00:00A scientific paper predicted a population catastrophe on November 13, 2026.
00:05Published in 1960, it made a startling claim. Scientist Heinz von Furster and his colleagues
00:11developed a model suggesting human population could approach infinity by that date. But this
00:17was a mathematical projection, not a prediction of human extinction. For decades, the equation
00:23tracked population growth surprisingly well. Then, around 1993, reality began to diverge
00:29from its forecast. Why? Global fertility rates declined and population growth slowed. Today,
00:36people are having far fewer children on average than in 1960. The world's population is still
00:42growing, but not at the explosive rate the model assumed. So, should we worry about November 13?
00:47There is no credible evidence that humanity will end on that date. The real lesson is simple.
00:53Even a mathematical model that fits the past can fail to predict the future.
00:58Disclosure. Disclosure. This video contains stock footage and content created or enhanced
01:02using AI-assisted tools.
