00:00Thank you for listening.
00:48So, at the moment we have about 1.4 degrees of human induced warming, which is very close
00:56to the Paris goal of 1.5 degrees of warming, and where we are now in terms of policies,
01:03with the policies that we have in place, so if we continue the world as is, we will end
01:11up with approximately 2.8 degrees at the end of the century.
01:17And that is extremely bad news, because we have just talked about the impacts that we
01:24already see at 1.4 degrees of warming.
01:27For example, in this European summer, thousands of people have lost their lives in heatwave,
01:33who would not have died if it wasn't for climate change.
01:39And 2.8 degrees is double the warming we have now, and we really do not want to experience
01:46that.
02:22To stabilize temperatures to any number, we need to stop burning fossil fuels.
02:30And we have only a couple of climate conferences ago, so two years ago, the first time ever,
02:40the mentioning of transition away from fossil fuels was even on the table.
02:44And so we are very, very far away from the realization that achieving any climate goal is only possible
02:54without burning fossil fuels.
02:56And we are currently seeing in many countries the opposite, that we see still expansion of
03:01fossil fuels.
03:06Clean, beautiful coal, clean, beautiful coal.
03:12We love clean, beautiful coal, don't we, Doug?
03:15It was just announced our trade deficit has gone down.
03:20Biden and the radical left wanted to abolish coal.
03:24They did everything they could, everything possible.
03:26But on day one of this administration, I ended the war on coal.
03:30We terminated the Green News scam, and we withdrew from the unfair, one-sided Paris climate accord.
03:37I think one of the really bad influences from Trump's policy is, of course, first of all, on Americans, who
03:47also now, of course, suffer a lot of climate impacts that they would not have suffered otherwise.
03:56But also, I think, of course, that the US is doing this backsliding makes it much easier for a lot
04:05of other countries to also say, well, if the biggest emitter is not doing anything, then we are not doing
04:11anything either.
04:12Which, of course, is not logical, because every tonne of carbon matters, and the fewer emissions, the better.
04:22But, of course, it makes these policies much more acceptable, and I think that's one of the biggest, really dangerous
04:34influences.
04:59So, in 2026, we are just coming out of a really, really hot summer.
05:04In the northern hemisphere that had led to many, many more heatwaves than we would have had without human-induced
05:12climate change, including heatwaves in the ocean, which has huge consequences on ecosystems.
05:18But also, of course, industry, fisheries, and we also had an extremely dry summer.
05:26And all these events that we are seeing this year would have been less worse, or less bad, rather, if
05:35it wouldn't have been for human-induced climate change.
05:54And the early warning systems that exist, and also exist in Nepal, they are designed to warn for normal floods,
06:02but not for an event like this that happened.
06:06I mean, it happened within a few minutes, and that is just really an example of how you cannot adapt
06:18to everything that human-induced climate change will throw at us.
06:23Because this event, while of course it also had natural causes, climate change was definitely an important driver, because of
06:31the melting of the permafrost that destabilizes the rocks.
06:35So, let's get started.
07:14Thank you very much.
07:40AI is a label that, and most people when they talk about AI mean LLMs, so large language
07:47models, and they will definitely not solve our climate problems because what we need
07:56is policy changes, we need moving away from actually burning fossil fuels, and if you're
08:01running an LLM with a fossil fuel driven data center, then that increases the problem rather
08:09than solving it.
08:33So El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon that basically says we have very warm waters
08:39in the Pacific, and that has huge influences on weather systems, particularly in the tropics,
08:48so it means for example for the Amazon there's an increased risk of drought, in other parts
08:53of the world, for example East Africa, there's an increased risk of flooding, and this El
09:00Niño event is of course now happening on top of a global warming that is 1.4 degrees warmer
09:08already than it would have been without human induced climate change, and that means that
09:13these impacts from El Niño are stronger because of global warming.
09:40I think climate change is happening now, it's not in the future anymore, because you don't
09:45need people like me to talk about climate change anymore, you can read it in the headlines
09:48in the newspaper every day, what's happening to our world.
09:51The thing about climate change that I think the most pertinent is climate change is happening
09:58everywhere, everywhere in the world, but suffering is concentrated among poor and vulnerable people.
10:05climate change is a poster child, poster child of injustice.
10:11climate change.
10:14Let's take a look on topic on Earth.
10:14Let us take a look on what matters.
10:42So a lot of the discussion this year would be how do you take the ambition we already
10:45have to actually convert them outcome on the ground, how do we finance them, how do we
10:50have policies, how do we have sectoral goals, things like that.
10:52That's one big thing I think we will see.
