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Bankable | Axis Bank's Rajiv Anand On Challenge Of Liabilities | NDTV Profit
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2 years ago
#Bankable | On the latest episode, #AxisBank's Rajiv Anand explains why liabilities are still an unresolved challenge.
Watch whole episode: https://bit.ly/3RMs9uy
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00:00
You said over the last 12 to 18 months liabilities have been a bit of a challenge.
00:04
When this problem started at some point last year, when the rates started turning
00:10
and then everybody was like, okay, now liabilities, pricing has to change
00:13
and people have to retain the deposit base that they have and continue to grow.
00:18
Why has it taken 18 months and why is it still a challenge is my point, is my question.
00:26
I think the pool of money by definition, I mean you are in a tighter liquidity condition.
00:31
Remember that through the cycle, through COVID, we have seen rates go up and down
00:37
by approximately 250 basis points.
00:40
On a post-COVID basis, we have seen a situation where RBI has hiked rates,
00:48
RBI has hiked CRR, RBI has sold dollars.
00:53
And so therefore, that is the one piece, the only way that money goes out
00:58
or into the system is through those RBI mechanisms.
01:01
And RBI by definition has chosen to keep liquidity tight at this point in time.
01:06
And therefore, you have seen that one-year deposit rates have gone to somewhere
01:12
between 7.5 to 8% depending upon which bank you are talking to.
01:19
And therefore, relative to the 3.5% that you are seeing on savings account,
01:24
you are able to get 7.5% on a one-year deposit.
01:29
And so therefore, what I call the cost of laziness is now 400 basis points.
01:34
Remember that the savings account is a transaction account.
01:37
I mean this is what I pay my SIPs through, my EMIs through, my bills through, etc.
01:42
Under normal circumstances, I will sort of let the money lie there.
01:47
But if I now find that I have slightly more money,
01:51
let's say usually I have 1 lakh in the account,
01:54
but now I have 2 lakhs because I have got a bonus or I have saved some money.
01:59
Under normal circumstances, you will let it remain.
02:02
But where I can move, where I can get 7.5%,
02:06
that extra 1 lakh I will now put into term deposits,
02:09
which is really what is happening.
02:11
But remember that interest rates are cyclical.
02:14
It's not as if we have not seen this movie play out before as well.
02:18
I think we are already beginning to see the first signs of central banks talking about cutting rates.
02:25
And I think that cycle will come to India perhaps over the next 6 to 12 months.
02:32
And then this will start to adjust itself.
02:36
And I think this is, if you look at India over a 20-year period,
02:42
we have never had a situation where deposits has been a concern.
02:44
I mean, there's always been lead lags, etc.
02:47
But deposit growth has traditionally been fairly strong for it to support asset growth.
02:53
And I do believe that this will adjust itself over the next 6 to 12 months.
02:57
[Music]
03:01
[BLANK_AUDIO]
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