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Houston Texans Battle Ravens: Running Game Crucial
SportsGrid
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2 years ago
Category
🥇
Sports
Transcript
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00:00
(upbeat music)
00:02
- Watching CJ Stroud in last week's playoffs games
00:15
was obviously amazing.
00:17
The problem is, they're gonna be going on the road
00:19
to Baltimore against a very tough pass defense.
00:22
The first and foremost issue
00:23
is gonna be the potential for some wind.
00:25
And the Houston Texans love to push the ball
00:28
down the field on early downs in the first three quarters.
00:31
In fact, they have the third highest average
00:34
target on early downs in the first three quarters.
00:37
And they like to throw the ball 15 plus yards
00:39
at one of the top seven highest rates
00:41
of any team in the NFL.
00:43
With those higher winds, that's gonna be a predicament.
00:45
The second element is the Ravens defense is outstanding
00:49
against these types of passes.
00:50
Against passes thrown 15 plus yards down the field
00:52
on early downs, the Ravens is number one in EPA per attempt,
00:56
number one in yards per attempt,
00:58
number two in completion rate,
00:59
and number three in success rate.
01:01
The other concern that I have is on the road,
01:04
the pass defenses that this Houston Texans offense
01:08
has faced on early downs,
01:09
on those deeper passes that they like to throw.
01:12
Number 31 Panthers, number 30 Titans,
01:14
number 29 Falcons, number 26 Colts,
01:17
number 23 Jaguars, number 20 Bengals,
01:20
and number 11 Jets.
01:21
Meaning they've played some very bad defenses
01:24
against deeper passes on early downs.
01:26
The Ravens are obviously not that at all.
01:28
They're elite against that.
01:30
What the Texans must do is come out here
01:32
and try to run the football.
01:34
The Ravens play with light boxes on these early downs
01:37
and one of the highest rates in the NFL,
01:38
like top two highest rate.
01:40
And when teams run the ball on these early downs
01:42
with their running backs, they have outstanding success.
01:45
The Baltimore Ravens run defense actually ranks dead last
01:48
in success rate, EPA per attempt, and yards per carry
01:51
on early downs in the first three quarters
01:53
if you come out and run your running back.
01:56
That will force them to put an extra defender in the box
01:59
and then you can utilize play action off of that.
02:01
But if the Houston Texans fall into a hole,
02:03
I think it's gonna be difficult for them
02:04
to dig themselves out because they're gonna be
02:06
predictably passing the ball into a great defense
02:09
of the Baltimore Ravens.
02:10
They must come out with intelligent play calling
02:13
and try to move the ball on the ground
02:15
until the Ravens load the box, then they can start passing.
02:18
(upbeat music)
02:20
(bells chiming)
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