to win the NBA Finals for championship number 18
27:27in front of the bean town faithful and maybe
27:31Because this core will have its success only to find in the hut for a Larry O'Brien
27:37trophy the crowning achievement being inside TD Gordon in Boston that can propel the legend of
27:45Jason Tatum plus 220 his number to win the NBA Finals MVP
27:50minus 230 for
27:52Jalen Brown third best price
27:54It's the same exact number for Luka Doncic at 14 to 1 as it is for the Dallas Mavericks as a team
28:01to win an NBA championship at 14 to 1 as
28:05Well, those are the stakes
28:08Entering game number five tonight Boston one went away from championship number 18 the most ever in the history of the
28:16Association the Mavericks trying to win two straight games in force a game six, which is not often happened in the
28:24156 previous times an NBA playoff history a team has held a 3-0 series lead in a best-of-seven
28:31Jy breaks down game number five tonight inside TV
28:36Maybe those what mics were hot and you just heard Donnie right side scream out
28:43Like Kevin Garnett did the last time the Boston Celtics won an NBA championship back in
28:502008 so what is possible tonight Boston with a victory wins championship number 18
28:56It's first in over 15 years
28:58But it's 18th all time the most ever in the history of the NBA or maybe it's possible
29:05The Dallas Mavericks win two straight games in force a game number six in the 2024 NBA Finals
29:12JY
29:13Boston back in being down a six and a half point favorite with the total working its way down
29:19for the first time this series under 210 to 209 and
29:24Uh-huh. Let's approach this from Boston's perspective first
29:27Then we'll get to the mass if you are the Celtics who just got routed by 38 on Friday night
29:34What's the number one thing the C's have to change? I?
29:38Just shoot the ball better. Let's be honest. It was the worst shooting performance of the series
29:43They didn't shoot I think 36 or so percent
29:45So to me, it's just that I just think whether the storm because if I'm Jason kid
29:50I'm coming out guns blazing which we'll get into what I mean with that with Kyrie and Luca
29:55But I'm looking at we if you remember on Friday, we talked about this. I was so big in first quarter points
30:01I think we took Tatum we talked about Luca and we talked Kyrie all three of them to go over to points prop right now
30:08Jason Tatum's points prop in the first quarters at seven and a half at plus 106 on fans
30:13Oh, I think you got to get this guy going early because of his ability to not only score guys
30:18But also to facilitate he's become not just a secondary ball handler, but the primary distributor
30:25So if you put the ball in Jason Tatum's hands and let him create get to the basket and score
30:29You also could serve Jason Tatum to pass the ball out to other people
30:33Squirrelly looking at him right now Jason Tatum over seven half points in the first quarter tonight. He should be coming up firing
30:41Taking a look at some of those other Celtics prop bets here the points for the game
30:45You got Jason Tatum 27 and a half to take a look at Jalen Brown 24 and a half Derek White at 15 and a half
30:50We understand the point of premise here is like, you know what home court? Let's keep the crowd into it
30:54Let's win this first quarter by five to seven points. That should help go a long way
30:58But are we looking at again those MVP markets, which we pointed out the favorite there obviously is Brown
31:03Are you saying tonight that it's more of a Tatum night for you or more of a Brown night for you when it's all said and
31:09done I
31:10Think it's a Tatum night. I really think this is a Jason Tatum night, and this is where
31:16Legacies are born right and every time this guy stepped up in a big spot
31:20There's been he has not I wanted to come through but he's come up a little bit small. Let's be honest here
31:26So I do like a big game out of out of Jason Tatum tonight
31:31And that's why I like him to hit the double-double market and obviously if you wanna go PRA
31:36I think they're gonna put the ball in his hands because he's showing the guys that if you do take him away
31:41He's more than willing to kind of get other guys involved
31:45So I think that becomes really important another sneaky thing to look at is Derek Lively's now minus
31:50360 to lead the series in total rebounds Tatum is down by six
31:55If I think
31:56Porzingis plays, which we don't but it's just to put it out there
32:00Tatum at six to one could be worthy of lively gets in a foul trouble
32:04You're gonna get at least ten rebounds out of Jason Tatum tonight
32:07Maybe you get twelve that's a sneaky good bet at Jason Tatum at six to one to lead the series in total rebounds
32:15Certainly worth a sprinkle to feel at this point of the NBA finals that there's plus money options on Jason Tatum
32:21And what might be the final game of these finals is a very interesting component
32:26Just compare the props as you look at the NBA finals MVP odds
32:30Jason Tatum has a higher points prop
32:32Rebounding prop assist prop and three-point prop then Jalen Brown and yet is the underdog to win the NBA finals MVP award
32:40That makes zero sense to me. So that's the Boston component of this all JY now to the Dallas perspective
32:46We asked you how does Dallas carry over the success of winning by nearly 40 in Game 4 2 tonight?
32:53Will it be another blowout more than likely?
32:55No
32:56But you take the positives and what you did well to win your first game
33:00Into Boston tonight where it has not been great for the Mavs. They got blown out by nearly 20 in game one
33:07They lost in game number two as well
33:10What's the main thing Dallas has to change from the opening two games in Beantown to game number five tonight inside TD Garden
33:20Kyrie's it's gotta be
33:22What he's been in Boston. I mean the guys Owen 12 since he stopped the the leprechaun at half-court
33:28Hopefully should probably should burn some sage around a leprechaun and do kumbaya and whatever kind of peace offering
33:34He needs because that leprechaun is all up in his head where he's in Boston, but interesting enough
33:39It was four and a half first quarter points in game three
33:42Smashed it. They moved it up to put the five and a half plus money smashed it
33:46now it's back down to over four and a half points and minus 138 simply put if
33:53Dallas is going to win or let's be honest man. Stay competitive
33:58Kyrie Irving must come out aggressive looking for his shot over four and a half points at minus
34:05138 I would go run to that. That's five points. It's a three and a two
34:09You can get that pretty easily along with look at Dodgers
34:12If you look at the fact that his is that over nine and a half at minus 132
34:16So those two are basically saying 13 14 points
34:19Well, they gave you 22 in game number four and they're gonna take the bulk of the shots
34:24but also folks the first quarter is a good time to get props early in and out of the way because of the fact that
34:31Substitution patterns should be normal meaning Luka and Kyrie should play anywhere between 10 to all 12 minutes of the first
34:39Quarter, especially that game is close. I like them both to go over their points prop tonight
34:44How about the NBA final series correct score odds here?
34:47obviously four to one that will be a Celtics win at a minus 270 price 42 also would be a Celtics win at a plus
34:53550 price four to three for the Celtics is seven to one four to three for the Mavericks is
34:5814 to 1 in your estimation is the series done tonight or is there be some money to be made if we can get to
35:05a 6 or a 7 coach
35:08Donnie
35:09This may be my only crazy wild thing today. I'm sticking to it
35:14Dallas wins tonight. This is going six. I
35:17Just I just think maybe the juju beans the Kyrie Irving. There's something in there in the air
35:24I don't I don't know what I'm smelling but it must smell good because I smell Dallas and upset tonight
35:30And we're gonna come back
35:32Maybe it's because I want to come back and do a couple of more shows with you guys before the NBA draft to talk to
35:36me fun
35:38Listen, we need a guy to break down the NBA draft
35:40We need your take on the WNBA as well that we'll get to in just a moment
35:45Dallas entering this series was six and one straight up and against the spread as a dog throughout the playoffs
35:53They have not covered as an underdog just yet
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