Simak! Rekomendasi Saham Jelang Libur Long Weekend
"Saksikan tayangan kami Official Youtube IDX Channel di Program Power Breakfast, Rabu (22/05/2024) dengan Tema Simak! Rekomendasi Saham Jelang Libur Long Weekend".
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00:00 And now we will see the economy agenda of Indonesia today in Asia, where Singapore is on a holiday.
00:07 In Malaysia and Thailand, there is also data on the decision of the Indonesian Bank's flower region.
00:11 Today from the Bank of Indonesia, there is data on Indonesia's credit in April.
00:16 And the price index of the producer, the South Korean company, and the main engine manufacturer,
00:20 Seraman Orman in March, and there is also data on Japan's trade in April.
00:25 And from the United States, there is data on the raw oil inventory in the United States.
00:30 Then from Europe, there is data on the ECB's governor, Christine Lagarde.
00:34 And also from England, there is data on the UK's IHK.
00:37 The agenda of today's meeting is the USKT, GIIA, ARTO, ECAT, and also JECC.
00:43 This will hold the RUPS. Meanwhile, the TOTL, INTP will hold the cash dividend.
00:49 And the UNTR will pay the cash dividend. The MKTR as well.
00:53 And the ALI will also pay the cash dividend.
00:56 Meanwhile, PTBA will pay the cash dividend.
00:58 JSMR will pay the cash dividend.
01:01 And also the TPIA will pay the cash dividend.
01:05 And HEAL will pay the cash dividend.
01:08 The opening of the Asian major exchanges this morning, as you can see on the television screen.
01:18 The opening of the Asian major exchanges this morning, as you can see on the television screen.
01:43 The opening of the Asian major exchanges this morning, as you can see on the television screen.
01:50 And now we are in contact through video conference.
01:53 There is Mr. Emil Fajrowski, stock analysis now.
01:55 Good morning, Mr. Emil.
01:57 Good morning, Mr. Udi.
01:59 Thank you for joining us on MarketBus.
02:01 I hope we can chat with you, Mr. Emil.
02:03 Yes.
02:04 Okay, Mr. Emil, after a long weekend, what is the possibility of the ISG movement today?
02:09 Is there a chance that the ISG will take the momentum to make profit taking?
02:16 Or what?
02:18 Okay, Mr. Udi.
02:19 If we refer to the historical of the ISG movement yesterday,
02:23 the ISG had a two-day break.
02:28 Where if we look at May, there are many holidays.
02:33 I estimate that many investors are taking profit.
02:41 We have a long weekend, from Monday to Friday.
02:45 So, many investors are taking profit.
02:50 So, for today, how is the projection?
02:52 I also estimate that the ISG will continue to weaken again.
02:58 Okay, so it means that the weakness has been described for several days,
03:03 and today there will be another weakness.
03:06 Correct, sir.
03:07 Okay, if we look at some things that seem to be a concern from investors related to the global stock market movement,
03:16 America to be exact, there is Nasdaq and S&P that have recorded a record.
03:20 Yesterday, Wall Street also recorded a record.
03:24 What do you think about this?
03:28 And what is the implication for the domestic stock market?
03:32 Yes, how do we see Wall Street yesterday?
03:36 Wall Street, where the day before yesterday was closed, the price went up.
03:40 This is actually, and Nasdaq also reached the highest record.
03:44 Where this is also one of the motivations, sentiment,
03:48 with those who come from investors who evaluate the Federal Reserve Office as a guide,
03:55 regarding the time of flowering.
03:57 Actually, this is also one of the implications for the sector in the Indonesian stock market.
04:05 I estimate that this is also one of the positive sentiments,
04:10 but on the other hand, there are also some investors who evaluate this as uncertain,
04:16 especially regarding the flowering of the flowering season.
04:19 On the other hand, some people evaluate this as good news,
04:23 some also evaluate this as a hawkish.
04:25 So, if we look at the IASG, it is still secondary,
04:32 I mean, from the long-term trend, the IASG is still moving sideways.
04:38 Because this year, investors are very careful about the announcement of the Fed
04:48 regarding the flowering of the flowering season in 2024.
04:51 Okay, with the views you just mentioned,
04:55 what kind of business strategy can be done today?
04:59 We'll keep it short, or we'll wait and see first if it's going to go in.
05:04 And for some stocks that seem to have overbought,
05:07 is it time to realize the profits or what?
05:10 Yes, if from now on, maybe those who already have a stock,
05:14 it's better to start taking profits.
