- 2 months ago
BMitch and JP make their picks for each NFL Week 1 game this weekend.
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00:00I kind of wanted to just take a look around the NFL at some of the games this weekend.
00:04Are you up for that?
00:05I'm with that.
00:07Obviously, we got this game tonight.
00:08But I'm looking at, so we have tonight, Pat Seahawks, tomorrow night, Niners-Rams.
00:14Both those games, we know so much about the teams because, I mean, tonight's a Super Bowl rematch, right?
00:23Yeah, yeah.
00:23Like, tomorrow night, the Niners were in the divisional round.
00:26The Rams were in the NFC title game.
00:28Like, these are veteran teams, established teams, really good teams, right?
00:34What the hell do we know about Cleveland-Jacksonville, Sunday, 1 o'clock?
00:38Where is it at?
00:40Jacksonville.
00:41Jacksonville got the advantage?
00:43Eight and a half points spread.
00:45Jacksonville favorite?
00:46Yeah.
00:47All right.
00:48Can you trust Cleveland?
00:51Where is Cleveland on the BMitch trust meter?
00:54I mean, it's hard to trust them.
00:57But, like, what Cleveland is doing, Cleveland is trying to see if they can get that good to Sean Watson,
01:04once again.
01:06You think he's still in there?
01:08He's in there.
01:09Can he get him out?
01:10I don't know.
01:11The Jags were good last year.
01:13Trevor Lawrence was good.
01:15That defense was good.
01:16They moved the ball really well.
01:17Down the stretch, they weren't that good, though.
01:19Where is Jacksonville on the BMitch trust meter?
01:23Scale of 1 to 10, probably about 6.
01:26Are they an AFC contender for you?
01:28I don't think so.
01:30Okay.
01:31Sunday, 1 o'clock, Tampa going to Cincinnati.
01:35Baker Mayfield just got a new deal.
01:37Vita Vea got paid.
01:38Ruben Bain, rookie.
01:40Abuka's tracking like he's going to be healthy.
01:42Chris Godwin's back healthy.
01:44This game will be decided by defenses.
01:47You want to guess the line?
01:49Five and a half.
01:50Three and a half.
01:51Basically home field.
01:52All right.
01:53Where is Tampa on the NFC contender BMitch trust list?
01:57Six.
01:59Cincinnati.
02:00Everybody's healthy.
02:01They really invested defensively.
02:03Trade for Dexter Lawrence.
02:04They have shown an ability to go deep in the playoffs.
02:08Joe Burrow's got to stay healthy, obviously.
02:10Where are the Bengals on the BMitch trust meter?
02:13They're a contender or no?
02:15They're probably seven, seven and a half.
02:17Until they kick down the door, I'm not putting them out.
02:19Are they a contender for you?
02:21They're a contender if they are all healthy, which doesn't seem to ever be the case.
02:28This is a good game.
02:30Sunday, 1 o'clock, Indianapolis.
02:33Baltimore Ravens going out to take on the Colts.
02:36Battle of the original Baltimore teams, I guess.
02:39Yeah.
02:40Colts are three and a half point home underdogs.
02:43I got to tell you, that kind of appeals to me.
02:47Let's start with the Ravens.
02:49Contender, where are they on the trust meter?
02:51Rookie head coach.
02:52Rookie head coach, I'm going to limit that to an eight.
02:55Seven and a half.
02:56I'm going seven and a half.
02:57Is that about the same as you did with Cincy?
02:59Yeah.
02:59I kind of view them and Cincy pretty similarly.
03:03What about the Colts?
03:04They were absolutely on fire.
03:06They were on fire last year.
03:08And then Jones gets hurt.
03:09But Daniel, is he going to be playing this week?
03:11Yeah.
03:11I don't know if Daniel is going to be able to get back to where he was last year.
03:15They got a hell of a...
03:16I mean, that's...
03:16And if he can't, then people are going to be able to stack the box on Mitchell McCartney.
03:22Jonathan Taylor?
03:24Who do you like in that one?
03:26Ravens, Colts, Indianapolis.
03:27I take the Ravens.
03:28Okay.
03:29We're going...
03:29Hell no.
03:30I'm taking the Indianapolis to beat them by 20 because I know Ben is listening.
03:34Nah, I'm joking.
03:34I take the Ravens.
03:35Sunday, 1 o'clock, the artist formerly known as Heinz Field, the Atlanta Falcons going
03:41into Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers.
03:44What do you think this line is?
03:46Steelers favored by 6.5.
03:49I thought this would be bigger.
03:51It's 3.5.
03:52That's it?
03:53Yeah.
03:53Atlanta's starting 2-0.
03:55I think everybody else is starting not to believe in Aaron Rodgers like me.
