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  • 2 months ago
In a discussion on India's strategic posture toward Pakistan, Sandeep Unnithan stated that "the IWT is one of the most unequal water treaties anywhere on the planet," explaining that India historically failed to build infrastructure to utilize its allocated share. He highlighted that placing the Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance has focused attention on Pakistan's poor reservoir storage and resource mismanagement. Unnithan observed that recent military and diplomatic actions have imposed direct costs on Pakistan, leaving it strategically disadvantaged while facing internal instability across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Balochistan, and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir alongside mounting economic difficulties.

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00:00Sandeep, this is extremely important.
00:04The will, the desire and then going ahead and doing it.
00:09It's remarkable, isn't it, Sandeep?
00:12Absolutely, Gaurav.
00:13You know, and this is things like you pointed out.
00:15This is things that should have been done decades ago.
00:18You know, one, it boggles the mind to realize that all of this was going on for decades.
00:23We didn't build the kind of storage capacities that would even, you know, allow us to take our share of
00:29the industrial water treaty.
00:30You know, Gaurav, we've been through this before.
00:32We know that the IWT is one of the most unequal water treaties anywhere on the planet.
00:38There is no water sharing treaty which gives 80 percent of the water to the lower riparian state and 20
00:44percent to the upper upstream state.
00:47And in our case, we have not even, you know, taken our share of that 20 percent.
00:52And what you've just mentioned is just part of all of that, building up the infrastructure to claim our rightful
00:57share of the Indus Water Treaty, Gaurav.
01:01Absolutely.
01:02So, you need to have the will and you need to be able to deliver.
01:05But Sandeep, is this the first time, and you and I have been covering this from the 1990s,
01:12whether we covered the 1993 blast case verdict or we covered the Kargil war or a series of terror attacks
01:19including 26-11,
01:20is this the first time that in a series of steps, costs are being imposed on a state sponsor of
01:28radical Islamist terror?
01:30The land surgical strikes after Uri, the Balakot airstrikes, Article 370, 5th of August 2019.
01:38And subsequently, you had two more important steps.
01:42One, Operation Sindur.
01:43Two, Indus Water Treaty being held in abeyance.
01:47It's almost now going for Pakistan's juggler.
01:50Absolutely, Gaurav.
01:51You know, Gaurav, that half-hour rampage by the Indian Air Force on the 10th of May,
01:56which completely shook Pakistan and scattered the Air Force, destroyed their air bases,
02:02you can say that the kind of damage that was caused on Pakistan's military infrastructure,
02:07that was the bill that they had to pay for supporting the terror infrastructure.
02:12That happened in a matter of, you know, a couple of minutes.
02:15Now, the other big cost is the questions that are going to be asked because of the Indus Water Treaty
02:21being held in abeyance.
02:22The fact is that the lens is now shifted on to Pakistan's mismanagement of the Indus Water Treaty, Gaurav.
02:29I mean, they have had the most bountiful share of the river waters.
02:33They have not built reservoir capacity.
02:36They have one of the poorest water storage anywhere on the planet, Gaurav.
02:40They have something like 30 to 90 days of water storage capacity as opposed to a desired storage capacity of
02:48300 days.
02:50And even the Mangala Dam that they built was built with our money.
02:53The canal that they built has been built with Indian money.
02:57I mean, despite that, they were spreading terror in our country.
03:00Now that costs are being imposed on Pakistan, there is little that Pakistan can do.
03:04And, you know, one more important aspect that I want to discuss very briefly, the last 30 seconds I have
03:08on this part of the show.
03:10For decades, Sandeep, the entire onus was on India.
03:14That, oh, Pakistanis are coming.
03:15We need to talk to Pakistan.
03:17We need to talk to Pakistan.
03:18And all conversation is about our Kashmir.
03:21Entire Kashmir is ours.
03:22But now, the entire onus is, if any conversation with Pakistan, it will be on retaking Pakistan-occupied Kashmir.
03:30So, that game has so strategically shifted post-2014.
03:34And that message is also clear.
03:36That no longer Pakistan is, no longer is Pakistan putting us on the back foot.
03:41Pakistan is on the back foot.
03:43Absolutely, Gaurav.
03:44And that, you know, the whole game has now shifted westward.
03:47It's gone into Pakistan.
03:48And, you know, given the kind of economic troubles that they are in, PO, JK is in flames.
03:54Balochistan, we know what's going on there.
03:56Khaibar Paktoonkwa is spinning out of control.
03:58Every part of Pakistan, but for Pakistan's Punjab province, is up in arms.
04:04You know, the economy is in shambles.
04:07All they have is the symbolic photo opportunities that they, you know, get with Trump, with, at the SCO, all
04:15of this.
04:15Can it pay the bills, Gaurav?
04:17That's the big question that we should be asking now.
04:20And you've taken the pleasure out of their photo cropping also.
04:23I mean, that's also no longer with Pakistan.
04:25Mecca agreement is also in doldrums.
04:27Trump is also no longer meeting them because Pakistan over-promised and under-delivered.
04:32So, you know, clearly no Acche Din for Pakistan.
04:34And that's a story we'll be tracking very closely.
04:36Sandeep, for the moment, many thanks for joining me.

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