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  • 2 years ago
On 24 February 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine, launching the biggest war in Europe since World War II. Two years on, Moscow now controls 20 percent of Ukraine’s territory, is better armed and has more troops. Despite this, the sprawling 1,000-kilometre front line has barely moved in more than a year. But negotiations to end the war are a distant prospect. Analysts and diplomats say 2024 will be another year of fighting with Ukraine determined to recapture lost territory while Russian President Vladimir Putin will only be satisfied with Kyiv's full surrender.

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00:00 On 24 February 2022, Russian forces entered Ukraine, launching the biggest war in Europe
00:08 since World War II.
00:11 Since then, estimates say hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian and Russian troops have been
00:18 killed or injured.
00:19 The UN has also recorded some 30,000 civilian casualties, although real numbers are likely
00:25 much higher.
00:26 "The child was sleeping, the woman was on the balcony.
00:31 Bang!
00:32 And that's it.
00:33 I wrapped the woman and wanted to let the child down.
00:34 I wanted to go after the woman, but she was already tied up with smoke.
00:35 They didn't let me in."
00:36 "To be honest, I was very scared.
00:37 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:38 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:39 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:40 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:41 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:42 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:43 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:44 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:45 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:46 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:47 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:48 I was afraid that they would kill me.
00:49 I was afraid that they would kill me.
01:18 In the rain and snow along the sprawling 1,000-kilometre-long front, soldiers are enduring another winter
01:24 at war.
01:26 Around 20% of Ukraine's territory is now in Russian hands, with Ukrainian troops struggling
01:32 to penetrate a front line that has barely moved in more than a year.
01:35 "The intensity of hostilities is quite high in our direction.
01:40 There are more wounded than we would like to say.
01:44 The majority are fragmental wounds, but there are also live bullets, because we had contacts
01:52 with our enemies."
01:58 With no end to the war in sight, Ukraine's army is struggling with recruitment, and more
02:03 and more soldiers are asking to return home.
02:07 Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says the military wants half a million new recruits
02:12 to reprieve exhausted front line troops.
02:15 "Of course, we need to mobilize, because we need to get some rest.
02:22 We are tired, because we have been at war for so long.
02:26 We need to get some rest, at least for a while.
02:31 Not just ten days, but at least half a year.
02:36 Russia, which benefits from having a larger population, appears able to fill its ranks
02:41 with a mix of patriotic propaganda, coercion and financial incentives."
02:47 Even as the war drags on, Ukraine remains determined to recapture lost territory.
02:52 But crucial Western support is eroding.
02:56 Europe has been unable to ramp up weapons supplies fast enough, and delays to much-needed
03:01 US military aid have cast a shadow over how long Kiev's troops can hold out.
03:06 "In December, almost 90% of Ukrainians thought that in the event of proper Western aid,
03:13 weapons, sanctions and finances, Ukraine could achieve success.
03:16 Now Ukrainians feel more and more betrayed by these issues, and as a result, this provokes
03:22 a somewhat pessimistic mood.
03:23 Optimism is still predominant among Ukrainians, but this indeterminacy and pessimism have
03:27 a place, and this is also indicated in the issue of mobilization."
03:31 New Ukrainian Army Chief Oleksandr Sersky has described the situation on the front line
03:36 in eastern Ukraine as extremely complex and stressful.
03:40 Russian forces are on the attack, pushing forward in places like Avdiivka in the Donetsk
03:45 region - a town they now say they have full control over.
03:50 The capture of Avdiivka is Russia's biggest victory in the war since May 2023.
03:55 "Until now, there was a lot of talk about the strategic defeat of Russia, the defeat
04:02 on the battlefield.
04:03 Now, it seems, people are realizing that it's not easy to do, if at all possible.
04:09 In my opinion, it's impossible to determine.
04:11 It will never happen.
04:12 I think people have realized this now, and they are controlling the Western power.
04:20 But if this is the case, if this realization has come, then think about what to do next.
04:25 We are ready for this dialogue."
04:28 Although there are signs of public fatigue in Russia with the duration of the conflict,
04:32 diplomats and analysts say President Vladimir Putin will only be satisfied with Kiev's
04:38 full surrender, declaring in December 2023 that Ukraine does not have a future.
04:45 Some believe Putin to be awaiting a possible Donald Trump victory in this year's US presidential
04:50 election, despite recently saying he would prefer a Joe Biden presidency for its predictability.
04:57 In a sign of commitment to Ukraine, the European Union has approved a new 50 billion euro aid
05:03 package and has opened formal membership talks with the country.
05:07 "He has clearly said that this war is against the entire West.
05:13 The security of Ukraine is a huge contribution to the security of Europe as a whole.
05:21 And the best security commitment that we can do for Ukraine is making Ukraine part of the
05:27 European Union."
05:34 Although Putin has said he'd be open to talks, Kiev has long held the position that no negotiations
05:39 are possible until Russia withdraws from all occupied territories.
05:43 "I don't think anyone knows the answer to the question of whether the war will end in
05:51 2024.
05:52 Even those respectable people, our commanders, our Western partners, when they say that this
05:59 war is for many years, they don't know.
06:01 If we don't lose our stability, we will end the war earlier.
06:07 If we don't lose our spirit, we can live with skepticism, but we can also forgive the
06:17 country for its skepticism.
06:20 And I'm not ready for that.
06:23 And I know that there are many millions like me.
06:27 I'm not ready to give up our country."
06:30 For more UN videos visit: www.un.org/webcast
06:38 UN.org/webcast
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