03:59Atlanta's starting 2-0.
04:01Yeah.
04:02Which kind of got hurt and he's still banging up a little bit, so...
04:05What's the trust meter on the Falcons?
04:08Don't have much.
04:09Four?
04:10Yeah.
04:10Four and a half, five.
04:12They're obviously not a contender in the NFC.
04:14Do you think they're a contender in the NFC South?
04:16No.
04:17Damn.
04:18All right.
04:18What do you think about...
04:19You got two quarterbacks that stay hurt.
04:21What do you think about Pittsburgh?
04:23Mike McCarthy there?
04:24Aaron Rodgers?
04:26Aaron is there, but like...
04:27They added Rico Dowdle?
04:29Okay.
04:30They got some pieces defensively?
04:32Certainly?
04:33Their defense is going to have to help them along the way.
04:36Do you see that D.K. Metcalf is a conspiracy theorist?
04:40Probably so.
04:41He believes there's a...
04:42I saw this on the internet, so it could be fake, but it's my understanding that D.K. Metcalf
04:48believes there's a hidden civilization in Antarctica.
04:54Weird dude.
04:56Well, hell, how many people are there?
04:58I have no idea.
04:59I've never been to Antarctica.
05:01I imagine nobody lives there.
05:04Somebody got to be there.
05:05Like penguins live there.
05:06Why, Brian?
05:06Somebody's staying there.
05:07What is the population of Antarctica?
05:10Penguins, polar bears, and scientists.
05:12There you go.
05:13Scientists.
05:14That is the hidden...
05:15What's it called?
05:17Civilization.
05:18Antarctica has no permanent residents or native population, but a rotating group of
05:23roughly 5,000 scientists and support staff live there during the summer, and about 1,000
05:29stay during the winter.
05:30There you go.
05:31So that place you're talking about, that civilization, that's them.
05:34Do you know when winter is in Antarctica?
05:37No.
05:37Summer for us.
05:39Other side of the planet.
05:41Okay.
05:42Would going to Antarctica ever interest you?
05:44No.
05:45For what?
05:46Just to see ice?
05:47I wouldn't mind seeing it.
05:48Why?
05:49You can fly over it.
05:50Keep moving.
05:51Something different.
05:52Something very different.
05:53You go do that in Tim Highwood.
05:54See the penguins in person?
05:56No.
05:58I mean, they look like they got on a tuxedo.
06:00I got a banger of a game.
06:01When last time you put on a tuxedo?
06:03This summer.
06:04To go where?
06:06They had a fight night thing at the club.
06:08It was fun.
06:09I looked sharp.
06:10Doubt it.
06:11Facts.
06:12Doubt it.
06:12Facts.
06:12Doubt it.
06:14Mike Kelly gave me nice tuxedo shoes.
06:16They're like suede.
06:17Velvet.
06:19It's velvet?
06:20Yeah.
06:20Okay.
06:20I got a banger game for you.
06:22You can guess the line.
06:23Let's go.
06:25Sunday, 1 o'clock.
06:27Buffalo.
06:27Bills at Houston Texans.
06:30Ooh.
06:32Bills are going to be favored by 1 1⁄2.
06:34Did you see it?
06:36No.
06:36You nailed it.
06:37Really?
06:38Yeah.
06:39You know, this favorite thing, they're going to give it to Josh in the offense.
06:43But I'm going to tell you like this here, he better be ready.
06:45Because the last time they played him, they beat the hell out of him.
06:48Buffalo Bills on the BMX trust meter.
06:53Eight.
06:53No, seven and a half.
06:54Okay.
06:55I don't really, you know.
06:57I think that's fair to lump them with.
06:59Ravens and all of them.
07:00Ravens, Bengals, Bills.
07:02Yeah.
07:03Where are the Texans on the BMX trust meter?
07:06Ooh.
07:07If I go with the defense, I might give them a 10.
07:09But when I start thinking about CJ, ooh, Lord, they may be down to the same thing.
07:13What do you think David Montgomery brings him?
07:16That is a physical, tough runner.
07:19He's going to make defenses be concerned about what he's doing,
07:23which means that CJ may have a little bit more room to work with.
07:28That's a banger of a game.
07:30Who do you like in that?
07:32In Houston?
07:33Texas.
07:34You know, the Bills are going to go down there and go to Papa Doe's.
07:37They're going to be sluggish during the game.
07:38Because Papa Doe's going to feed them all that heavy-ass rice.
07:43Sunday, 1 o'clock.
07:46Chicago Bears, everybody's darling, traveling to Charlotte.
07:51Take on the Panthers.
07:53Guess the line.
07:55Bears by three and a half.
07:59Nailed it.
