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Malaysia’s inflation is among the lowest in the region, but rising upstream cost pressures could pose an inflation risk later this year, said the World Bank lead economist Apurva Sanghi.

He said producer price inflation had swung from negative territory in December 2023 and February 2024 to over 10% in June and almost 11% in August this year.

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00:01World Bank's lead economist Apurva Sanghi on Tuesday said Malaysia's inflation is among
00:08the lowest in the region, but rising upstream cost pressures could pose an inflation risk
00:13later this year.
00:14He told the media that producer price inflation had swung from negative territory in December
00:202023 and February 2024 to over 10% in June and almost 11% in August this year.
00:28He said the World Bank projected headline inflation to rise modestly to 2% this year, with subsidies
00:35limiting the pass-through of inflation to households despite higher energy prices.
00:40He said Malaysia recorded a relatively low inflation rate of 1.9% in August, compared with Thailand
00:47at 2.5%, Indonesia 3.2%, Vietnam 4.9%, and the Philippines 6.1%.
00:55On economic growth, the World Bank upgraded its projection for Malaysia to 5.1%, followed
01:02by a 4.7% expansion in 2027.
01:05In fact, more than 70% of Malaysia's overall export growth in early 2026 is due to increased
01:14demand for AI-related products.
01:17So Malaysia really is riding the AI wave.
01:20It sounds good, but the corollary to this is that growth excluding AI-related goods has been
01:28weak.
01:29And this raises the question of how sensitive growth in Malaysia is to an AI slowdown.
01:33What if there is an AI slowdown?
01:36What might precipitate that?
01:37Aperva also said any development or slowdown in major economies, particularly the United
01:44States, will directly impact Malaysia.
01:54Aperva also said any development or slowdown in major economies, particularly the United States,
01:59will directly impact Malaysia.
01:59You

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