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Tensions are rising as U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance says the conflict with Iran is “not a war” while refusing to provide a timeline for when the fighting could end. Vance stated that an end to the conflict would require Iran to stop firing at commercial shipping, highlighting the growing danger to vessels and global trade routes. With Washington facing mounting pressure over the escalation, questions are growing over how long the confrontation will continue and whether it could develop into a wider regional crisis.

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00:00In terms of the war and the timeline, given this administration has put timelines out there before,
00:04what you just said about no negotiations happening with Iran,
00:08will this war be over by the time of the midterm elections?
00:11Well, Caitlin, again, I don't — I wouldn't call it a war. Right now, there is no active shooting.
00:16I recognize there have been places where this has flared up. Major combat operations — again,
00:23major combat operations lasted for about six weeks. And since then, we destroyed, of course,
00:28their nuclear facilities with Midnight Hammer. With Epic Fury, we destroyed their defense
00:33industrial base for producing weapons and also a lot of their conventional military. And then we
00:38made it harder for them to rebuild that nuclear program. But when you ask, when will this end,
00:44you're asking me a question, like, when will the Iranians stop shooting at ships? I think the
00:49reality is I don't know the answer to that question. You'd have to ask the Iranians. When will the
00:53Iranians shooting at ships stop having an effect on world energy markets? And the answer is it has
00:59less effect day by day. So what we're going to do is not depend on the Iranians behaving responsibly
01:04or negotiating in good faith. What we're going to do is use the tools that we have at our disposal
01:09to
01:10ensure that the American people, one, never have to deal with the threat of an Iranian nuclear program,
01:15and two, that world energy markets are properly supplied.
01:19But so it's up to the Iranians when this war ends?
01:21Well, if the Iranians keep on — but, Caitlin, if the Iranians keep on shooting at commercial ships,
01:27again, we have, I think, a responsibility, but certainly we're the only ones with the capability
01:34to ensure that the Iranians are not destroying world energy markets. And our attitude is we're not
01:41going to set an artificial timeline because — let's just say, hypothetically, let's say I told you
01:46three months. Let's say I told you three days, okay? And then the Iranians start blowing up oil and gas
01:51ships, and the United States is the only country with the capability to ensure that those oil and gas
01:56ships get to market. Well, what I would say is it would be irresponsible for us to write out our
02:02strategy and our timeline for an Iranian nation that simply cannot honor its commitments and cannot
02:08stop shooting at commercial ships. Do you share any of the concerns of
02:12Secretary Driscoll and several Republican lawmakers about the current state of the army,
02:19specifically about the departure of so many generals and other top officials?
02:23Well, first of all, look, Dan is obviously a very good friend of mine. I think he was a great
02:27secretary of the army. Pete is also a very good friend of mine, and I think he's an amazing secretary
02:31of war. And, you know, fundamentally, where — look, there are a lot of issues where I agree with Pete
02:38on. The issue where I'm in the most strident agreement with Pete is that we needed to have
02:43a culture shift at the Department of War. We have to ask ourselves some very difficult questions,
02:47and it has nothing to do — I want to be clear — this has nothing to do with the
02:51amazing troops that we
02:52have, the amazing military officers, non-commissioned officers, and enlisted personnel that we have,
02:57but America has fought a lot of wars since I've been alive — 42 years. And we have won almost
03:03none of them until Donald J. Trump became the president of the United States. What does that say
03:09about the culture of military leadership, the way that we did planning? And what does it also say,
03:14frankly, about the political leadership that we've had in the White House at the Department of War for
03:1940 years of, frankly, military misadventures? What Pete came in wanting to do was revive the
03:26warrior spirit in the United States of America. And I think you see evidence of that happening in
03:30a lot of different ways. Two important ways is, number one, we have recruitment at all-time highs.
03:36We had real recruitment problems under the Biden administration because people didn't want to join
03:40a woke military. And what I mean is they didn't want to join any military that was geared towards
03:45a particular political narrative. They just wanted to join a military that was willing to defend America's
03:51interests and do so at the very highest levels of professionalism and excellence. That is what the
03:56military under President Trump's leadership is geared towards doing. The second way that I judge
04:01just that esprit de corps, that warrior spirit that you see at the Pentagon, is when you go out and
04:06talk
04:06to troops today, they talk about how much better it is, how much prouder they are, how much more they
04:12feel
04:12supported from Washington as opposed to, frankly, oppressed by Washington. We're trying to bring the best and the
04:18brightest into the United States military and support them in every way that we can.