05:17 But if we, if it's from me, I don't have a stock yet,
05:23 I bought a stock a few days ago.
05:25 For me, the trading strategy is we wait for momentum, actually, Mr. Vicky.
05:31 We'll see how it moves first.
05:34 Because the tendency now, when the IASG goes down,
05:36 two days down, the majority, we're talking about the majority,
05:39 the tendency is that many stocks go down too.
05:41 Automatically, this actually becomes one of our momentum.
05:44 Our momentum to buy on weakness or buy on support actually.
05:47 So, the strategy that is suitable to beat the market conditions like now,
05:51 whether we talk technically or mentally,
05:54 is that we take advantage of momentum and buy at the support price or at the lowest price.
06:00 Okay, take advantage of momentum, especially for Samsung, which is discounted a lot,
06:05 especially Samsung Banking, which is fundamentally good,
06:08 can be used to enter, but for Samsung, which seems to be quite okay,
06:13 the gap is small, so please realize the profits.
06:16 Because I refuse, you said earlier that the IASG movement today will tend to weaken.
06:23 Okay, about the consensus related to the reference balance
06:27 that will be released by Bank Indonesia today,
06:30 what are the expectations after a few times ago it was raised, Emil?
06:35 Okay, actually I, the expectations,
06:39 the expectations are actually the same as other investors.
06:43 If we look at it, the investors are also waiting for the results of the meeting of the Indonesian Banking Governor's Council,
06:50 where it is still estimated that the BI rate is 6.25%.
06:56 The BI rate is expected to give a new direction to the capital market,
07:03 because the BI rate affects a lot, including one of the company's capital and the decision of the investor's investment.
07:11 Because when the BI rate rises or falls, the most influential is in the finance sector.
07:17 The finance sector has a big role, a big composition in IASG, right?
07:24 As we see, the decline of IASG in the past two days
07:29 is due to the decline in the banking sector that is experiencing a capital outflow.
07:34 So when the BI rate rises or falls again, it is in the finance sector that holds the key, in my opinion.
07:40 Okay, how about the movement from the property sector?
07:43 A few times ago, Bank Indonesia raised the BI rate by only 25 basis points,
07:48 which also affects the finance sector.
07:50 Maybe this can be considered from Bank Indonesia itself,
07:55 to look like what you projected, the expectation is still maintained at 6.25%.
08:01 That's right.
08:02 Okay, what do you think about the property sector?
08:04 Yesterday, the movement was certainly raised by Bank Indonesia for the BI rate.
08:09 Okay, for the property sector, it actually affects,
08:14 but the composition is not as big as the finance sector.
08:20 If we look at the property sector, it also experiences depreciation,
08:24 there is depreciation for this flower tribe,
08:26 but the composition or the level of significant impact is not as big as the finance sector.
08:32 Okay, is there an appetite or maybe there is a desire from the community itself
08:36 or the market players to be able to enter the MA10, MA10, which will divide the dividend?
08:42 But the season is over, after the dividend division is over,
08:47 what will be the movement for the shares that shared the dividend yesterday?
08:53 And what is the recommendation for those shares, Mr. Emil?
08:57 Okay, for the shares that have shared the dividend, Mr. Yuki,
09:01 yesterday there were about 9, 9 shares that were exited,
09:08 there was PTBA, there was Antam, JCML.
09:12 I see that for these shares, the majority is depreciated,
09:18 but there is still a potential for a rebound.
09:23 Why? Because yesterday they were even depreciated, even gave down.
09:28 Like PTBA, which experienced a 12.2% decline,
09:31 there was Antam, which experienced a 5.4% decline,
09:34 but there is still a potential for a rebound.
09:36 Why? Because their depreciation is still below the dividend yield.
09:42 So, if a share gives a dividend and experiences a decrease below the dividend yield,
09:48 then there is a potential for a rebound.
09:50 For example, PTBA, the PTBA yield is 15.4%, the decline is 12.2%,
09:55 which means it is still below the dividend yield.
09:58 Antam, Antam yield is 8%, the decline yesterday was only 5%.
10:03 So, it's still below the dividend yield that was given,
10:08 so there is still a potential for the shares to rebound.
10:13 Okay, this momentum can be used to enter with an interesting price.
10:18 We will continue after the next segment,
10:20 Mr. Emil and Mr. Firsat will be with us, we will be right back.
10:23 Thank you for joining us, Mr. Firsat and I are still talking with Mr. Emil Fajrizki,
10:29 the analyst of StockNow. We will discuss some of the options today.
