00:00If Russia intensifies its drone and missile attacks against Polish territory, NATO
00:05He will not fight against Russia.
00:07This was stated to Unian by Ivan Stupak, a military expert and member of the Security Service
00:13of Ukraine between 2004 and 2015, in response to statements by the Polish prime minister,
00:20Donald Tusk, who warned that Russia could launch airstrikes against his country in
00:25the coming weeks and months.
00:27This raises an interesting question.
00:30What will NATO do?
00:31Will NATO not lift a finger to comply with Article 5 of the Atlantic Treaty?
00:36North?
00:37This article states that an armed attack against a NATO member is considered
00:42an attack against the entire alliance, and member countries must provide the ally with assistance
00:47necessary, including the use of armed force, the expert noted.
00:52According to him, no one will do this, since it requires the vote of all 32 members of the alliance.
00:57The United States will definitely not vote in favor of this, nor will any other countries.
01:03who play along.
01:04Therefore, NATO will not fight against Russia.
01:08And I'm sure that, right now, Warsaw is racking its brains trying to figure out what to do.
01:13"If those attacks happen," Stupac said.
01:16He explained that the discussion could include reducing the Russian diplomatic presence.
01:22and the expulsion of Russian diplomats.
01:25They could also decide to deploy air defense systems towards Ukraine.
01:30This is a reasonable option, the expert noted.
01:34He added that one possible solution would be to shoot down Russian drones and missiles over Ukrainian territory.
01:41near the border.
01:43Another possible response is that Poland will cut off the Suwaki corridor.
01:48that separates Belarus from the Russian Kaliningrad Oblast.
01:52This would be an interesting move.
01:55This option could be considered, but a decision must be made.
01:59To do this, it would be necessary to effectively cut off the corridor,
02:03Deploy tanks there, explain it to the domestic public.
02:08and be prepared for a possible response from Russia.
02:11After all, there could be consequences.
02:15And these scenarios must be anticipated, Stupac emphasized.
02:19According to him, Poland is unlikely to take any serious action.
02:24just as happened previously when Russian aerial targets flew over their territory.
02:30As reported, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk,
02:34in an emergency meeting with government representatives,
02:38the army and intelligence services,
02:40Following the Russian attacks on the Ukrainian checkpoint at Jagodin,
02:44near the Polish border,
02:46He stated that Russia is increasing its activity.
02:49and that Poland must be prepared for a possible deterioration of the security situation,
02:54since a new escalation could affect Polish territory.
02:57He stressed that they will work more intensely.
03:01We can expect that in the coming weeks and months
03:04may be a period of very intense action on the part of Russia.
03:08We cannot rule out that the escalation will also spread to our territory.
03:12Tusk said.
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