00:00Tesla CEO Elon Musk believes China would overcome its artificial intelligence computing limitations
00:06within the next two to three years, potentially strengthening its position in the global AI race.
00:11Speaking in an interview with China Media Group at Tesla's engineering headquarters in Silicon Valley, California,
00:17Musk described Chinese AI models as among the strongest in the world.
00:23He said Chinese AI companies have delivered impressive results
00:27despite operating with limited computing resources and restriction on access to advanced semiconductor technology.
00:35The Chinese AI models are generally outstanding, actually.
00:39I mean, you can see on the sort of intelligence rankings there,
00:43especially given the limited amount of compute that the Chinese AI companies have,
00:49the performance is excellent.
00:52Probably China is doing by far the best in terms of performance per unit of compute.
00:56And as I've said publicly, you know, I think China is going to address the compute limitation
01:05in, I think, faster than most people expect.
01:09My rough guess would be that China addresses the compute constraints
01:12with lithography and chip making in about two or three years.
01:17Beyond artificial intelligence, Musk also forecasts a dramatic rise
01:21in the adoption of humanoid robots over the coming decade.
01:25He said advance in robotics could transform the way people live and work,
01:29with robots taking on a growing range of responsibilities in homes, schools and workplaces.
01:36At least a billion humanoid robots within 10 years, probably less than 10 years.
01:40I think that continues to grow.
01:42If you assume that things roughly double per year,
01:45then that's about every three or four years you have a 10x increase.
01:48Say in 15 years there are 10 billion robots.
01:51In 20 years, 100 billion.
01:54If you think of like Star Wars where you had C-3PO and R2-D2,
01:57and they were friendly, helpful robots.
02:01Well, wouldn't it be great if everyone could have their own personal C-3PO R2-D2?
02:06But even better than that, like more productive,
02:09that could take care of elderly parents,
02:12guardian and watch over the children,
02:14or be a teacher, like an individualized tutor to your child,
02:18and taking care of any jobs that you can think of.
02:21I think everyone would like to have a future where they can have their own personal robots.
02:26And then I think you'll see many companies where it's one person with hundreds,
02:34maybe thousands of robots, like physical robots as well as digital robots.
02:39So the productivity of one person would be greatly amplified.
02:43And my prediction is that there will be effectively universal high income.
02:49In fact, it's not clear to me that money will even matter in the future.
02:53Musk said the widespread deployment of physical and digital robots
02:58could significantly boost productivity,
03:00enabling individuals and businesses to achieve levels of output previously unimaginable.
03:06He suggested automation may eventually reshape economic system,
03:11with advanced AI and robotics handling many routine and labor-intensive tasks.
03:17Despite the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence,
03:21Musk stressed that human knowledge and education will remain essential.
03:25He said future generations should pursue a broad-based education in compassing science,
03:31engineering, the arts and general knowledge to better understand,
03:35and work alongside intelligent machines.
03:38And work alongside intelligent machines.
