00:00Global fossil fuel emissions are set to fall this year, but scientists are not celebrating
00:05the 2026 global carbon budget. Fossil CO2 emissions are projected to fall 0.4 percent,
00:12oil is down 1.9 percent, and natural gas is down 0.3 percent. Coal is up 0.6 percent.
00:18Last year,
00:19fossil emissions hit an all-time high, rising 1.1 percent. By country, the EU is down 1.5 percent,
00:27and the U.S. is down 1.3 percent. Japan is down 1 percent, and China is down 0.9
00:32percent.
00:33India is up 4.4 percent. So why the drop? The report says it is partly driven by a geopolitical
00:40energy shock and trade disruption, alongside faster renewables expansion. Lead author Pierre
00:46Friedlingstein says a cut driven by geopolitical shocks is not a sustainable climate solution.
00:51Another researcher, Glenn Peters, says one year of falling emissions is not a peak unless
00:56structural change drives it. Including land use, total CO2 is still projected to rise to 43.3
01:03billion tons. The remaining carbon budget for 1.5 degrees is about 150 billion tons. That is less
01:10than four years of emissions at the current rate. Disclosure. This video contains stock footage
01:15and content created or enhanced using AI-assisted tools.
01:18you
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