10:34 From StockNow, from Mr. Emil, there is Unilever with support at IDR 2,910 and resistance at IDR 3,290,
10:42 then there is SRTG with support at IDR 1,555, resistance at IDR 1,645,
10:49 then there is LPPF with support at IDR 1,640 and resistance at IDR 1,755,
10:56 then there is BRPT and recommendation buy, which was previously in the C1 trade,
11:01 it was in the top gainer, at level 1,255 for support and resistance at 1,410,
11:10 the recommendation is buy.
11:12 We go to Unilever first, Mr. Emil, what is your analysis for Unilever?
11:17 Okay, Mr. Fiji, actually if we look at our recommendations from StockNow.ID,
11:23 we see a lot of comparison with ISC, because we know that ISC has experienced weakness
11:30 and we are looking for stocks that are not affected by the decrease in ISC,
11:36 one of them is Unilever, where Unilever yesterday strengthened by 7.7%
11:41 if we talk about it technically, it formed a Marubozu candle,
11:47 and if we look at it from another view, if we look at it from the accumulation of foreign,
11:56 we see that from StockNow.ID, from April 25, 2024, ISC was monitored to collect from Unilever,
12:06 so this is one of our considerations from StockNow.ID for Unilever's recommendation,
12:10 plus now it has been confirmed that the candle stick has experienced a strengthening
12:17 and it means that the candle stick is very powerful, so that's why we recommend Unilever stocks.
12:23 Okay, compared to, okay, in one month it has strengthened 22.69%,
12:30 the evaluation for Unilever itself is still interesting to be able to enter,
12:34 and in terms of target price, in your opinion, how far can Unilever reach?
12:40 Okay, for Unilever itself, in terms of valuation, for the past 3 years,
12:50 if we draw the valuation using the PIB valuation,
12:54 Unilever is still undervalued, or the price is cheap.
12:58 How? For the target price, if we talk fundamentally,
13:03 earlier we were technical, our recommendation is swing trade,
13:07 but if we discuss it fundamentally, it means for the medium-term, even long-term,
13:14 Unilever is still undervalued, if the target here is at the level of 5,800,
13:23 if we look at it fundamentally, because the price of Unilever 5 is already very undervalued,
13:30 not undervalued, but very undervalued.
13:32 Okay, it means it's already quite cheap and considering the target price can reach the level of 5,000,
13:37 as you said earlier, right?
13:38 Correct.
13:39 Okay, what makes Asing so interested in Unilever, so it does a net buy on Unilever?
13:47 Fundamentally, very good, or in an interesting valuation?
13:52 Okay, because if we look at it, it seems that Asing's investor sees potential,
13:59 potential in Unilever, because if we look at it from a movement,
14:06 we have discussed it earlier, the price is already undervalued,
14:09 and also for Unilever, it used to reach a fairly high price,
14:15 now it has been given a very cheap price, in my opinion, at the price of 2,000,
14:20 it's already very cheap, maybe it's one of the foreign investors' considerations
14:24 to re-collect shares from Unilever.
14:28 Okay, from Unilever we go to Saratoga, which you also recommended this morning,
14:33 Invest Amasedaya TBK, the last level is at level 1,565,
14:38 actually the support level you see is at level 1,555,
14:43 it means this is quite close to the level of support you recommended.
14:49 What is the analysis for SRTG like?
14:52 Okay, for Saratoga, it's the same as Unilever,
14:56 we saw yesterday that it was strong, it was strong when ISK was falling,
15:00 indeed, the strength is not like Unilever, it was up to 7%, only 1.9%,
15:05 but we see here from the movement,
15:09 we here, the recommendation from the stock is called swing trade,
15:12 so we do it in a thin way,
15:14 see from the market condition that is still a bit fluctuating,
15:18 we see it.
15:20 For Saratoga, we also see that there is a previous accumulation,
15:24 accumulated by several brokers,
15:28 we see here, and if we look at the open market now,
15:31 Saratoga has experienced another increase of 0.6%,
15:35 our team is yesterday, the position, the candlestick is quite good,
15:39 and there are several accumulations that happened in the Saratoga stock in the past few days.
15:45 Okay, we just give the selection of email,
15:49 we will go to the movement of the Indonesian stock market at the opening of the first session today,
15:53 the movement is still moving,
15:56 but a few moments ago we captured from RTI,
15:59 it was 0.3%, at level 7207.905,
16:06 and it touched the level of 7186.037.