04:22If you recall, under the Biden administration, guys were getting fired because they were making
04:27their own health care decisions. And the Biden administration was treating them like they were
04:31convicted criminals. We're not doing that. We're taking things in a much different direction. So
04:35I feel like the military is in a much better place than it was 18 months ago. Of course, there's
04:41a lot
04:41of work still to do. And of course, some of that work is going to take years because, frankly,
04:45the rot got so deep under previous failed administrations.
04:50On July 2nd, Treasury Secretary Besant was asked when Americans could see
04:55$3 gas again. And he said maybe by Labor Day. Things haven't worked out that way. But do you
05:02have a new timetable for Americans on when they could expect lower gas prices? And should they not
05:06expect to see $3 gas again until at least 2027?
05:11Well, in defense of Scott, he said, maybe by Labor Day, because we're talking about things
05:15that are inherently unpredictable. And I think it's important. You know, I'm a strong believer that
05:20the American people are our fellow citizens, and we should speak with them honestly about these things.
05:24And the fundamental reality is that the reason gas prices are so high right now is because the
05:31Iranians are shooting at commercial shipping. Even, by the way, when they signed an agreement that said,
05:35we're going to stop shooting at commercial shipping, they almost immediately went back to
05:40shooting at commercial shipping. And I actually think that this drives home a couple of points.
05:44Number one, it's why things like the Venezuela oil deal are so important is because we've learned
05:49that we can't be over-reliant on anybody for the world's supply of energy and gas. It's one of the
05:54reasons why the president has pursued an energy dominance agenda, because, yes, gas prices are higher
06:00in the United States. They're way worse everywhere else in the world because of what the president did,
06:05particularly during the first administration, to make us more energy dominant. I also think it
06:10drives home, frankly, the ridiculous atrophy that we saw in our European allies and their inability to
06:20actually do anything to help keep world energy markets supplied. So when the Iranians shoot at
06:25commercial shipping, obviously that means some ships don't want to go through. A lot of ships have gone
06:30through. We got about 15 million barrels out of the Strait of Hormuz just yesterday,
06:33despite the fact that the Iranians continue to ship or continue to shoot, I should say.
06:38What has anybody in the world done? Why is it incumbent upon the United States of America to be the
06:44only country in the world that can actually ensure world energy markets continue to stay supplied?
06:50And the answer is because we're the only country that has the capability of doing it. And so what the
06:55president has said is we really have two options here. We could leave and the entire world would be
07:00way worse off because there would be no guaranteed access to oil and gas. By the way, the Gulf Arab
07:07countries are telling us that would be the worst thing in the world. Or we can accept the Iranians are
07:12going to shoot at ships like crazy people and we're going to do what we have to do in order
07:16to ensure
07:17that their efforts don't lead to a worldwide energy crisis. Now, we've been quite successful up to this
07:22point. Gas, frankly, could have been much, much higher were it not for our efforts. But I'm not
07:27going to make a promise about when it's going to return to $3. What I will say is that we
07:32have to
07:32remember why are we doing this? Number one, it's so that Iran never has a nuclear weapon. And number two,
07:39what we're doing right now is protecting commercial shipping in order to ensure that we don't have a
07:44worldwide energy crisis. The only reason, the only reason we do not have a worldwide energy crisis
07:49is because of the leadership of the president, but also because of the fine work of our military
07:53from Pete Hegseth on down. But the Iranians are doing what the Iranians do. I think that they're
07:59losing their capabilities by the day. I think they're realizing, by the way, that their control
08:05over the Strait of Hormuz is effectively gone and it's a diminishing asset. So if you go back three
08:10months ago, how much oil and gas was coming out of the strait under Iranian threats? It was virtually
08:16nothing. Now it's almost back to where it was before the conflict even started.
08:21So my advice to the Iranians is stop acting like crazy people and stop shooting at commercial
08:25shipping. And in the meantime, we've got to do what we've got to do, despite what a foreign
08:31country is going to do in the Strait of Hormuz. And the Iranians say that an attack on a wedding
08:36celebration earlier this week killed several people, injured dozens of others. I know CENTCOM says it's
08:41investigating. But have you been briefed on that attack? And was the U.S. responsible?
08:45So I've been briefed to the extent that I know that we're investigating. I've seen the same public
08:49media reports everywhere else. I will say that the Iranian state media has not been a very good scribe
08:58about what's happened in the conflict thus far. So I'm extremely skeptical of this. What I can say
09:02with 100 percent confidence is that unlike the IRGC, the United States never targets civilians in combat.
09:09We never will do that. We never have done that. And unfortunately, obviously,
09:14sometimes things happen. But in this particular case, I don't think that we have any information
09:19one way or the other. We're investigating it because obviously we care. We want to know. And
09:23if we do make mistakes, again, this is a big difference between us and Iran. When our military
09:27makes mistakes, they learn from them to try to get better from them. So we're investigating it very fully.
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