08:00You're getting hot, dude.
08:01So, this one I find interesting.
08:04My boy, Cisco, just texted me.
08:07The Bears are only three-point favorites over the Panthers with three question marks.
08:11I saw online, this is the most.
08:13They have a good defense.
08:14This is the most heavily bet, both cash and tickets, in the NFL week one.
08:21So, Vegas hasn't adjusted this line.
08:23And the whole world's betting the Bears.
08:26Kind of like Carolina be.
08:30I don't know, Jay.
08:32Where are the Bears on the trust index?
08:35I don't trust them.
08:36Seven.
08:37Okay.
08:38What about the Panthers?
08:39They won the NFC South last year.
08:41Yeah, they did.
08:42That wasn't saying much.
08:43Six and a half.
08:43Okay.
08:45Sunday, 1 o'clock.
08:46This is the woof game of the week.
08:50The New York Jets traveling to Nashville to take on the Titans.
08:55Titans are favorite.
08:57It's narrow.
08:58Yeah, probably about one.
09:00One and a half.
09:01All right.
09:04You go through a whole season that don't have a turnover?
09:09People are going to be thinking about that.
09:11How much of all the 1 o'clock windows, how much do you think this game will be on Red
09:16Zone Channel?
09:18Six percent of the pie?
09:21Three percent of the pie?
09:23No, I think you're going to have Tate and they're going to be doing some things.
09:29They're going to be throwing that thing down the field.
09:31You like Tennessee in this one?
09:32Yeah.
09:33I like the home team.
09:34Where are the Jets on the BMX trust meter?
09:38They're not on it.
09:40Not at this point.
09:42Where are the Titans?
09:43Titans are still this low.
09:45I mean, they got some.
09:47Yeah, about two or three.
09:48They got some work to do there.
09:51Sunday, 1 o'clock, the New Orleans Saints head up to Motown Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions.
09:58I think Detroit is going to beat them, but I think the Saints are going to give them a battle.
10:02But the line is probably Detroit four and a half.
10:05Six and a half.
10:06Six and a half?
10:07Wow.
10:07Am I crazy to kind of like the Saints?
10:09I don't think they'll win, but I think they can cover.
10:12Possibly, but you know that they can get moving up there, bro.
10:15Yeah.
10:16I got the number one pick on my fantasy drive last night.
10:18It took Jameer Gibbs.
10:20Hmm.
10:21Where are the Saints on the BMX trust meter?
10:24Six and a half.
10:25Six and a half for the Saints?
10:27Hmm.
10:28You gave the Ravens and Bengals a seven and a half?
10:30Yeah.
10:31You like the Saints?
10:32No, I'm just saying six and a half.
10:34They're above five.
10:36Okay.
10:37And they might have put some voodoo on people when they go down there, so they got a little
10:40extra help.
10:41Where's Detroit?
10:43Detroit's probably up there seven and a half to eight.
10:45I might give it nobody a ten.
10:47I didn't expect you to give anybody a ten.
10:48Not even Seattle.
10:49But I didn't expect you to give the Saints a six and a half.
10:51That's the upset of the day so far.
10:52Yeah, yeah, yeah.
10:53But, you know, you go down to New Orleans, man, you're feeling great.
10:57You're laying in New Orleans, and all of a sudden, you're like, man, what happened
10:59to my stomach?
11:00You know?
11:01They ate you.
11:02Don't eat spaghetti sauce.
11:04Don't eat that, for sure.
11:06People have no...
11:08Louisiana's a different place, man.
11:11Sunday.
11:12Don't forget it, brother.
11:13Sunday, 4.25 p.m.
11:16All right.
11:17We've entered the late slate of games here.
11:21Arizona Cardinals traveling to SoFi to take on the Los Angeles Chargers.
11:27This might be the biggest line of the week.
11:29The Chargers are favored by ten and a half?
11:31Nine and a half.
11:32Man, close.
11:33Where are the Cardinals on the B-Mitch Trust Index?
11:36Don't trust them.
11:37That's a zero?
11:39I mean, if they've got to have a number, they're not hiding the two.
11:43What about the Chargers?
11:45Harbaugh?
11:46Herbert?
11:47They've got Mike McDaniel running the offense now.
11:50They've got to assume more health on their offensive line.
11:52About a six and a half, seven.
11:54Okay.
11:55Sunday, 4.25 p.m.
11:57We're going to Las Vegas.
11:58This is in the running for the Wolf Game of the Week, but I think Wolf Game of the Week
12:03goes to Jets-Titans.
12:05But this is certainly the Wolf Game of the Later slate.
12:09Miami at Vegas.
12:11Dolphins-Raiders.
12:12This is probably a hell of a matchup in the 70s.