16:11 And the same goes for the top gainers,
16:14 there are BP, then there is Suli, Sola, there is BBYB,
16:18 Dewi, Koka, Inof, Hoki, and GRIA.
16:22 Then the top losers so far in the C1 trade,
16:25 certainly the opening a few minutes ago,
16:27 there are Heli, Hill, PBID, Atla, TFAS, Care, FWCT, and Jar.
16:34 Okay, let's continue the discussion,
16:37 we have discussed Unilever and also Saratoga.
16:41 We go to LPPF, what is the analysis like?
16:45 Okay, yesterday we saw this LPPF,
16:49 it's the same as yesterday,
16:52 the movement of the stock has been through a two-day tightening,
16:56 the last two days, May 20 and May 21,
17:01 where we see the potential movement of this LPPF stock
17:05 will be able to continue its movement today.
17:08 Indeed, in the open market today,
17:10 it still looks a little correction,
17:12 because here I, although I am an investor,
17:14 I assess that this is as a taking profit,
17:17 taking profit for this LPPF stock,
17:19 because the increase has been two days in a row,
17:23 maybe the investor's initial investment
17:25 for the profit taking today.
17:27 Okay, that's three sides,
17:29 one more in the hands of the next best bastos,
17:31 Mr. Emil, and Mr. Benita,
17:33 stay with us, we will be right back.
17:35 Thank you, you are still with us,
17:37 and I am still talking with Mr. Emil Fajrizki,
17:39 stock analysis, stock now, we mean.
17:42 Mr. Emil, the last stock you recommended this morning
17:45 is BRPT, please analyze it.
17:50 Yes, for BRPT, as we know,
17:53 it is one of the stocks that is much favored,
17:57 I think a few days ago,
18:00 because it also experienced a boost,
18:02 and why do we recommend BRPT stocks?
18:05 Because if from me, I see that BRPT today,
18:09 actually the movement, its decline just a few days ago,
18:12 from May 17th, is a correct movement,
18:15 because it is indeed a very high increase,
18:19 24% on May 16th yesterday,
18:21 this is actually, and today too,
18:26 I mean, it is one of the profit taking actions
18:28 for a few days, a few days later,
18:31 so that's why, actually,
18:33 even though today, the market opening today,
18:35 BRPT also experienced a weakness,
18:36 this is still one of the profit taking actions,
18:40 because we see the volume,
18:42 the volume is still low,
18:44 so there is no sign of direction reversal,
18:46 so for the BRPT movement now,
18:49 it is indeed in the phase of correction,
18:51 from our analysis,
18:52 and this correction to continue
18:54 an increase that is even higher,
18:56 according to our analysis.
18:58 Okay, it can be used to enter a lower level,
19:03 for BRPT, because in terms of potential,
19:05 the potential upside is quite far from the last price.
19:10 In your opinion, what is the target price for BRPT, Mas Emil?
19:14 Okay, if we discuss the target price,
19:17 if we refer to the nearest resistance,
19:23 I see that this BRPT still has the potential
19:25 to break through the level,
19:28 or return to the resistance level at level 1,500,
19:32 even for now, the resistance level is at 1,620.
19:37 Okay, that's what was recommended by Mas Emil this morning,
19:41 I will convey the analysis again,
19:43 among which we have discussed,
19:46 there is SRTG, then there is also Unilever,
19:49 there is LPPF, and also BRPT,
19:51 all of them are recommended.
19:53 Okay, the last one,
19:55 today's trading strategy,
19:58 Mas Emil, what do you think of the data from the opening of ISG in session 1?
20:03 Okay, if we look at the movement of ISG today,
20:08 it seems that at the beginning of the first session, it was strong,
20:14 we can wait for the closing,
20:19 if it seems that today there are many people who buy,
20:23 maybe on the other hand, there are some investors who take advantage of
20:26 the weakness of ISG in the past two days,
20:29 the share price has dropped,
20:31 maybe there are some investors who take advantage of this as a buy action,
20:35 so we can see that ISG is slightly stronger at 0.5%,
20:42 that's what I meant,
20:44 maybe there are some investors who take advantage of this as a buy action,
20:48 or buy on weakness, which I have discussed before.
20:50 Okay, Mas Emil, thank you for joining us,
20:53 hopefully your analysis this morning can enlighten and also be a reference
20:57 for investors this time in doing trading strategies on the last day this weekend.
21:02 Success for you, I'm always Mas Emil, see you.
21:07 [Music]
21:09 (electronic music)