00:00So this was 4.9 magnitude, which is about 5 magnitude, which we call moderate magnitude earthquake.
00:09If we look at this example, we come to this magnitude of 2-3.
00:14And the magnitude of the scale increases, the frequency increases.
00:21And this is a little north of Thralli, which is in Chamoli district.
00:27As we've seen before and discussed before, there is a Himalayan seismic belt,
00:34which is our main central thrust, which is a major tectonic fault in Himalaya, which is in the higher Himalaya.
00:42There is a seismicity where we call seismicity zone, which is called seismicity zone,
00:47and high seismicity zone.
00:49So this is in the same zone.
00:51And this is the result of the result of the result.
00:55And this is the result of the result.
00:57If we look at that, in 2017, there was an earthquake earthquake.
01:03There was an earthquake earthquake in 5.8.
01:05It was quite big.
01:08There was an earthquake earthquake in this area.
01:10So we seen in theória in the
01:12everyone knew that it was?
01:13It was also in 1999, in the 6.8 years ago, it was also in this belt.
01:18So this belt is seismically active.
01:21And we can say that it's tectonically and geologically
01:28that we can say that there are two tectonic plates,
01:32and the Indian plate, the Eurasian plate, or the Asian plate
01:36are thrusts.
01:38It's a mechanism that goes through the process,
01:42and it goes through the process,
01:44and it goes through the process,
01:46which is the re-adjustment and a tectonic process.
01:52But it's a very slow-focused earthquake.
01:55We've seen it in the Uttarakhand.
01:57If you can see it in the Uttarakhand,
01:58if you can see it in the Uttarakhand,
02:01it's very slow-focused.
02:03If you can see it in the Uttarakhand,
02:08you can see it in the Uttarakhand.
02:09But as you can see,
02:12the moderate-pensure earthquake,
02:13the 4.9 or 5-pensure earthquake,
02:16there's no difference in the Uttarakhand.
02:18But it's also a feeling that
02:20I've felt that a lot of people have felt that
02:22I've felt that I've felt that
02:24even Delhi was felt that
02:27I've felt that high-rise building was felt that
02:29the earthquake was felt that
02:32there was an earthquake in the Uttarakhand.
02:36The earthquake is a place and a place.
02:39It's a place for us.
02:41It's a high-seismic zone 5 or 4.
02:45So that the earthquake is still there.
02:48And we need to take precautions
02:49that we need to take the same way.
02:51That's how we need to see the earthquake.
02:55Look, there's an instant prediction.
02:57Instant prediction means that
02:59we need to tell you that
03:01that the earthquake will be this time
03:02or that much.
03:04That's not.
03:05But our long-term prediction
03:07we have done.
03:08We know that
03:09that the 7.5 or 8 magnitude
03:12of the earthquake will be
03:13in the Uttarakhand.
03:14And the other part will not be in the Uttarakhand.
03:17So our mind is that
03:18long-term prediction
03:20and long-term prediction
03:20we have said that
03:23that the earthquake will be
03:24in this zone.
03:25We will never be coming,
03:26and we will come here.
03:27And as we say
03:28that the high Himalayan seismic world
03:29in the High Himalayan
03:30in the Uttarakhand
03:31in the main center thrust
03:32is the structure of this one.
03:34We'll have to make it
03:35that this building is going on.
03:36That's a long-term prediction.
03:37So it's a long-term prediction.
03:38And the traders also happen
03:39like this is the earthquake
03:40or the earthquake
03:41or the earthquake
03:43or the earthquake
03:43or the earthquake
03:44or the earthquake
03:44so we have to say
03:45thearsaal
03:45result of thisاد.
03:46So we're going to talk about
03:48long-term prediction
03:48via this.
03:51which we have kept in 4 or 5, so we have studied and studied, but we don't have an instant
03:59prediction
04:00like rainfall or cyclone, we don't have an instant prediction.
04:06What is the long time?
04:10We say that in Himalaya, the earthquake will come, the earthquake will come.
04:15If it comes to 10 or 20 or 50 years later, it will come.
04:21So this is a long term prediction.
04:24We know that the Indian plate is going north or north east.
04:313-4 cm.
04:34There is an energy store.
04:38The Indian plate is going north, the Indian plate is going south.
04:43The Indian plate is going north and the Indian plate is going north.
04:44The Indian plate is going north, which we call stress or strain energy.
04:48The Indian plate will release and the Indian plate will release and the Indian plate will release.
04:55This is why we have long term prediction, long term assessment,
04:58we can make a map for an assessment.
05:02We have to follow all of this, and accordingly.
05:07This is forever.
05:08I will say, of course, it can be before it.
05:10This is the same, but you can immediately tell us about its predictions.
05:13It will come 10 days later, or after it will come 10 years later.
05:17The next big brookamp is on.
05:20If we look at Uttarakhand in 1803, there was a 7.5-inch shoot in Hagarwal, and after that, we
05:31had a 1905-inch shoot in Kangra.
05:34It was like this, even in Kashmir, 7.6-inch shoot in 2005, which was quite a big deal.
05:43It was like this.
05:47How do you see the impact of the monsoon?
05:55Yes, because there is a landslide zone where there is a landslide, and there is more than that.
06:03There is no landslide in 5-inch shoot.
06:11When there was a earthquake, there was a lot of landslides.
06:14So, if it comes to this time, there is a lot of landslides.
06:18There is a lot of danger.
06:20There is a lot of danger.
06:21There is a lot of danger.
06:22But it is all that it had.
06:23DaffledÖ