12:13It's going to be worse than that, yes, than the Tennessee game.
12:17Of the four quarterbacks, Geno Smith, Cam Ward, Malik Willis, Kirk Cousins, I think Kirk's
12:26the most trustworthy.
12:28Yeah.
12:30Raiders favored by three and a half.
12:34I can see it happening.
12:36Because I'm looking at my man who was trading and bought right back.
12:40I think he's going to still be a menace.
12:42Crosby?
12:42Yeah.
12:43He's trying to play for Jerry.
12:45He could trade it again.
12:46Hey, if you go out and get a few sacks, you'll get that even quicker, right?
12:51Dolphins on the trust meter?
12:53One?
12:54Zero?
12:55Yeah, they're not on it, but we've got to give them a number one, one and a half.
13:00Do the Raiders get on it?
13:04I like Crosby, so I think Crosby can wreck a game by himself.
13:09Sunday, 425 p.m., America's Game of the Week on Fox.
13:14The Commanders heading to the City of Brotherly Love, Lincoln Financial Field, to take on the
13:19Philadelphia Eagles.
13:20Eagles favored by four and a half.
13:22All right, then that's going to be the upset, because you called it already.
13:25I called that shot.
13:28Where are the Eagles on the trust meter?
13:31Probably lower than they've been in a little while.
13:33Probably about seven.
13:35What about Washington?
13:38Five?
13:38Most of six.
13:40Six and six and a half.
13:41Okay.
13:41They're probably with the Saints.
13:43Okay.
13:44That's crazy you have the Saints that high, but I roughly agree.
13:47Because I think the Saints can win their division.
13:49Yeah.
13:49I think they're the better team right now in that division.
13:52Do you think Washington can win the division?
13:54If they're healthy.
13:57If they're healthy, I think that they're going to cause a hell of a problem for some teams
14:01this year.
14:02Sunday, 425 p.m., Minnesota hosting Green Bay.
14:07Packers-Vikings.
14:08Packers going to kill them.
14:09Really?
14:10Yeah.
14:10Why?
14:12Kyler?
14:13Because Kyler is going to be the quarterback.
14:15Packers are one and a half point dogs.
14:17Ooh.
14:18In Minnesota?
14:19And a lot of money on Minnesota.
14:22Okay.
14:25I like the Packers' defense.
14:28Sunday night football, NBC, Dallas Cowboys going to New York, Jersey, actually, take on
14:35the Giants.
14:36Giants going to beat them by 10.
14:37Really?
14:38That's what I'm hoping.
14:39Cowboys are two and a half point road favorites.
14:41They're just two and a half?
14:43Three, depending on where you're shopping.
14:44It's something about that damn Giants stadium, bro.
14:46It's some weird stuff happening up there, though.
14:49For sure.
14:50But I think the Cowboys should beat them.
14:52I'm sorry.
14:52Where are the Packers on the trust index?
14:56Packers are probably around.
14:57I got everybody bunch of like seven, seven and a half.
15:00Where are the Vikings?
15:02Five.
15:03Where are the Cowboys?
15:06Six and a half.
15:08Where are the Giants?
15:10Four.
15:11Monday night football from Arrowhead Stadium.
15:15Denver Broncos visiting the Kansas City Chiefs.
15:20And Denver's favorite.
15:22No.
15:23They still got Kansas City favorite?
15:25Chiefs by two and a half.
15:26The Pack Treek is back?
15:28Yeah.
15:28Oh, boy.
15:30This can be fun.
15:35You said the line yet?
15:36I want me to tell you what I think.
15:37Yes.
15:38I think I said it.
15:39Two and a half.
15:39Exactly.
15:42Where are the Broncos on the trust meter?
15:44That's a loaded roster.
15:45The Broncos, it's like that's the team where I think they are very talented, but the coach is a damn
15:54psychopath.
15:55And I'm just waiting for them to all jump off, just go against him and jump off his bandwagon.
16:01He was dogging his quarterback out last year because his quarterback got hurt.
16:05And the guy tried to get hurt.
16:07I know how you feel about Andy Reid.
16:09I know how you feel about Patrick Mahomes.
16:10How much do you trust the Kansas City Chiefs?
16:12I'm there to seven and a half for me, too.
16:15I can't go higher.
16:17Now, if I see Pat go out there and look like old Pat, then I could change up that real
16:22quick.
16:22Sure.
16:22The trust index is a moving, living entity.
16:25Pat is the goofiest running quarterback in the world, but he just doesn't make first downs, dog.
16:30Different beast.
16:31Different beast, man.
16:33Mahomes on third down.
16:34He runs like a little cartoon character, but he just gets play.
16:37First down after first down.
16:39Keep moving.